Transcript for:
Understanding Trading Strategies and Analysis

e I know I know good morning good morning all right so we have the opening bell here we're below the new day opening gap of August 20th be cool highs right here so I'm watching that as a draw [Music] regular trading hours you can see here's our boing range [Music] Gap right there that's not the best C choice though is it let's do this so [Music] previous session settlement and the opening on this C there's your opening range Gap coming in and sending our niece off to college and you probably hear my air conditioner which I cranked up and now I'm sitting underneath that vent so it's going to be a little loud that's the noise you're hearing so just put up with it for a minute or two until I get my office cooled down I'm looking at the uh is a 15sec chart we we have a small little Gap right there but that Wick kind to encouragement of that it stopped it so that's all it technically needs to send this up into that new doing Gap again but it's still early I don't want to try to jump ahead and anticipate everything being just straight up it can but for sake of reading price action for the first few minutes it's important for Caleb to just know that it's not necessary for you to know right away what it's going to do okay so opening range Gap has been priced in there you go you see that there and I I'd like to see it return back into the new day opening Gap not just take the Gap from yesterday's settlement to today's opening at 9:30 so we're in the beginning portion of opening range which is the 30 minutes between 9:30 and 10: a.m. here's your near the opening Gap so you want to screenshot that that volume IM balance right here note that because if it's going to pop the liquidity above here it's reasonable to anticipate it trading up into that little volume in Balance there that's the one minute inefficiency that's just above that shortterm high but you want to screenshot that as I was mentioned the uh the wick here consequent encouragement of that is this see I hit that there and then we didn't even touch the upper quadrant there so it's likely this s is going in there now this would have been like say post [Music] 950 if we were in the macro time and it had done that then i' would been like okay it should have no problem just running directionally right into that I want to see would you ever hear me say that I want to see that is not bias that's providing a framework for Caleb when he watches the recordings because he has the actual documentation of me saying it over the live TR uh live chart and when he's watching these recordings he has the benefit of not having to have realtime data he's watching it as it happens so he's looking at a 15-second chart which is what most of you I'm watching probably don't even look at or maybe you don't have the the resources to be able to do it we have a 3se second delay on U latency here so whatever I say here you receive it 3 seconds later so having the uh this Gap right here so a buy side Bound sell sign efficiency it's overlaid with a new day opening Gap but you want to screenshot that uh that Wick right here and how it behaved and took us up into that that is a very very easy bread and butter type setup so for someone that doesn't have a model for someone that's looking for something like what does the pattern look like well there's lots of patterns there's lots of ways to engage it but framing in the context that it needs to run to a new day opening Gap or a new week opening Gap that is my son's model like that that's his draw and it has to have hopefully something like a relative equal High either just below it or right at it so it's in close prox Sy me ideally the actual liquidity if if he's bullish he's going to be looking for something that has relative equal highs below a new day new day opening Gap or a new week opening Gap that he's going to be targeting as the draw or like the magnet draw on liquidity and then vice versa if he's going to go short he'd be looking for relative equal lows that are just above a old new day opening gap or the present new day opening gap or new week opening Gap and they can be old as far as you know like I said five weeks back for new week opening gaps and five days worth for a new day opening gaps and that's the criteria I'm giving to him not to say that you won't find more setups because you're looking it a little bit older than five weeks ago new week opening gaps just they they don't they don't get stale if you will as long as you're using it in the right context for uh sentiment reasons it's fine they will still show you reactions and price that you're able to take trades on so I want to see it reach up into that daily volume imbalance and I'll take your attention to that now I have it divided into its quadrants I'll show you in a moment what this is again for those that don't remember or don't take notes or don't have um the luxury of having been in the previous live streams so if you're watching it live is the first one uh this area here we talked about this last Tuesday before the end of the stream on August 13 2024's live stream I took everyone's attention to where the real bias is on a higher time frame and where that means the market will draw to taking everything out of the confusion of is it a buy or is it a sell it was told to you last Tuesday the market was going to go up to these levels and we traded into it in yesterday's session at the last hour of day session and then in the London session we had the market trade up into a here it's the low of the daily volume imbalance that took your attention to last Tuesday and we kind of talked about it yesterday as well traded all the way up to the upper quadrant look at the bodies okay this is a one minute chart look at that it closes right on the upper quadrant and leaves this portion open so this to me is where I want to hold my attention I'm not trying to pick the top and I've been maintaining that since we started this whole series in 2024 when we started live streaming started teaching the higher time frame has been called higher we haven't deviated from that and go back and listen to the recordings and you'll see that's the truth but here we traded up into the upper quadrant then we had it give us a reversal trading back down into the low there's liquidity resting below that and you can see that we traded there and all the way down to today's new day opening Gap and this was formed yesterday on this basis scroll over [Music] here that's this reference point here so where we settled at 5:00 on Monday August 19th 2024 and then we started trading at 6 o'clock so that's your new day opening gap for Tuesday that's why it's labeled the 20th because this Gap is referencing the next trading day so you carry it Forward into price action that you watch unfold and then there's that turn at [Music] London gyrating around towards the [Music] low use the lowest support rallies up hammers it perfectly starts to sell off Works lower and then right down into look at the bodies see if the bodies are showing the Wicks are allowed to do the damage but this is telling you that it's it's using the new day opening Gap as I teach it anytime if that Gap would have been there soon as it filled it everybody else would have completely disregarded it tell it's out then throw the baby out with the bath water and that's that's flawed logic okay and and this is the high of that daily cell sign of balance by sign efficiency on the daily chart and we want to see it try to get up into here me take your attention back to it here above this high and try to get into this portion that's the part that's still remaining open right here so that would look like this you want to have that high to here you want to have that on your chart and we'll set that up as something obnoxious you like yellow that way it's going to stand out and we're going to extend it to the right and we'll divide it in half just because I want to have that information on top of it so here's the low that daily volume imbalance [Music] watch this Gap in here with the volume of balance between these two candles right there watch that so we have the low of the daily volume imbalance we talked about yesterday and mentioned in advance on the 13th of August here's a lower quadrant midpoint which is consequent encroachment in the Shaded yellow area that's the portion that has not been traded to so we went as high as the upper quadrant here but all of the yellow area in my mind I want to see does it have the ability to try to reach for that I'm not saying it has to go right there right now technicals have to support the idea but my initial interest today with really nothing to speak of for the economic calendar that's all exciting but it changes tomorrow um this is what my interest is for the remainder of the week I want to see do we trade into this area here so with that I want to go over real quick to the Daily and remind you where this is this little segment of price action right in here we talked about [Music] this right here elongate [Music] that that little segment of price action right there that is the volume of balance and that was mentioned to you on the 13th of August in Tuesday's last portion of the the live stream and we divide it using this as the low which is the open of that candle and the close on this candle so we're marking the difference between that close to the open of the next one there is a wick let me move it over here so you can see this Wick goes as low as that right there but we're not interested in the wick here we're looking at the difference between the bodies here and here because there is no connection between this candle and that candle with the body so the only bridging or overlapping of this Daily's candle to this Daily's candle is the connection of the wick and because I teach you to look at the Wicks as a gap look at it through the lens of that so if that's the case then we want to take that Gap and break it into quadrants and wats the midpoint which is consequent encouragement not it's not mean threshold mean threshold is a middle of a order block the equilibrium price point or midpoint of a gap whether it's a bid imbalance cell sign efficiency or a cellid imbalance bid efficiency either or if it's up closed fair value Gap or down closed fair value Gap the midpoint of that is consequent cing and Wicks are classified the same way I internalize them as the same thing as a gap just like I teach that a opening range Gap you you would build that with a quadrant to break him up over quarters which is not quarters Theory okay so once you have these levels divided like that you can anticipate what's still available and what this is saying is this little portion of the this close to that level right there that's what's being highlighted over on the right hand side so that is the unfilled portion of all of this move the blue line which you see over here this blue line there watch when I highlight it the coordinates for that is 19868 and [Music] A4 that's this candle's low see look at this value right here up here um the left chart right there underneath my or above my cursor that is the 19868 and the quarter level so that is the high of this Cy down to this candle's high so between this candle's high and that candle's low this is a sells side imbalance by sign of efficiency we would expect in the future the market would reach up in to that level and tap it and we're working that level now so I want to see do we have the ability to grind into this more and explore this area which has not been able to book any price above the upper quadrant of this daily volume in Balance okay so that's the business there we're again watch ing on a one minute chart there and this was the the opening range Gap that means it's the difference at the regular trading [Music] hours so it' be here on that candle's close to that candles open just eyeballing it when I drop that on there that's what you're measuring and then we went above it here and we went back down into it as support now we're rallying up so we want to see it eat into all of this we want to see does it have the strength and the ability with speed to be able to get to the lowest quadrant which is this level here of this daily volume of balance with the expectation that we're focusing on whether or not the market has an interest to get up to here we know that there's an inefficiency still there because it's only delivered price down but we've gone as far as this level here to the upside so there's inefficiency between this level here on the left to here with Buy side delivery meaning all we're saying in simplest terms is we're expecting the market to go up in here and just offer price at these levels and whether it stays there or continues it's it's not important at this moment for Caleb it's just that that's what we would anticipate as a realistic it's practical that it's gone as far as here so if it's bullish it's reasonable to anticipate it reaching into here it need not do it today [Music] watch this one in here [Music] now if you look at it over here on the one minute chart we had this PA B Gap there and I like the fact that this Gap occurs and forms on the 15-second chart I see it forming on the upper half of this Gap so let me let me draw it out [Music] here and we'll do it just a little bit different color um like that okay so it's a little bit of a cont it's probably not the best color Cho is it now this fair value Gap here if it's going to be the ideal scenario it would be being sensitive at the high end of it in other words half of it the best formations or continuation would occur for Price only going into the upper half not digging down into the bottom half but can it do it yes you go back and listen to the lectures it's completely permissible it's not something that it doesn't change the underlying directional wise it doesn't change the directional uh impact of using these things this means that it's better for it to leave it open if it leaves it open it's indicating that it's extremely strong it should keep pressing higher but if it's going to go down and and completely overlap that little gap on the one minute chart how far can it color Outside the Lines if it's going to over shoot this how far can it go past if it's just going to be a wick what keeps it still gerine to the idea that we would stick to reaching for this lower quadrant and measure does it have the ability to get there number one two how fast does it get there and once it get to once it gets to that level how does it behave does it hit it and fall short of going any further or does it go through it like a hot knife through butter and just slice right on through and reach for the midpoint which is this level here you're weighing out all these PD arrays if it's going to overshoot this fair value Gap this Wick right here we were talking about this yesterday over live price action I'm going to have to turn that air commissioner off this I know it's probably annoying that's annoying me so we hit the upper quadrant but it hit the consequent approach on that Wick see it it's perfect it's perfect delivery perfect so if you have that and you run up to this quadrant here you want to screenshot that don't use my charts do it with your own and you're seeing the measurement of real order flow no depth of Market needed no ladders no level two data no nothing just watching price action it should behave in a manner that supports price repricing down to inefficiency using the hourly I'm sorry not the hourly one hour Chart good grief the one minute chart to the left and carrying it over to the 15c here so what I'm doing is I'm constantly balancing the effects of where price should gravitate to where it should support price where it where it's allowed to do the damage if you look at what was shown here I was outlining the fair value Gap with the focus on that lower quadrant level right there so we were looking initially at this Gap here I told you watch that we went outside a little bit and where to go just to the low of the new day opening Gap and stopped dead end tracks and rallied up spent a little bit of time and the bodies were telling you what it wants to do it's going to want to Rally it rallies it gives you displacement with the one minute chart here so there Gap so that Gap is real in this range from that candle's high and that candle's low but over here on the 15 second I took your attention there look where the bodies of the candles in the 15sec stop and stay inside of it respects its fair value Gap that's in the blue you see that look at that look at that body right there the wick is only afforded to go as low as what this one minute fair value Gap does and is low as the consequent approachment of this Wick why am I picking this Wick because it's the highest going to the left it went above this one and by having that back on the chart again there's the trade two consequent forment right here so now we want to see does it have the ability to get to the upper quadrant so if I measure this again from here to here that's perfect delivery so when you're watching things and you're looking for price to if it's if it's going to go up you want to be measuring as I'm teaching you here this is the price delivery Continuum Theory it's my way of reading real order flow you don't need to know how many contracts are floating above or below because you you don't know if those orders are going to stay in the marketplace they can be pulled okay it's called spoofing you're not going to spoof your open high low and close of the intervals of the chart you're watching okay that doesn't actually that's a Markt Market book of where price has actually traded these levels that are above or below ladders and depth of Market on the Dom they are not traded to they're this flashing there and until price goes there and engages it then you see the actual volume that was booked at that time using time and sales again you're looking at what already happened what I'm doing is I'm getting a measurement do we see things in price action that are going to support the algorithm repricing back to these reference points like we have here and then does it deliver higher yes does it go to the level here which is the lowest quadrant yes and then once we got there did it show a willingness to want to trade to consequent cachent which is this next level here it trades right to it now we went to this objective as we hit that you want to screenshot all of this you want to have all of these reference points shown because this is exactly what kaleb's model is going to look like for him all you're doing is framing okay the market has proven it gapped lower we gapped lower then we overtook that Gap we traded above used a new day opening Gap here touched the high of the opening Gap here rallied and then we got this Fair V Gap given to you on a 15sec chart but allowing you to use as much as a wick coming down to fill in this one minute fair value Gap but using the Wicks as I've been teaching you the consequent encroachment of that Wick here is exactly that low so there's no reason for you to be panicked was there any sense of urgency in my voice did I hear did you hear me kind of shaking was I nervous about it not potentially doing what I've outlined no it's the same boring stuff all you're doing is relaxing and looking for the things that I'm teaching you exist in price because the market is algorithmic it's going to follow the scripts it has absolutely no bearing on how many contracts are bought or sold that's it's not has nothing to do with it so when you relax and start looking at what price is showing you is it indicative of reaching to the next objective and the beginning Caleb it's not important for you to know those straight shot that takes you up up in here all we're saying is is there's a big magnet okay there's a big magnet that is lowering price up to these levels because there's an inefficiency it's lacking up delivery buy side delivery movement up into these levels it's not important for you to pick the determination of it getting to just a halfway point it needs to just touch the low of it and then you watch and see does it have the ability to aggressively run into the halfway point of the opening range that's still there not opening range that were trading like 9:31 I shouldn't have said that as I said I realize shouldn't use those terms but this portion is still open and exposed to inefficiency because it's lacking candlesticks offering price as it passes through the low end of that yellow shaded area to the high end of it so all we're doing is uh it think of it like this the algorithm is likely to cast price into this area to offer traders to distribute long positions or enter short positions it's it's not at a point of knowing how many contracts are floating in that area so like a thing like a book map or something similar to that effect is really not all that important because inside of inefficiencies the element of delivery of price is to say it's been given the opportunity to trade there it matters not how much volume is expected to be filled with lofty levels of okay there's a bookmap reading or something you know to that effect I'm not beating up on bookmap like I said before I I personally don't need it students that understand what I'm teaching don't need it if it would have been available to me when I first started it would have helped me it would have given me a visual representation of what orders are sitting where it did it didn't make sense to me when I was first learning and just like it probably doesn't make sense for you but I don't have those types of tools while I'm talking to you I I don't look at that stuff I just look at where price has shown in efficiencies as I as I've been doing in the live streams I've been showing you where the liquidity is the buy side the sell side and I'm showing you how to use these higher time frame reference points as draws on liquidity to complement things that would otherwise been factored into the market place and Analysis Concepts that my son would be expected to use so by seeing these points of reference and watching how price delivers over a one minute chart and a 15sec chart when you screenshot this and it hits these levels here and then because we took this High out here I mentioned this in previous live streams every time you're holding an idea that it wants to go higher and and you're trading on that idea if you have a short-term high and it reaches to a level and it goes above it you need to be taking some kind of a partial above that because if you don't do that you're going to miss the opportunity of Distributing at premium level prices and we went all the way back down into that fair value Gap here on the 15sec chart and the one minute chart is it done is it done all the way down here is it completely said I'm not going to go any higher you wait and see you have to submit yourself and watch it does it is it done you don't know and you have to Lo that time when it created this short-term High here and trades above it if you have the ability to take partials off you take a partial dare but why would you want to do that ICT if you think it's going to go up here what you think while you're learning and why my son's learning doesn't equate to what the Market's going to do you're discovering and and gleaning experience as you watch and study and learn you don't have everything at your disposal in terms of experence when you first start using the information if you did you wouldn't be watching my live streams would you you'd just be out there doing your own thing so it's important to know how to run down equity which is what I call it when we're in a buy program and we're looking for targets to be reached anytime it creates a shortterm high and then breaks above that short-term high and you have the ability to take a partial you should because it will reward you for holding on to the trade it's a logical level to take a partial every single partial listen this is a really important fact go into your notes okay when it comes to taking partials or taking partial profits when you're long every short-term high that is broken as I'm indicating here that is a candidate for you to take a partial it's better for you to take a partial than it is for you to move your stop loss it's real important for you not to try to move your stop loss in the early stages of your development because you think it's prod Ive for you to lock in profit but the only thing you're actually doing is is you're increasing the level of uncertainty anxiety and you're going to be worrying about your stop- loss getting hit versus watching and studying whether the price is still giving you the indications that it's going to still pan out to what you thought was likely to occur before you put the trade on in the beginning I just realized I didn't do a sound check let me uh let me see if I can pull up my I don't have my headphones with me I'm really unorganized this morning but that's okay that's okay let's see here I got a lot of comments uh from the post I put on I just want to hear something real quick audio check AUD check okay that's good it's not bad it's about three 3 4 seconds delay but the uh we fell just short of the upper third quadrant we swept the high here swept the high here with that high and then slip back down into the one minute B and balance cell sign efficiency that fair value Gap and then touch that 15sec fair value Gap there right to the tick and now we're just banging around between the lower quadrant of that daily volume balance that shaded area here it's in pink it goes as high as this and as low as that so you can see right away you can see how this is a whole lot of stuff to manage on a chart which in my mind it's a lot easier to manage if you have the levels you the values itself on a notepad so I'm constantly referring back to where we are in reference to these levels and when I was younger I used to work with graph paper and I would have these levels written out on a piece of graph paper and then wherever we opened up at I would put a little like a little do I would draw like a a DOT representing where the opening price is and every 15 minutes I would note where the highest high and the lowest low in reference to that so what I was teaching myself was if I can use the information while I was driving okay I'm driving in a suzu uh cargo Step Van with candy and snacks and whatever junk food in the back of it because I was working as a vendor I would fill these machines up on my job so I was trying to visualize what the intraday charts were doing using my quot Trek which was simply giving me the numeric value of what the market has done to today and I would note the initial highs and initial lows so every time we made a higher high I would track that and it would give me a visual representation though I didn't have a live chart in front of me because we didn't have the ability to have that then but I was getting real-time quotes so it was allowing me to draw out whatever Market I was working with with a piece of graph paper so it gave me a reference point of okay I know it made this High here and it made a higher high and I would write down the rough time like if it was um 10:15 10:00 11:15 you know 1:00 in the afternoon something to that effect I would have a reference point so it was a very crude way of referencing and mapping what price has done and where certain highs were and where certain lows were and I was seeing by doing that with the graph paper it would create these relative equal highs and relative equal lows and eventually if I'm long or I'm bullish I would want to see these things plow through it like we have these relative equal highs here but we're having all this consolidation so I would demand that it wants to reach up here aggressively and trade into here not spend a whole lot of time in this stuff but there's been opportunity here this morning for you to capture screenshot where setups were formed using the Gap closure here trading above come back down use the Gap as support because if the opening range gap which is this I'm going to put it on the close of that candle so I'm looking up there 19850 and a quarter so what's that that price this opening range gap which again is the difference between previous day settlement and where we open at 9:30 that range you want to keep it on your chart extend it throughout the day because it will use those levels the high the low and its quadrant levels they will be used over and over and over again every time T price is allowed to trade through it and back to it they'll reference it the algorithm will refer back to those levels again but we want to see days do these types of things where if we expect prices to trade higher we want to see the opening range Gap if it gaps lower that's the entice traders to be short then you see the Gap fill which is generally what you expect to see at the very minimum highest probability is if you get a gap lower opening Mark out 50% of that because if you can capture that as a run on price you can do a lot of bread butter trade setups like that and and have no bias you don't even need to be right on the bias because there's such a high degree of the market returning back to the middle of the Gap whatever the gap opening is at 930 is opening bell if there's a gap lower in relative terms to what we saw in the previous day settlement which is this candle here at 4:15 regular trading hours look down here and up lower right hand corner you see that if there's a large gap down like that Mark out the midpoint use a Fibonacci to Simply do that and then wherever that midpoint is where we opened it's going to gravitate to that even if goes lower it's going to go back to that midpoint I promise you that is one of the shest things in trading it's such a strong strong TR it's really strong it gives you an opportunity to be a part of a a setup that is many times ignored because everybody knows about gaps okay yes and they want to see the Gap close well there are times when the Gap doesn't close and it only goes back to halfway and then it just rockets in the direction of the gap and it only gives you the opportunity to see fluctuations to half of the Gap being filled in but apart from that if the Gap can close and we're bullish we want to see it leave the Gap like it does here and then come back down look at the bodies look at that stop and rate the high of the opening range Gap so that opening range of that Gap it's stopping the Wicks are going inside this body opens and then we send it back above what's in close proximity to the high end of that opening range Gap it's the new day opening gap for today that was formed between the difference at settlement at 5:00 p.m. yesterday evening New York local time to the opening again at 6 p.m. so 1 hour pause in trading we annotate that well we're working off that this Candlestick comes right down to the low of it and sends us again higher we were using the reference points on the one minute chart here came down we saw the wick come down to the consequent correction of this highest Wick here midpoint of that so if it's going to overshoot this fair value Gap you can determine just how far it can do that if you watched what I was doing in recorded sessions or when I was doing uh the Twitter when I was calling out the moves one minute one minute candle at a time and I'd say okay what you just saw was a mohawk where it just goes just outside the fair value Gap that's permissible price action but when it's trading down like that and it's a bearish candle it's scary because you're thinking oh it's going to fail but you have to have a framework and measuring where is it reasonable it can still move in the direction you think the trade's going to go but how do you hold on to it ICT how do you not get scared or or or shaken out of it well it needs to occur with things like this where we can measure it and so by having these Wicks or if there was a a larger inefficiency that I want to trade down into that's what makes me confident when I'm I'm saying this is going to be a mohawk okay and I've done it live I've done it live with my private students I've done it live over Twitter spaces calling every individual Candlestick but when we start seeing these things and it starts promoting higher prices we each time measure what the lower time frame like we're using the 15sec chart here all of this in here reaching up to lower quadrant midpoint we rally a little bit but then we have these little tiny little fleeting attempts to try to get up to where we're aiming for and then we slip lower cell side cell side went down we crossed back over top the new day opening Gap we're inside of that opening range Gap again I want to put the quadrants on this so we can see what we're looking at in that perspective so there's the quadrant inside that opening range Gap I'm going to take this F got off because it's a whole lot of stuff going on right now and I'll I'll make reference to it should we need to see it again but you want to have these levels on your on your chart while you're screen capturing and and logging so here's the 15sec time on the right hand side and the one minute chart over here do we come back out of the Shaded area here in gray which is the opening range Gap and if we do does it react off the new de opening Gap in here so this is this is the next draw if it wants to retrace we have a cells balance B efficiency here which is overlapping with a new de opening Gap remember we're closing the session at 10:30 I mentioned this yesterday because I want the sessions to be smaller so that way my son can digest them they're too much they're too there's too many too many hours in each one each each night when he's done working he only has so much time because he he does 12 hour shifts some of you're like thank you [Laughter] weak sauce come on ICT do eight hour sessions so we have low of day liquidity resting rate below here and then inside that we have all these little pockets of inefficiency and relative equal lows right here so have a little bit of cell side there after we had that big pump up in the last 15 minutes or so of the day session yesterday we gap down pumped it up one more [Music] time that inefficiency that's remaining above here that has been placed on the back burner for right now and we're studying how we're behaving inside of that opening range from yesterday's previous day settlement at 4:15 Eastern Standard Time and then we have the opening price today at the opening B at 930 we rallied up we worked at top of that opening range Gap here and touched what level the new day opening Gap low and now we want to see it work below this low here in probe and see what any interest at all below that after that sell size engaged now if you look at what we were outlining over here and how we're running up to the low the lower quadrant and then reaching up to this level here all of this is distribution around the target we are looking for which is midpoint of the volume bounce on the daily chart which is that low to that high then it slipped lower by having partials taken off here it doesn't matter if it does this because Caleb would have already distributed his long position and he would have had booked profit up here at the premium levels near the highs and when it's down here like this it's very very comforting to know that even if you're wrong about where you think it's going to get to ultimately by Distributing your your position as I'm teaching with running down equity and my students know this is not just form fitted for the sake of the live stream I actually taught this in mentorship that uh that element we already tapped that low we want to see a little bit of expansion in here see if it has any interest to dig down in make an attempt to get down below yesterday's afternoon session rally here the uh the trade idea for my son his his trade would be completed soon as it hit the consequent encouragement level and then he'd have to watch and observe does it go there that's the that's the the graduated uh examp of going in having a model reaching for a Target but not requiring that Target to be hit to be finding profitable exits for your trades that's a huge Paradigm Shift when you can take your time and spend it more economically so that way you're not in a state of panic or fear while you're engaging price which makes it it makes learning hell when it's like that but when it's disarming and relaxed like we're doing here nobody's pressing any buttons nobody's saying it has to do this nobody says it has to do that it frees you up to watch what price is doing so that way you can recognize certain aspects of pattern and pattern formation so that way it leads to pattern recognition because repetition will provide the recognition before you can recognize it you got to see it multiple times that means you have to expose yourself to what watching price action and it has to meander around without you making or losing anything and by doing that it teaches you to key up on the things that make sense to you what your eye sees as an opportunity isn't going to be the same thing that I see that other people watching the same live stream they're not going to see the same thing either it doesn't mean that you're going to have an unprofitable model we are not all going to have the collective opinion about watching price action we might think it's bullish or bearish generally for the day uh but I have traders that are going long and short in the same day and they're both profitable and they're trading at different times of the day using different models and that it sounds like it shouldn't be possible like everybody should be doing the same thing and that's not true because I've given the tools for you to make this your own you go in you plug in what you're trying to trade on for some of you for example let's cover real quick as prices Cho in I mentioned how when we opened down here and we had the Gap soon as you see where we settled yesterday and you're watching real time price action before I actually got on the live stream you knew we were going to open lower than that so we're going to have a gap lower opening so you wait for the first tick soon as you drop your FIB on that you know that 834 is midpoint that's the consequent crment of the opening range Gap so you could look for a retracement right in a and I've done many times this very trade where I don't even look for anything except for as soon as it starts opening and trading if I have range between where it's at when I first see it and where the midpoint of the Gap is I'll go long right there most of you would be scared shitless to do that but I know that this math that is always likely to see that midpoint G traded to because if it's going to go lower if if it's going to go lower it's going to do this halfway then drop or halfway a little bit more failure to close in then drop but if it's going to be bullish and we're expecting things up here as outlined yesterday and last Tuesday then means that we're anticipating the likelihood that it want to go above the Gap and then where we see that then it touches it here so a gap is going to be used as a future point of reference for the algo to start keying off of and start spooling so if it's bullish higher time frame and we're expecting higher prices and we have something up here that needs to be Revisited in a perfect world for efficiency then this is going to actually just like an old fair value Gap it's going to find support there and do we see signatures that support that yes the bodies are saying I'm not interested in going back down in there even though we had Wix doing it then we see price displace again and it supports around what the new day opening Gap and you see that element of price delivery over here you enter around displacement dropping back down perfect delivery to New Day opening Gap rally fair value Gap boom that right there is institutional order entry drill here's your fair B Gap all you got to do is use that Candlestick plus one tick you would be filled there rallies this is the high Watermark of the daily sell sign and balance byy sign efficiency where the the the Gap is on the daily chart that was your first objective before you get to the volume inbalance so which is the that pink shaded area here then we red up hit that low dug in dug in back down in order block there rallies almost immediate rebounds on that Candlestick I would have been I would have been expecting that if I was just watching price I would have expected that to happen it didn't deliver there that's fine the fact that it didn't do it is that good or bad it's good that means it left abortion open so what's going to reach for it that lower quadrant we were aiming for does it have the ability to trade there does it do it with speed yes then if it does and it has those things if it has speed if it has a real desire to get there that means then we should have no problem getting to the midpoint which is there and what does it do it trades right to it we have a little bit of retracement then pump it up one more time shortterm high after the target's being reached every Milestone by having predetermined levels of what you think is a minor Target minor targets are initial candidates if it can trade there and you can afford yourself a partial you'd be doing it anyway here if you didn't take a partial here and it rallies above that short-term High you better be taking something off because in your limited experience you're not going to know when it's going to do things like this and if you don't take the uh partial profits you're going to be seeing a winning trade turn against you which is the reason why I preach and teach that taking partials is a professional mindset it's not someone that doesn't hold on to their trade it doesn't mean that you're weak doesn't mean that you don't have convictions or you open the trade up with XYZ amount of risk why would you want to take trade partials off when you started the tra when I started trading that you're trying to make money you you're trying to make money you don't know in the beginning of your development when your trades are on side you don't know that you only know that when you get out of the trade and it was profitable but while you're watching it you have all these things swirling around and these dollar menu men ship people all around the world that try to give you these little tidbits they think they're instilling some wisdom in you and they're really giving you you have to take partials you have to because you don't know what you don't know you don't have the experience and what matters more being right or constantly making money constantly making money but social media says you have to be right or it don't it don't matter it's cap unless you're right you didn't get to your target who gives a that you made 17,000 real dollars you didn't get to your target you suck that's the mentality that's what that's what the measurement stick is they have to be right their thing has to be perfect it has to go to your targets your logic has to be you know convincing to the degree that where you got in where you're hoping to get out at it has to do that but what happens if it doesn't what happens if you're watching price and you're seeing signs that it's petering out a little bit it's not finding the ability to to climb up to that next level or threshold of objectives do you close the trade and panic do you close it and panic here have you controlled the risk too far by putting your stop loss below a low like that where it's asking to get knocked out so I teach my students and I'm teaching my children to think about taking partials before moving your stop- loss because number one it rewards you for doing the right things you've held on to the trade to that point you have a a profitable partial that means if you put your stop loss to cover cost at that point theoretically you don't have any chance of losing money that's a huge paradigm shift for someone that's developing as a Trader you you don't know what that feels like until you get there so there's a little bit of a spike below that so I want to see do we maintain that or come right back up in the range between this high and what we've seen here by taking the liquidity below there that was a little too shallow I like that run there that was a little bit better so if we start losing some ground Bel here uh we might be interested in seeing this area over here because there a it's a lot of liquidity resting [Music] there but you listening to folks say partials are stupid because when you first start the trade you take on a certain measure of risk okay but when I put a trade on I'm not looking to hold on to that same measure of risk the initial stop loss isn't going to be there as the trade progresses in my favor like I have protocols that tells me when I want to move my stop and it isn't always moving it to a level that would always stop me out prematurely if I'm trying to be aggressive about something and I'm going to be trading all day that means I'm buying and selling up down up down all day long I will be a little bit more aggressive about moving my stop loss there because I know that I'm going to be taking another trade and it may be going against this trade's direction I'm going be trading back and forth back and forth that's a higher form of trading and that's something that's going to take you a decade or more to get to where you're just buying and selling you have a flexible just you're just trading price action you're not going to be able to do that in a couple years okay I promise you that anybody tells you they can and they've done it in like six months and nobody taught them how to do it but they're using my language they're using my vernacular they're but the long and short of is you want to be able to graduate and not have to have everything laid out like I'm only going to work in one bias but you have to have a framework or a structure in the beginning because otherwise how can you how can you measure your progress but when you really understand what you're doing and you understand what price is doing and you understand how you can be bias less you simply go out there and you're trading price based on what time of day it is and what it's reaching for then you're literally liquid where you're just going in you're taking every possible scenario and weighing out if that's a trade for you at the moment and you don't have to take every single one of them but over time you'll see that you can be buying and selling making 10 15 20 handles down 10 15 20 handles up 10 15 back and forth back and forth and you can do 10050 handles 200 Handles in a day going back and forth and you can afford to have two or three losing trades get stopped out go break even cover some cost lose commission only and still have you know triple digit handle runs or triple digit uh Pips in a day but the the market you're trading has to have the ability to have that measure of volatility and not just be wonky back and forth you know aimless price delivery where it's better for you to say h it's not it's not really doing that it's it's it's a day for me to take one trade and be done maybe take one in the morning one in the afternoon and be done or maybe take one get the afternoon reversal some kind of a a a lunchtime macro and then be done but having um the flexibility and the freedom to go in and trade you know without a bias that's going to be the highest form of you and your understanding and trading but I I teach it I'm teaching my children with the lectures that I put out for them to at least start there okay so it is approaching 10:30 I promised my son and all of you that we would try to keep these things to a little bit more manageable time frame um I like the idea of still getting up here that may demand an afternoon or tomorrow uh framework to do that I don't know what we're going to see in the afteron right now based on what we're seeing because it's rather uh quite news day I am not of I'm not abandoning let's say it that way I'm not abandoning uh trading up into here for today I think that there's a lot of buy side resting here they set um a lot of folks in motion that maybe we topped and the liquidity sitting right here and I'll just not it so it's on my chart next time see each other this is the buy side and I outlined today live with you the uh the morning run where the liquidity would go and what the price delivery continuing Theory would show what using a one minute chart how far it can go outside the realm of a fair value G color outside the lines with the Wicks and where the entry models would be and that uh that's undeniable you can't you can't argue that it's been shown to you make this blue out the we're done all right so that byy side everything that was outlined all through here with the 15sec and one minute chart uh PD arrays and where it reached up to the lower quadrant and the consequent encroachment go back and look at your charts and your examples of when you would expect a certain level to be with drawal in liquidity again as a reminder in closing you do not need that draw on liquidity to be reached by price that doesn't equate to success success is measured by where you can see a beginning point where price can move from up to that Terminus and if you can frame a setup that allows you to have 15 20 handles then in in my definition that is is a high probability likelihood that Caleb can take that trade so it's not a guarantee you're going to be profitable in it but it's a green light that you can take it and all you do is simply look for inefficiencies because his model is gaps and he's looking for inefficiencies in price action gravitating and keying off of new day opening gaps new week opening gaps and ringing in the higher time frame that's we were talking about yesterday today uh it's not just simply intraday charts so we're looking at elements that are found on the weekly and daily chart and we'll be segueing more into that next week when we looking at how to hold on the trades better I touched on that today a little bit just a kind of get your appetite wet but Focus right here going into lunch okay right down here relativ Co and that's going to be it for today hopefully you found this insightful and until talk to you tomorrow L Lord willing be safe