Mount Tambora's Eruption and Geoengineering Insights

Aug 29, 2024

Lecture Notes: The Eruption of Mount Tambora and Geoengineering

Mount Tambora Eruption (1815)

  • Date: April 10, 1815
  • Location: Present-day Indonesia
  • Event: Largest eruption in recorded history
  • Immediate Impact:
    • Sulfurous plumes and ash clouds
    • Sun obscured for nearly a year
  • Consequences:
    • "Year without a Summer" (1816)
    • Global cooler temperatures
    • Agricultural havoc and famines in the Northern Hemisphere
    • Epidemics and bleak artistic expressions

Modern Interest in Replicating Effects

  • Purpose: To slow global warming
  • Method: Use sulfurous haze to block sunlight

Geoengineering

  • Definition: Deliberate, large-scale interventions in Earth’s systems to mitigate climate change
  • Types of Geoengineering:
    • Solar Radiation Management (SRM):
      • Block sunlight from reaching Earth
      • Large-scale proposals (e.g., volcanic plumes, giant sunshades)
      • Smaller-scale projects (e.g., enlarging marine clouds, white reflective surfaces)

Natural Precedents and Risks

  • Volcanic Eruptions as Natural Experiments:
    • Examples:
      • 1991 Pinatubo Eruption
      • 1883 Krakatoa Eruption
    • Effects: Temporary global cooling (~0.5°C)
  • Risks of Geoengineering:
    • Unpredictable Climate Effects:
      • Impact on precipitation and extreme weather
    • Potential Global Disasters:
      • Cross-border consequences, such as crop failures
    • Incomplete Solutions:
      • Only address temperature, not greenhouse gas levels
      • Risk of "super warming" if stopped prematurely

Current Research and Future Considerations

  • Small-Scale Experiments:
    • Example: Enhancing marine clouds to protect the Great Barrier Reef
  • Priority of Actions:
    • Reducing emissions and removing CO2 should come first
  • Future of Geoengineering:
    • Potential last-resort measure
    • Need for preparedness against unauthorized geoengineering
  • Unintended Geoengineering:
    • Climate change driven by fossil fuel emissions
    • Urgent need to curb emissions to prevent permanent climate alterations

Conclusion

  • Geoengineering carries significant risks and uncertainties.
  • Priority should remain on reducing emissions and CO2 removal.
  • Continued research is crucial to understanding and potentially controlling geoengineering effects.