🤔

Herbert Simon's Decision Theory

Oct 8, 2025

Overview

This lecture introduces Herbert Simon's concepts of bounded rationality and satisficing, explaining how they provide a realistic model for decision-making under constraints.

Herbert Simon and His Contributions

  • Herbert Simon was an American economist, political scientist, and cognitive psychologist.
  • He contributed major theories in decision-making, organizational behavior, and artificial intelligence.
  • Simon is best known for his work on bounded rationality, challenging the traditional assumption of perfect rationality in economics.

Perfect vs. Bounded Rationality

  • Perfect rationality assumes decision-makers have access to all information, unlimited cognitive ability, and time to make optimal choices.
  • Bounded rationality recognizes that real-world decisions are limited by incomplete information, limited cognitive abilities, and time pressure.
  • People often seek satisfactory ("good enough") solutions instead of perfect ones—this process is called satisficing.

Applications of Bounded Rationality

  • In economics, bounded rationality explains why firms and individuals do not always maximize profits due to information and time constraints.
  • In psychology, it describes how people use mental shortcuts (heuristics) to make everyday decisions and why they make errors or biases.
  • In organizational behavior, it helps analyze why organizations sometimes make suboptimal decisions due to communication issues, groupthink, or decision fatigue.
  • In artificial intelligence, bounded rationality guides the design of systems that make effective decisions with limited data and time using methods like machine learning.
  • Bounded rationality is foundational to behavioral economics, integrating psychological insights to explain decisions that deviate from classical rational models.

Criticisms and Limitations

  • Critics argue bounded rationality may oversimplify human cognitive abilities and adaptability.
  • The concept of satisficing is criticized as vague and difficult to define or measure consistently.
  • There are questions about how well bounded rationality applies in expert or specialized domains.

Key Terms & Definitions

  • Bounded Rationality — the idea that decision-making is limited by available information, cognitive capacity, and time constraints.
  • Satisficing — choosing a solution that meets minimum requirements rather than searching for the optimal one.
  • Perfect Rationality — an idealized decision-making approach with complete information and unlimited ability to choose the best option.

Action Items / Next Steps

  • Review homework or readings on Herbert Simon and bounded rationality.
  • Consider examples in your field where satisficing may apply.
  • Prepare questions or comments on the application and limits of Simon’s theories for discussion.