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Futures Index Trading Insights

Oct 13, 2024

Lecture on Futures Index Trading

Introduction

  • Focus on major four asset classes: Index trading, specifically futures index trading.
  • Emphasis on paper trade and reading disclaimers.

Session Details

  • Date and Context: June 2017 ICT Mentorship, ICT Index Trading Concepts Lesson 1.
  • Focus on the e-mini S&P 500 (symbol: ES).
    • Trading during New York session (9:30 a.m. - 4 p.m. NY time).
    • Contract delivery months: March (Code H), June (Code M), September (Code U), December (Code Z).
    • Format example: ESU17 for September 2017's contract.
    • Tick value: $12.50 (1 point = 4 ticks = $50).
    • Leveraging: $50 times the S&P 500 index.

Index Trading Basics

  • SPOOS: Slang name for S&P 500 trading, popular in the 1980s.
    • Opening Range Concept:
      • Highest volume: 9:30 a.m. to 10:00 a.m. NY time.
      • True day: 9:30 a.m. - 4 p.m. NY time (focus on day trading).
      • Opening range: 9:30 a.m. - 10:30 a.m. NY time (1-hour focus).
      • Significance: Creates market high or low, potential run on stops or fair value setup.

Trading Examples

  • Chart Analysis:
    • Example 1: 15-minute chart for September contract 2017.
      • Delineates opening range (9:30 - 10:30 a.m.).
      • Volume highest during this period.
      • Potential trades by observing reference points within the opening range.
    • Example 2: 5-minute chart for a different day.
      • Highlighting opening range and associated price movements.
      • Observing bullish order blocks and potential rallies.
    • Example 3: Similar analysis for September contract.
      • Extended range analysis and impact on potential trades.
      • The concept of 'turtle soup' (price movement below opening range).

Other Indices

  • NASDAQ e-mini futures:

    • Opening range: 9:30 - 10:30 a.m. NY time.
    • Volume patterns and potential short positions within range.
    • Reference to rejection blocks and order blocks.
  • Dow mini futures:

    • Opening range: 9:30 - 10:30 a.m. NY time.
    • Observing volume nuances and rejection blocks.
    • Emphasis on volume precursors to price movements.

Trading Techniques

  • Importance of Opening Range:
    • Focus on 60-minute opening range; significance in setting support/resistance levels.
    • First 30 minutes are crucial for AM Trend trading.
    • Institutional order flow consideration for better trade decisions.

Conclusion

  • Overview of indices trading and the importance of blending different indices for stronger signals.
  • Emphasis on understanding the opening range and its implications for trading strategies.
  • Upcoming focus on Trading the AM Trend in the next session.