are you struggling with finding projections and targets with your trades when you're trading ICT Concepts well today we're going to be going over a highly requested video that I've been getting uh from my community and that is standard deviation now standard deviation is an ICT concept that I use pretty frequently and the main reason I use it is to give me an idea of where to set my targets for a trade so let's jump right into it what is standard deviation how to use it and uh the best ways to use trades and add Confluence to your trades so let's jump into the charts here so just basically understanding what standard deviation is now standard deviation is a fib technique using a Fibonacci retracement and it looks like this now you're like probably wondering Justin what the hell is this thing how how is this going to give me a better understanding of you know where I should put my targets well this is basically how we use standard deviation when looking at some sort of chart like this we want to use this us our higher time frame PD arrays right so using an already existing model of what we trade right now this one thing I want to make clear is standard deviation is not meant to take trades off of it is meant to add Confluence onto your trades and to give you an idea of where your targets should be for trades you should not take trades just based off of standard deviation you need an already existing model okay so using a higher time frame pdra this could be you know a buy side liquidity level or a bu a bigger time frame you know maybe a 1H hour fair value Gap whatever it is right when we want to let's say take a short position and we have the market coming up Market coming up and we end up coming to this higher time frame PD let's say it's buy side what are we looking for internal liquidity to be swept and then displacement to the downside right and then we look to take you know some sort of short position right so the way that we draw in standard deviation is we look at whatever the manipulation move is now the manipulation move is whatever the last move to take out internal cell or internal buy side or internal sell side before the market structure shift so you can see here is when we broke structure to the downside right here and this was the last High we take so this whole move right here is our manipulation move so this is where we're looking to draw in our standard deviation to get projections for the downside right because again buy side swep we get internal swep we get Market structure shift where am I expecting markets to go I'm expecting to see a sell off that's normally you know my main setup now standard deviation is going to give us an idea in a projection of that so the way that we would draw this in is we go from the high to the low of this move and this is going to give us projections for where we think the market is going to go now mainly my main target is going to be this 2 to 2.5 area on standard deviation and a lot of the times I want to see this area align with some sort of PD array whether that be um existing cell side liquidity right let's say we have you know equal lows here whatever it is or a bigger time frame uh fair value Gap or whatever it is right I like to see it align with whatever you know external PD array is you know telling me so 2 to 2.5 is my main Target and then I let my run go to four is what I normally like to see so this is the main model this is what standard deviation is I'm going to give you guys what the settings look like so here is the settings for it or my specific settings now the you don't really need the 62 or the 79 this is just optimal trade entry that I keep on but this is basically my settings for this you can take a look and uh add it to your FIB all right so now that we've gotten the main understanding of what standard deviation is let's jump into some real examples so here is our first example looking at NQ here you can see we have our buy side level resting here markets have come down now starting to form that buy side of the curve we have sell side of the curve buy side of the curve coming in I'm now looking to see the target be this buy side level and then I'm looking to take shorts so again I'm waiting for Price action to tell me the story we're coming up we're coming up I'm waiting I'm waiting for that buy side level to be taken all right now that buy side's taken what am I looking for I'm looking for internal liquidity to be swept there we go internal liquidity swept at the highs and now I'm looking for a break of structure boom right here so now this is now my manipulation move right here once we get this break of structure to the downside you can see internal has now been swept we've now gotten displacement to the downside so this is now my manipulation move this is where I will draw in my standard deviation so looking at where we are right now notice also where the 2.25 in the for likes to line up notice 2 2 to 2.5 we align right here with this sell side level so this right here would be my main target for this trade noticing as well we do have equal lows here so this would be my main target for this trade when we sell off I'm looking to see this area and then I'm looking to see this four area get met as well so these are the two areas that I want to see price come to and uh let's see how this ends ended up playing out that would be your entry here again displacement back wait for the pull back to the fair value Gap enter short we'll see if our projections get met and there we go two to 2.5 on NQ and we'll see if the fourth projection gets met and there we go big sell off to that level so this was a first example again buy side met use the manipulation moves gives you an idea of where price wants to go let's look at another example all right here's another example looking at Euro USD again clear buy side level wait for that to get taken we put in a high I'm waiting for internal to now be taken internal now gets taken so now we have a significant low I want to see this low now broken through with big displacement to the downside to validate that we have now had our manipulation move there we go big move to the downside we end up retracing back into this big fair value Gap this is where I'm expecting to now hold price so now where do we expect to go well let's draw in our standard deviation going from the high to the low of that manipulation move and where is the first price Target I'm looking to see this 2 to 2.5 this is my main target to see and then notice as well our external cell side level aligns pretty closely to this four so this is my two Targets here this 2.5 and this external cell side level let's see if this ends up playing out first Target gets hit and there we go all the way back to sell side and there we go that point4 is now hit and notice notice exactly where we end up stopping as well here right when we hit that point4 we automatically bounce to the upside and notice where we go here all right here's another example but using cide liquidity so again this is on AUD coming down waiting for sside to be taken we've now swept it so now again I'm waiting for structure to form looking like we swept internal so again what am I waiting for I'm looking to see a break of a high there we go right there so again looking at where we are this is exactly what I want to see sell side has now been swept we formed some structure we have now swept that internal low and we have now displaced Above This High here so this is now my manipulation move right here so this is where I'm going to draw in my standard deviation from the low to the high now and this is now giving me my projections so notice notice exactly where that four lines up It lines up perfectly with bide this is where I'm possibly expecting the market to go again now that sell side has been taken I want to see us now go back to buy side now my main target here is going to be this 2 to 2.5 because that's the most likely it's the highest probability that we're going to go here then it will be here but we'll see how this ends up playing out do we go to our targets here continues to get bought back up first Target is now met notice we start to sell off after this right we come up to this 2.5 and it acts as an area of resistance one thing that you'll notice about standard deviation is it acts as support and resistance sometimes if the draw is not super strong a lot of the times we will come up to these areas this 2 to 2.5 area and we will look to reject this area and possibly then go back to Discount of this entire range here to then go back higher so keep that in mind watch this notice we have now came back to Discount after going to this 2 to 2.5 we were reject it retrace back to Discount of this entire range and now I'm expecting us to go back to these highs here notice we also come down to sweep this internal low here all right let's see if we continue to get bought back up to the four and boom there you go end up retracing back to Discount after the 2 to 2.5 and then gets bought right back to that point4 area on AUD let's check out some another examples and some more complex ideas that I want to start going over with you so standard deviation is is a way that you can project targets but not only can you use it for that but also use it for Confluence on when to possibly inverse your bias now in this specific example here this is notice when we come up to this 2.5 we actually reject this area and sell back off to Discount this happens a lot and I want to make sure you guys know how to use it to your advantage so let's check some other examples as well so here is another example on NQ and this is where we're going to start diving into more complex ideas using standard deviation now I'm going to show you these trades that I actually did take at the end I'll show you guys the executions that I did um this was on September 19th and this is a really good understanding and show you guys how strong and how powerful standard deviation is and the different ways to use it and the different ways that I like to use it so looking at NASDAQ here again I have my buy side level marked in I'm looking to see this get taken right when this gets taken on NQ again waiting for structure notice there's no manipulation move here yet we still have only put in one high here so I'm not really looking to take anything yet just quite yet again I'm still waiting right now I'm looking to see manipulation right I'm looking to see one more time for us to come up take this High out and then look to see that that displacement back down all right coming up coming up coming up again looking for break of structure to the downside now right internal has now been taken I'm now look looking to see a low boom there we go notice we end up coming up one more time as well so this is our manipul move right notice this is not our manipulation move because this is the last high that is put in so again we zoom out noticing buy side's not been swept internals not been swept so where do I draw standard deviation here I draw it from this move right here because this is the internal draw being taken this is now an internal short model we have buy side swept we have internal now swept again charts are all fractal right it's models inside of models inside of models so this now becomes comes my manipulation move here this last low that puts in between this High here now you can either draw it in this way or Draw it in this way these are the two but I would draw it in this way and you'll notice that even if you draw it in this way or this way it'll still give you the exact same reward and I'll and I'll show why so let's mark it in here again noticing where are my main targets here now this is going to be a partial but it's not going to be my main target this time standard deviation is to give you an understanding of what should be your main targets but also what aligns with the market and what is the market telling you so on this specific trade here I waited for us to come into this fair value Gap I took shorts and I was targeting mainly this level here I actually in fact I actually I did take a contract off here but I took most of my contracts off here now if I was to draw in standard deviation the other way that we were talking about which is this way notice it also aligns perfectly with 2 to 2.5 area and this is where I would want to see us come down to so no matter how how much you draw here I would want to see the exact same thing I want to see the market come to this area so I'm in shorts I'm looking at sell side boom boom boom boom boom bo boom boom boom we end up selling off now notice we have now hit for retracement on this trade notice as well if I was to draw in this way we've now hit 2 to 2.5 so what I expect to come down here it's possible but what what do I want to watch one thing that I want you guys to notice is look what happens here so let's draw it in this way here NQ is now in 2 to 2.5 projection is this bearish or bullish remember what I said earlier we like to act as support and resistance these two to 2.5 areas I like to think of these as support zones or resistance zones now notice when you start to align this with overall ICT Concepts and ICT biases noticing we have now just swept into cell side here as well so am I really looking to let this run any further not really my target here has now been met so what is an opportunity that I can now take a trade off of if we continue to show a model A buy model meaning sell-side swept internal sell Sid swept displacement There's an opportunity for me to take a trade back to the upside and I can use standard deviation again inside standard deviation to get a projection so looking at this sell side's now swept what am I waiting for I'm looking for internal to be swept notice we form equal lows still not yet still not ready still not ready boom sell Si's now been swept this is now my manipulation move notice we're still holding this 2 to 2.5 area so what am I expecting this is what I want you guys to know when we hold two to 2.5 areas and we hold four projections meaning we come down here hold it fail to go lower come down here here hold fail failed to go lower or fail to go higher fail to go higher whatever it is a lot of the times we will go back to Discount of whatever the ranges so notice we have this whole entire range here I am confident after seeing this manipulation move and seeing displacement to the upside that we now go back to Discount of this range here which is here so I actually ended up taking a scalp opportunity trade here to Target this so this is when you can go down even smaller time frames like a 30second and zoom in and see if there's any more opportunity there so sell side's now been swept this now becomes my manipulation move where am I expecting markets to go 2 to 2.5 area and I also draw in the consequent encroachment of this area which is the exact midpoint so what's the first Target here first Target is 50% of this entire range here right get displacement up again noticing we run this for Value Gap if you were looking to take a trade here this would be your first entry if you wanted to take a more aggressive entry would be wait for this to get ran through and then boom inverse fair value Gap we get tapped in goes long that was my trade that was my entry and notice we go right back to Discount first so now another opportunity again I'm long buas now we've now come down we've swept sell side this is now our Market structure shift here again using standard deviation once again we now have internal swept break a structure to the upside with displacement I draw in my my FIB where am I expecting price to go 2 to 2.5 area where can I look to take an entry fair value Gap I'm not looking to take Longs here we come in I enter long in this fair value Gap what's my target here first buy side 2 to 2.5 notice where we go here and where do we reject where do we stop gets bought back up goes straight to BU side do we continue higher we do notice where we stop and sell back off we end up coming here to this 2.5 area reject reject sells back off now notice how this acts the entire day comes back up goes to the exact midpoint still rejecting again notice we cannot break through this reject now now keep watching keep watching still holding still holding still holding still holding still holding and we end up selling back off the entire day this 2.5 projection acts as a point of resistance the whole day notice every time we come back up here every single time and then we end up selling off so this is the hidden key or hidden sort of idea in that I like to use for standard deviation is I like to see what's getting respected what's getting disrespected from PD arrays like fair value gaps but also through standard deviation our projection here never gets broken through and continues to act as resistance the entire day right so this is something I want you guys to note again we got an opportunity here from using the exact same idea number one I still have my first trade a buyid swept beautiful short trade where's my projection my target this is my target now how can I use that right sell sides not been swept we're holding this 2 to 2.5 number one I expect us to go back to discount but once I get this break of structure back to the upside again I can use standard deviation out of standard deviation to then give us another projected Target which where we go to and then I use then this information to give me an idea of maybe another possible trade that I can take later and notice on the 15 minute how much we respect this not a single candle close inside of this area all of these Wicks how much we respect this area and then sell off in the PM session so I want you guys to take this video and I I plan on making another standard deviation video in the future but this is just the introduction and what I want to challenge you guys to do is I want you guys to start using standard deviation when you see fit and I want you to back test what happens in price when those projections are met after they're met once we go to 2.5 and two once we go to four what happens afterward and I want you to journal that now I not not only want you to journal that but Journal how many times when you get a good setup and you see a manipulation move that we actually go to those projected targets because I guarantee you it'll surprise you how much we do so this was the first video on standard deviation an introduction to it understanding it uh to give you guys an understanding of specific idea as well this was that execution that I had on this day you can see that initial short that I took ended up selling off added to this took it off in the 2.2.5 right when we ended up sweeping sell side I entered back long took it off when we reached discount of this entire range and then I added my Longs back when we came back into that fair value Gap took some off at the one and then I took it off at buy side and then we ended up coming to 2.5 so I'm hoping you guys enjoyed this video if you did make sure to leave a like subscribe new content for you guys coming um the Discord is still on sale for the next 3 days take advantage of the birthday sale and we are having a huge sale right now it will never be this cheap ever ever ever ever again so take advantage of it I will see you guys in the next one peace