Essential Project Analysis Methods

Aug 28, 2024

Business Justification Analysis Methods

Introduction

  • Purpose: Authorize or justify a project or decision.
  • Used to select the best project among alternatives.
  • Conducted in pre-project phase by business analysts or project sponsor team.

Key Analysis Methods

1. Net Present Value (NPV)

  • Definition: Future value of expected benefits minus future value of investment.
  • Considers current and future costs, benefits, and inflation.
  • Formula:
    • Present Value (PV) = Future Value (FV) / (1 + interest rate)^number of years
    • Future Value = Present Value * (1 + interest rate)^number of years
  • Example Calculation:
    • PV of $100 in 2 years at 8% interest = $85.9
  • Project Comparison:
    • Select projects with higher NPV.
    • Example: Project B is better if it has a higher NPV than Project A.
  • Profitability:
    • NPV > 0: Profitable
    • NPV = 0: Break-even
    • NPV < 0: Loss

2. Internal Rate of Return (IRR)

  • Definition: Projected annual yield of project investment.
  • Percentage growth rate expected annually.
  • Selection Criteria: Choose project with a higher IRR.
  • Example:
    • Project with IRR of 15% is chosen over one with 9%.

3. Payback Period

  • Definition: Time needed to recover an investment.
  • Selection Criteria: Shorter payback period is better.
  • Example: If investment is recovered in 4 years, payback period is 4.

4. Cost Benefit Analysis (CBA)

  • Definition: Compares benefits provided by a project against its costs.
  • Benefit Cost Ratio (BCR):
    • BCR > 1: Benefits exceed costs; project is good.
    • BCR < 1: Costs exceed benefits; project is not good.
    • BCR = 1: Project will break even.
  • Example:
    • $2 million revenue vs. $1 million cost gives BCR of 2 (profitable).

Conclusion

  • Being familiar with these tools helps in selecting the best project.
  • Important for project managers and team members to understand these analyses.