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Global Urbanization Trends and Projections

Mar 31, 2025

Urbanization Prospects by UN DESA

Key Statistics on Urbanization

  • Projection for 2050: 68% of the world population will live in urban areas.
  • Current Statistics (2018): 55% of the world's population lives in urban areas.
  • Population Growth: Urban areas expected to gain 2.5 billion more people by 2050.
  • Regions of Growth: 90% of urban growth will occur in Asia and Africa.

Urban Population Concentration

  • Primary Contributors: India, China, and Nigeria will contribute to 35% of the urban population growth.
    • India: Add 416 million urban dwellers
    • China: Add 255 million urban dwellers
    • Nigeria: Add 189 million urban dwellers

Current Urbanization Levels

  • **Largest Urban Populations: **
    • Asia: 54% of global urban population
    • Europe and Africa: 13% each
  • Most Urbanized Regions:
    • Northern America: 82%
    • Latin America and the Caribbean: 81%
    • Europe: 74%
    • Oceania: 68%
    • Asia: Nearing 50%
    • Africa: 43%

Decline in Some Urban and Rural Areas

  • Urban Decline: Certain cities in Asia and Europe, like Nagasaki (Japan) and Busan (South Korea), have seen declines due to low fertility, economic contraction, and emigration.
  • Future Projections: Fewer cities are expected to decline by 2030 compared to the past two decades.
  • Rural Population Trends:
    • Current rural population: 3.4 billion
    • Expected to peak soon and decline to 3.1 billion by 2050.
    • Major Rural Populations: Africa and Asia house 90% of the rural population.

Mega Cities and Urban Rankings

  • Largest Cities:
    • Tokyo: 37 million
    • New Delhi: 29 million, expected to become world's most populous city by 2028
    • Shanghai, Mexico City, São Paulo, Cairo, Mumbai, Beijing, and Dhaka all have significant populations.
  • Growth in Megacities: By 2030, there will be 43 megacities, most in developing regions.
  • Smaller Urban Settlements: Nearly half of urban dwellers live in cities with fewer than 500,000 inhabitants.

Sustainable Urbanization and Development

  • Importance: Understanding urban trends is vital for the 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development.
  • Challenges: Urban management, housing, infrastructure, employment, education, and healthcare in rapidly urbanizing regions.
  • Policy Needs: Integrated urban-rural policies to ensure inclusive benefits of urbanization.

About the Data

  • Source: 2018 Revision of World Urbanization Prospects by UN DESA.
  • Purpose: Regular updates on urban and rural population projections for all countries and major agglomerations since 1988.