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Lease or Buy: Decision Analysis

Apr 8, 2025

Lecture Notes on Lease vs Buy Decision

Key Concepts:

  • Focus: Comparison between leasing and buying a machine.
  • Goal: Determine the cheaper option between leasing and buying by setting up cash flows and calculating the present value of costs.

Example Scenario:

  • Machine Cost: $100,000 if bought.
  • Lease Cost: $35,000 per year, payable at the start of each year.
  • Duration: 4 years.
  • Scrap Value: $10,000 if bought.
  • Interest Cost: 7% after-tax interest cost for borrowing money.
  • Tax Rate: 30% payable one year after the financial year-end.
  • Capital Allowances: 25% reducing balance.

Approach to the Decision:

  1. Set Up Cash Flows:

    • Lease Payments: Considered at the start of each period (time 0, 1, 2, 3).
    • Buying: Immediate $100,000 cost at time 0, with $10,000 scrap value in year 4.
  2. Tax Implications:

    • Lease payments reduce taxable income, leading to tax savings.
    • Tax savings from lease payments are calculated as 30% of $35,000 = $10,500 per year.
    • Timing of tax savings is critical:
      • Calculated end of accounting year; realized one year later (e.g., first saving at time 2 for initial payment).
    • Capital Allowances:
      • Calculated at purchase (e.g., year ended December 2016).
      • Tax effect of capital allowance occurs one year later.
  3. Present Value Calculation:

    • Leasing:
      • Cash outflows: -$35,000, net -$24,500 annually.
      • Tax savings inflow of $10,500 starts from time 2.
      • Total present value of leasing = -$93,607.
    • Buying:
      • Cash outflow: -$100,000 initially, with $10,000 inflow in year 4.
      • Capital allowance savings reduce net cost.
      • Total present value of buying = -$69,960.
  4. Decision:

    • Cheapest Option: Buying the machine (lower present value cost of $69,960 vs leasing $93,607).

Additional Notes:

  • Tax Timing Complexity: Primary challenge due to timing of tax effects.
  • Discount Rate: Use after-tax interest cost for discounting (7% in this case).
  • General Rule for Tax Timing:
    • First cash flow first day of accounting period: tax effect at time 2.
    • First cash flow last day of accounting period: tax effect at time 1.

Conclusion:

  • The leasing vs buying decision involves careful consideration of cash flows, tax implications, and present value calculations to determine the most cost-effective option.
  • Understanding and applying the correct timing for tax savings is crucial in making an informed decision.