Technical Indicators in Trading

Jul 12, 2024

Lecture Notes: Technical Indicators in Trading

Relative Strength Index (RSI)

  • Purpose: Identifies overbought and oversold zones.
  • Key Levels:
    • 70: Above 70 indicates overbought; potential price drop.
    • 50: Above 50 suggests a bullish trend; below 50 suggests bearish.
    • 30: Below 30 indicates oversold; potential price increase.
  • Default Period: 14, but adjustable.

Moving Average (Simple Moving Average - SMA)

  • Definition: Average of share price over a period.
  • Periods: Common settings include 9, 50, and 200.
  • Interpretation:
    • Price above SMA = potential price increase.
    • Price below SMA = potential price decrease.
  • Crossovers: 50-period SMA crossing 200-period SMA:
    • Downward cross = potential price drop.
    • Upward cross = potential price rise.

Exponential Moving Average (EMA)

  • Definition: Weighted average that gives more importance to recent prices.
  • Comparison to SMA: EMA is considered more accurate but differences are minor.
  • Interpretation: Similar to SMA (price above EMA is bullish, below is bearish).
  • Default Period: Example given is 50-period EMA.

Bollinger Bands

  • Components:
    • Middle Line: 20-period SMA.
    • Upper Band: Upper standard deviation.
    • Lower Band: Lower standard deviation.
  • Interpretation:
    • Near lower band = potential price increase.
    • Near upper band = potential price decrease.
    • Personal Note: Price often reverses after touching bands, not before.

Volume

  • Purpose: Indicates the number of buyers and sellers.
  • Usage: Confirms potential price movements.
    • Increasing volume = high trading activity.
    • Indicator Settings: Volume Moving Average to see blue line indicating average volume.

Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD)

  • Components:
    • MACD Line (Blue): Difference between 26-period and 12-period EMA.
    • Signal Line (Orange): 9-period EMA.
    • Histogram: Difference between MACD and Signal lines.
  • Signals:
    • Histogram above zero = bullish, below zero = bearish.
    • MACD line crossing Signal line upwards = bullish.
    • MACD line crossing Signal line downwards = bearish.
    • Crossing the baseline = buy (above) or sell (below) signals.

Super Trend

  • Purpose: Simplifies buy/sell signals.
  • Interpretation:
    • Above line = bearish.
    • Below line = bullish.
    • Caution: Works best in trending markets, not sideways.

Parabolic SAR

  • Purpose: Identifies trends and helps set trailing stop loss.
  • Interpretation:
    • Dots above price = downtrend.
    • Dots below price = uptrend.
    • Caution: Use with other indicators for better accuracy.

Pivot Point Standard

  • Purpose: Identifies support and resistance levels.
  • Components: R1, R2 (resistances), S1, S2 (supports), and Pivot Line (P).
  • Interpretation:
    • Price above Pivot Line = bullish.
    • Price below Pivot Line = bearish.
    • Breaking resistance/support = strong price trend in that direction.

Volume Weighted Average Price (VWAP)

  • Definition: Average price weighted by volume.
  • Usage: Used for intraday trading and provides session-based trends.
  • Interpretation: Price above VWAP = bullish; Price below VWAP = bearish.

Average Directional Index (ADX)

  • Purpose: Measures trend strength.
  • Interpretation:
    • ADX below 20 = weak trend.
    • ADX above 20 = strong trend.

Stochastic Oscillator

  • Purpose: Shows overbought and oversold conditions.
  • Key Levels:
    • 50: Above 50 = bullish; below 50 = bearish.
    • 80: Above 80 and falling = overbought.
    • 20: Below 20 and rising = oversold.
  • Lines:
    • %K Line (Blue): Stochastic line.
    • %D Line (Orange): 3-period SMA of %K line.
  • Crossovers: Indicate potential short-term price direction changes.

Conclusion

  • Reminder: Use multiple indicators for confirmation and avoid relying on a single indicator.
  • Additional Note: Check the description for recommended trading tools and account links.

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