Hey everyone, welcome to the investor bet NRL round eight trycorer trends betting preview. In this video each week, I know a lot of you look forward to it and I really appreciate you guys watching along every week. Here is where we go through the most likely try scores based on statistical data in every single game on the weekend. And so instead of just randomly picking players or somebody you remember who they scored last week or you back them to score last week, so you think you'll back them again this week, you can make decisions based on attacking strengths and defensive weaknesses for each side. Coming off a pretty good week last week, we ended up with 18 players that went around. Su Farago didn't end up playing the game in the Dolphins versus no plays in that game in the end, but ended up having 18 players go around. 10 of them scored a try. We have Jason Sar at $180, Terrell Slo at 205, then Bronson Sher at 245, Jesse Arthurs at 170 in the Broncos Warriors game, Daniel Tupo at 205 who scored the opening try in that game. Then we had Titans Raiders AJ Brimson at 360, Sebastian Chris 265 and Hudson Young at 260 who got a double in that matchup. Sam Stone Street at $1.79 who got a double there. And then for the EOS, Josh had a car at a $187 who also got a double in that game. So the table you can see here is straight from the NRL betinder software which I built over the last 10 years or so. And it allows us to analyze each position for either team where they score their tries and where they concede their tries. For anyone new watching, I'll give you a quick rundown on how this works with what you're looking at here. So first game of the round is the Broncos at home against the Bulldogs. Looking at the Broncos, you can see the tries four column, which I'll highlight here. This is where the Broncos score their tries, how many they average, and where that ranks in the overall NRL. So, at fullback, Broncos ranked fifth and average 43 tries per game. On the right wing, they ranked eighth, averaging 71 tries per game, and so on and so forth down all the different positions. You can also see the right edge combined. That's looking at right center and right winger, left edge combined. And so that's your left center, left winger, and then also their wingers and centers individually on either side of the field combined. The column alongside the opponent tries against. This right here is where their opponent for this game, in this case, the Bulldogs concede their tries. And same situation applies where that overall ranks in the league based on position and what the average tries through that position is. Effectively, what you're looking for is high rankings in the tries for column and low rankings in the tries against column. That'll create a good situation for the player who plays that position. I'll go through firstly for the Broncos. There one player I have shortlisted and it's very very simple for the Bulldogs. They rank number one or two in virtually every position in terms of tries conceded other than on the left wing. This is basically where they concede all their tries. So far this season, they've conceded six tries to the opponent left winger. It is important to note that all those six tries came in the first three weeks when they played the Dragons, Titans, and Eels, but they've only conceded one try to the right wing. Now, Broncos averaged the most tries to the left wing. So, it is well suited for them, especially considering Cobo, who generally plays on the right wing from Brisbane, is at fullback this week with Reese Walsh out of the side. Broncos should push more so towards that left edge which Jesse Arthur plays on the left wing. He's paying $2.15 to score a try. So he'll be the first player have shortlisted as the most likely try score. He scored in each of his last three games yet to score a try against Bulldogs. Now Bulldogs are your number one defensive side. So you don't want to go crazy backing too many Broncos try scorers. Hence why this is the only player that I would recommend backing at that 215 at bet 365. And you can see Bulldogs rank in the top two in every category except interchange where they rank fourth. They've just conceded the one try to the opponent interchange so far this season. So this is the matchup there for the Broncos. And then the same principles applies here for the Bulldogs. This is where they score their tries. And this column here shows us where the Broncos and their opponent conceded their tries this season. So we're looking for high rankings in this column and low rankings in this column. And the reason why I built it like this is so it's so easy to go through and analyze games. You're not trying to compare so many different metrics from different pages all over the place. You want to be able to straight away look at things and process the information really easily. And a lot of the tools, pretty much all of them in the NRL bet finders, of which there's over 20 tools in there, I've designed them and built them all the same way to make it very easy for me to obviously go through and analyze and dissect the information to know what to bet, but also so you guys can do the exact same thing that I do. For the Bulldogs, there's one player I've highlighted here and I feel like it's definitely reasonable odds and that's at the right center in Steven Kryson who plays the right center for the Bulldogs. They ranked seventh in tries scored and Broncos ranked 15th to this position which is the worst that they rank of any position and third worst overall in terms of the whole league. Steve Kryen is playing $2.75 to score a try. That's at the tab. um against the Broncos. He scored in three of his last five games against them. Hasn't scored in his past two games. Last scored against the Sharks back in round four, but I think he's well positioned to score a try here um in this game against the Broncos this week. The other situations Broncos have also conceded to the right center in three of their last six games this season. The other good situations here for the Bulldogs are in the front row where they have a second verse 11th matchup and also in the second row where they have a second verse 14th matchup. Um the two players of the Bulldogs front and second row that are your most likely triers if you were to look into those options. Both of them are around the four to $6 odd range and that's Josh Curran and Jacob Preston. If I was to back any forwards for the Bulldogs those would be the two that I would go with. But even though like Broncos do rank low in these categories, it's not like they're conceding an extremely high number of tries through those positions. But Bulldogs are a side that kind of can score tries anywhere. So I don't want to have too many different options. I kind of just want to highlight one that I want to go with. So that'll be Kryon. So in the Broncos Bulldogs, we're going Jesse Arthur at 215, bet 365, and Bulldogs Steven Kryton $2.75. Three games on Friday. The first of those, Roosters versus Dragons. We have three players in this matchup. The first of those for the Sydney Roosters. At fullback, you have James Toedesco. Now, he hasn't scored a try this season yet. Um, so he'll obviously be very keen. He's playing well, setting up a lot of tries, just hasn't been scoring them. That could definitely change this week against the Dragons who ranked 14th in tries to fullback. They've conceded to the opponent fullback in four of six games so far this season. And James Kades Tedesco has an outstanding record against the Dragons. He scored in each of his last five games against them, a total of seven tries during that period. And so if there's any side he can get that try on the board to get the season going, uh this is likely to be the game. I mean $270 on Sports Bed to score a try, which I think is a reasonable price. Definitely factor in the fact that he hasn't scored so far this year and that price has been pushing out each week. But I think this is a good opportunity to jump on. Dragons don't concede tries out on the edges. You see they're ranked number one in tries conceded to the winger and tries conceded to the center. Rooster is going to have to find other ways to score. They don't have Dom Young in the side. He's been dropped for this game. Um Tedesco needs to come into play. Important game for the Roosters as well. They need a win to avoid going I think it's two and six now overall in the season if they lose this game. So need to get back to three and five. can't afford to drop this match up. Toesco needs to be heavily involved and the amount of tries he's been setting up, I think he deserves to score one. So, he's the one play that I have for the Roosters this week. Then for the Dragons, firstly on the right wing, Terrell Sloan, he's $1.99 at Sports Bet. Has a very good matchup here against Roosters. Dragons ranked number two and Roosters ranked 14th defensively. Roosters have conceded to the opponent rightwing in four of seven games this year and have also conceded three tries in their last two games. Terrell Sloan has had a double in each of his past two games against Manley and the Titans. So in very very good try scoring form and think he gets another one this week. Dragons should attack that right edge. You can see the Roosters rank 15th averaging 1.43 for three tries per game to opponent right centers and right wingers whereas they rank fifth to the same on the left side. Dragons how will have the best chance of success going to that right side which sets up nicely for Terrell Sloan. Also for the Dragons at fullback Clinton rooers have conceded to the fullback in five of seven games so far this season. Gth's paying $2.90 NDS to score a try. Um he'd got a double in the game against Eels a few weeks ago. Hasn't scored in the past two against Roosters back when he was playing for Paramata, but has scored in three of the last five against them. And as I said, the Roosters do concede tries to the fullback. Goth can be involved and grab a try here. And we're getting close to $3, which I think is a reasonable price for him. When it comes to try scorers, I do recommend that you change your staking based off the odds and confidence of the selection. So the players at shorter odds, you're better off having a higher stake on them and then the players at longer odds having a lower stake. That's the most long-term profitable way of approaching the trior bets. The Warriors nice game. I'm going to stay out of this one. There's not really any good situations for either side where for the Warriors, you'd expect they need to go towards their right center right wing as that's the weaker side for Newcastle defensively. New Zealand are going to not really have any success on that left edge. They rank 17th against the number one defense on that side. So I'd be looking at your right centers, right wingers. If I was looking at the Warriors for tri scorers for Newcastle, um there's no one I really keing for them. So I'm going to stay out of that game. It's also a game that on this round is one that's predicted to be low scoring. Fourth, uh, try scores. You generally want to look at the games that are more so leaning towards being shootouts compared to defensive grinds because the odds for try scores don't really fluctuate that much. It more so changes based off of that player's form and how often they've been scoring. But a lot of the time just stays very consistent each week unless that side is a huge favorite, which the next game we'll be looking at is in the storm. But you don't need to like place try score bets in games that are going to be lowcoring because you're not getting as much value as games that are going to be more likely to be high scoring. Next game and the third game on Friday, the Storm vers Rabbit. Storm, huge favorites here. Likely to win this game. Likely to win by a big margin unless the Rabbitos dramatically turn their form around. So I'm going to look at two players here for Melbourne. Firstly on the right wing, that'll be Kane Bradley this week. He has a good matchup against this Rabbito's defense that ranks 13th at defending right wingers. They have only conceded one try to the right wing in the last five weeks. So that concerns me a little bit. Four tries that they conceded. So four of the five they've conceded came in the first two games for South Sydney. Melbourne have a lot of points in them. They've scored in five or six games on their right wing. Obviously been multiple different players playing there. Um six tries across the last three weeks for them. Kane Bradley should get his chance. He scored two tries last week against the Dolphins in his first game of the season and I think he'll get opportunities here. He's $1.77 at bet 365. That'll be the first play there for Melbourne. And then also at fullback you have Ryan Papenhousen. Now you'll look at this and see well Storm are number one. So that's good in terms of tries for but Rabido's ranked fourth and they only have conceded the one try to fullback so far this season. But Papenhausen has an extremely good record against South Sydney. Similar to the Tedesco situation, there's just certain teams where fullbacks score tries against them. Papen has scored seven tries and scored in each of his last five games against the Rabbidos and wouldn't be at all surprised if he scores a try here. It's $183. I don't think there's a stack of value there. prefer a slightly better price in terms of taking a fullback, but as I mentioned, with his form and consistently scoring, he's scored in five or six games this season as well. It's obviously hard for the bookmakers to put up too long of a price for him. Um, so I'm happy to play him. They'll be the two players. Hopefully, Storm run off a score and win this game comfortably and both of them can get over for a try. Cowboys vers Titans. This is the first game on Saturday of three plays in this game. Titans so far this season have conceded uh eight tries to the opponent left center left winger and just four tries on the other side of the field. So they conceded double the amount of tries to this side of the field. So that sets up nicely for the Cowboys left center and left winger which is also where the Cowboys prefer to attack. They ran number two on that side of the field compared to 14 on the opposite side. So we're going to go with at left center firstly Jackson Peru. Um he's paying $245 at Neds to score a try in this game. Titans have conceded to the left center in four of the last five games and Perdu has scored in four of his past five games so far this season and at roughly $250 I think is a very very nice price for him. He hasn't played against Titans prior to this. But the where Cowboys like to attack and where Titans are conceding trials align perfectly here for Perdu. He had double in his last game before their buy against the Rabidos and think he'll score again in this matchup. Also sticking with that same side of the field on the wing, you had Mari Tagi. He's a $1.78 at Neds. Titans have conceded to the left wing in three of six games, but they have conceded three tries across the past two weeks. Tagi has scored in his last four games this season and scored in three of his last five against the Titans. He's $1.78 at Neds and he'll be the other player that I'm going to go with for the Gold Coast for the Cowboys. Sorry. As you can see, both have good matches. Third up, third verse 14th and sixth verse 9. So second verse 13th overall rating. Cowboys should attack that left edge. This is a game there is expected to be points in and I think like both these players will get their opportunity to score. One of them could get a double. There's a few different ways that it could play out. You could also take them to combine for two plus tries. That's another option of how you could play those two tri scorers. Then for the Titans, one player we want to go with here and that is on the left wing. So it's not like a great matchup. Cowboys that defensively pretty even on both sides of the field. Titans have been more so going towards their right edge. You see fifth verse 14th. That's because uh Carrera has been out of the side for a number of games this season. He's only had one game which he scored two tries in against the Bulldogs and he's back into the team for this game. So I think the Titans will start going more so towards that left edge once again. Cowboys have conceded to the left wing in four of their last five games. The last four games that Carrera has played, he scored a total of six tries. Across those four games, scoring in each of the three and scoring in three of the four and his two games against Cowboys, he scored two tries and one try. So scored in both of them. He's paying $2 at bet 365 to score a try and will definitely be surprised if he doesn't score in this matchup. So I really like all three of those plays. They're good matchups based on the way teams play in that game. Then two plays in the Panthers versus Eagles game. This is likely to be a good game. Draboic back in the side for Manley should help them in terms of their attack. Firstly though with the Panthers, we're going to go at the right wing here. Good matchup here for Penri and Paul Alamotti on that right wing. He's a $1.75 at sports bet to score a try in this game. Panthers ranked fourth. Seagulls ranked 17th. So they give up the most tries the opponent right winger in the league. They've conceded to the right wing in five of seven games this season and seven tries in the last three weeks. So teams are just going right after that edge of the seagulls. Alamody scored a double last week against the roosters. He had to score in any game against Seagulls, but he won't get any better opportunity than this one. So like they one thing to note is Lehi Hawati will be back on the left wing for Manley this week with Toovic back in. So that definitely helps and maybe that that recent form over the past three weeks has been blown out due to that. But the way the Panthers play um and like the years they've been scoring like Garner did a very good job in the centers at Rise Center last week just feeding Alamody Taho back into the lineup this week but I think Alamody will get his chances. Um it's very I be surprised if he doesn't sure try. so happy with the $1.75. If he was like, and this one thing you got to weigh up when you're betting is what price would you not be willing to take? If Alamody was a $155, $160, then I'm probably stay. But I think there's enough value in the $1.75. Too bad. And then for the seagulls, the two ways I looked at playing this, there's the fullback option and then also the right center, which on paper looks very, very good. Um, I'll just quickly mention this one first. So, Panthers have conceded to the right center in each of the last three weeks, but the reason this number is number one here for the Seagulls is Garrick got those four tries in the game earlier this season against CRA. Without that, they haven't scored in any other game. Whilst this looks like a good matchup, when I did the further investigation of it, turned out to be not so great. So, I'm going to leave that alone. But the player we're going to go with here is Tomboic at fullback. It's 235 at sports bet to score a try which for Triple which I think is a good price. Panthers defense hasn't been great. Like it was better last week against the roosters but not it wasn't still fantastic and there's still lots of room for improvement. Shabboic his first game back since round number four. He scored one try so far this season and has scored in three of his last four games against the Panthers. So a very good record against him. I wouldn't be at all surprised. He needs to help get this seagulls attack back rolling. Panthers have conceded to the fullback in three of their last five games. Hamso Tabui Fedau got hattrick as the Dolphins fullback against them a couple of weeks ago. And so yeah, wouldn't be surprised for Toovic to score a try in this game. Then on the Sunday games, we have the Raiders vers Dolphins. Two plays in this matchup, one for each side. Firstly for the Raiders on the right wing. This is where the Dolphins concede the second most tries of any side. They've conceded to the right winger in five of seven games this season. Eight tries total compared to the left wing. They've only conceded four tries to the opponent left winger. So double the tries on the right wing. Expect this is the way Camber go. They rank the Dolphins ranked 14th overall defending the right edge whereas they ranked fifth on the other side. Xavier Savage on the right wing for Camber. But he's $188 to score a try at Ned's in this game, which I think is a reasonable price for him when we're getting close to even money mark. Hasn't been having like the greatest season so far. Just a couple of tries so far. However, has scored in his only game against the Dolphins and has a very good matchup. Expect they look to utilize him a bit more on that right wing with a very good matchup and that's the way the Raiders should look to target against this Dolphins defense. Then for the Dolphins the on the left wing. So that's this matchup right here. Now you might look at this and see like well they ranked 15th in offc scoring tries through this position and yes the Raiders do concede tries there so it could be good. Um firstly Raiders have conceded to the left wing in five of seven games. Jack Bosto is on the left wing now. He got a try last week against the Storm. That'll be his second try of the season and did score in the only game against CRA. The reason why I like this matchup is Dolphins, they're in very good attacking form at the moment. So, they are playing a lot better than they were early on in the season and the Raiders defend the right wing a lot better than they do the left wing. So, I think it'll be in the interest of Redcliffe to more so target the left edge, which is something they haven't been doing so far this season. They've been relying on tries to tab Fidau. He may generate line breaks, but I don't know whether he'll score. Raiders haven't conceded a try or fullback so far this season. So in my opinion at the better odds. So we're getting $220 for Bosto to score a try compared to around even money for Tabu. So at the odds he's the player that I prefer the most out of the Dolphins as the most likely try scorer of the two in this game. Savage is definitely my more confident play though. Just want to mention that. And then final game of the round, Tigers versus Sharks. I'm not really interested in any players there for the Tigers in terms of try scorers. Basically, it's um very clear that what this shows us that where the Tigers are strong is also where the Sharks are strong defensively. So, there's no good setup there for West. But for the Sharks, two players want to target, they're both on the left edge. It's no real use to the Sharks going to the right side. Now, Sharks do have a good right side attack. Sam Stone Street scored plenty of tries in the last couple of weeks on that right wing, but the Tigers have now only conceded one try to a right winger so far this season and no tries to the right center. And that try was just last week against Paramata. So still ranked number one quite clearly, but ranked 15th defensively. Now Sharks just need to go to the left side. They'll find points there. So we're going to look at the left wing and left center for the Sharks. So firstly we'll go with left center where Sharks ranked number one. So early on in the season they had Kyle Iro playing left center. He is out injured. Mweni Herodi has come in to replace him and he scored in every game so far. Tigers have conceded to the left center in the three of the last five games and Herodi is paying $265 to score a try in this game. Didn't score in his only game against West but as I mentioned he scored in all three games this season and has also scored in his last five games. So happy back him. I think the Sharks just need to target this left edge and it'll go a long way to winning this game alone. Then on the left wing, Ronaldo Mullet. He hasn't been in good try scoring form so far this season, but did score a hattick in his last game against West Tigers. The Tigers have conceded to the left wing in five of seven games this season. Seven tries total. When you compare that to the right wing which was only one like this tells us that's like simple strategy for the sharks just go to the left this week and it should be all good. Um so Ronaldo Militaro $187 at net. Um so I'll quickly run through and summarize all the plays. Remember to adjust staking based off the odds that you get for each player. And you definitely want to shop around. The reason why I'm letting you guys know which company has the best odds for each player is because there can be sometimes quite severe differences. A few of these players that are $1.90 are $160 70 at other bookmakers. So don't just have the one account and just back everything with them as you'll often be missing out on better odds. It's generally like a wide um variety of different prices for the different players. So if you can get the best odds every single time, that alone goes a long way towards you being profitable. In the Broncos, Bulldogs, we're going Jesse Arthurs and Steven Kryton. Rooers, Dragons, James Tedesco, Terrell Sloan, Clint Gth. Then Storm Rabbidos, Kane Bradley, and Ryan Papenhousen. Uh, no plays in the Warriors nights game. Cowboys Titans, we're going with Jackson Purdue, Mari Tagi, Alfiana K Pereira. Then Panthers, Seagulls, Alamodi, and Tom Travoyovich. Raiders, Dolphins, we're going with Xavier Savage and Jack Bosto. And then finally, Tiger Sharks, Ronaldo Mullet, and Matti Harati to close out the round. Those are going to be the selections for upcoming week. Good luck if you're following along. Thanks guys for watching. You want to use the bet finder tools for yourself to analyze not just tri scores, but also games. So, when you're betting on who's going to win, how much they're going to win by, how many points are going to be scored, all those other markets you can bet on in the NRL, all those tools are included in the bet finders, which you can access in the description, and that's where I also post everything I'm betting on the NRL, plus additional preview shows. So, definitely check it out, and I'll see you guys in the next video.