Predictive Analytics in Modern Baseball

Sep 25, 2024

Lecture Notes: Forrester Technopolitics with Ari Kaplan

Introduction

  • Speaker: Mike Waltieri, Forrester Principal Analyst
  • Guest: Ari Kaplan, President of AriBall, involved in Major League Baseball using predictive analytics.

Overview of AriBall

  • Purpose: Use analytics to predict economic impacts and performance of baseball players.
  • Areas of Focus:
    • Above the Field: Forecast economic impacts and future performance, assess risks like "dollar on the muscle."
    • On the Field: Work with players and coaches using analytics to find strengths and weaknesses.

Predictive Analytics in Baseball

  • Adoption by Teams:
    • Varies by team due to different cultures and personalities.
    • Teams aim to maximize investments on and off the field.
  • Data Sources:
    • Team Collected Data: Proprietary information collected by teams.
    • Third-Party Vendors: Provide detailed pitch data, including pitcher's hand position, ball spin, and movement.
  • Data Utilization:
    • Analyze patterns in player behavior.
    • Develop game plans based on data insights.

Recent Developments and Future

  • Pitching and Hitting Analytics:
    • Teams examining pitching command and hitting mechanics.
  • Data Collection:
    • Increasing use of camera setups in fields to collect comprehensive game data.
    • Potential use of sensors for more detailed analytics.

Importance of Data and Technology

  • Quantifying Player Performance:
    • Objective metrics to compare players, e.g., throw speed, positioning.
  • Role of Data Scientists:
    • Recognized as key contributors to team success due to their analytical capabilities.

Conclusion

  • Predictive analytics play a crucial role in modern baseball.
  • Data scientists and computer scientists are becoming increasingly important in team staff.

End of Notes