Now, maybe you've been burned in the past. Maybe every once in a while you'll hear a name it'll just make you throw up a little bit in your mouth. But facts are facts. Today, we're not just talking about four players with league winning upside. I'm showing you how. What is going on, Headliner Nation? Hopefully, everyone is doing well out there today where we are now up to six videos a week. So, be sure to hit that subscribe button. Now, before we dive in to the players that have that league winning upside, I think I need to define what that means. Now, when I think about league winning upside, I'm thinking about players that can well outproduce the spot in which they're being drafted. By them outproducing what is expected of them, it gives your roster a boost when you really weren't expecting it. Meaning, you are scoring more points and winning more matchups. Now, these players may not be the definition of fantasy draft sexiness out there, but they do have the necessary opportunity in 2025 to surprise you. So, if you hear a name that you do not like, please do me a favor. Give me a chance to at least show you the potential on the screen. There is no need to be one of those over emotional bros in the comment section of a fantasy football video. So, with that being said, the first guy I'm going to discuss is a quarterback, and it's Bryce Young of the Carolina Panthers. Now, the dude had a rough start to his career, being benched, a lack of production, a lack of overall weapons, some bad play calling there to start off his career, but we cannot ignore what he did the end of last season in 2024. He not only got his job back, but from week 12 on of last season, Bryce Young was the quarterback six overall in fantasy football. Over that span, he averaged over 21 fantasy points per game and outscored guys like Kyler Murray and Justin. It took a while, but it's like the Dave Canelis offense finally clicked and we saw the improvements on the field already. Now we enter 2025 and Carolina just added yet another weapon in arguably the best wide receiver in the NFL draft. Teteroa McMillan that's going to give Bryce Young a solid trio of McMillan, Legette and Thelen. But they added another piece that I think a lot of people are overlooking in Jimmy Horn. I would not be surprised if he ends up being a big part of this offense as well. But not only that, they added Hunter Renfro as well. Now he is looking healthy. He's looking great in camp. Damn near dominant, I must say. This wide receiver room is absolutely jacked in Carolina. Their offensive line is much improved. A top 12 offensive line in the NFL this season. They have a very capable run game in Chuba Hubard and Rico Dao. So, let me show you what we could be dealing with here in 2025. and I'm about to take you to damn fantasy church. So, be sure to hit the like button here as we dive in. And let's start with dissecting what Bryce Young did from week 12 on last year. He averaged over that span 33 pass attempts a game, 6.8 yards per pass attempt, one passing touchdown every 21 pass attempts, an interception every 77 pass attempts, four rush attempts per game, 6.1 yards per rush, and one damn rushing touchdown every 5.6 rush attempts. That number right there, redonkulous. Probably not going to be something that is duplicated. We'll talk about that in a minute. But even though this offense dramatically improved this off seasonason by getting guys like McMillan and Renfro and Jimmy Horn like we just talked about, let's just project his numbers from the end of last season over a 17 game season and see what comes out. Now, if we do that, when we get to pass attempts, 33 per game times 17 games is 561 pass attempts on the year. 561 pass attempts times 6.8 yards per attempt is 3,814 yards passing. If we take those pass attempts and divide it by 21, his pass attempts per touchdown rate, it's 27 passing touchdowns. Also, seven interceptions. But then we get to the rushing totals. How about four rush attempts a game gives him 68 on the season. 6.1 yards per rush would give him around 414 yards rushing. And then 68 rush attempts and a touchdown every 5.6 six attempts would give him 12 rushing touchdowns. Now, I am well aware of the fact that these rushing numbers, especially the touchdowns, are nowhere near realistic for a full season. I'm going to address that here in just one second. But for now, let's go ahead and convert all these stats over to fantasy points. And if we do that, it comes out to be 359.9 fantasy points and would have made Bryce Young the QB six overall on the year, only five points behind Jaden Daniels. But Jake, the rushing numbers, don't you remember? Yes, I do. And that's where we're going to get to them right now. Let's cut those numbers in half and let's just see where it gets us. We will remove six rushing touchdowns and 200 yards rushing from his rushing total projected above. That's a total of 56 fantasy points that we're removing from his total and that now takes him down to 303.9 fantasy points on the season. That would be good enough to make him the quarterback 11 last year. But heck, you could also take away another two rushing touchdowns to only give him four on the year and he's still inside the top 12 quarterbacks. Right now, he is currently going as the quarterback 23. And remember, we didn't even take into account the improvements to the offense here in 2025, even if that only boosts his production 5%. It makes him potentially a top 10 fantasy quarterback. Now, I get it. Not a lot of people in normal one QB leagues are going to want to enter the season with Bryce Young as their only quarterback. But if you want to punt the quarterback position altogether or take another guy late to see what happens, Bryce Young has league winning upside this season. Now, if you're looking for even more league upside, you got to get yourself a 2025 fantasy football draft guide. It's live. It's available now. And all you got to do is head over to tfasdraftguide.com and get yours right now. It's got cheat sheets, tier rankings, breakouts, bus, sleepers, injury analysis, offensive line rankings, and so much more. I can tell you that a lot of your league mates are probably getting one. So, if you don't, you're already starting behind the eightball in 2025. Now, if you want a free draft guide, all you got to do is head over to Underdog Fantasy or download the app, create a new account using the referral code headliners. When you do so, you then make your initial minimum deposit and enter a contest of your choice. It can be a player pick them. It can be a best ball draft. Whichever you so choose. Once you complete that process, Underdog is covering the cost of your draft guide. It's a great way to get a ton of information and have a little bit of fun along the way as well. Now, I will say typically it takes around 24 hours or so for us to get the report from Underdog to send out the free draft guides. But don't worry, if you complete the Underdog process, you'll be taken care of. There's links to everything down below in the description, so be sure to check them out after the video is over. All right, the next player we're talking about with league winning upside is DeAndre Swift, running back of the Chicago Bears. And I get it. The guy has been hyped for multiple years in his career, but has never really lived up to the hype. Now, he enters into 2025 and is sitting as the consensus RB22 right now. Now, there's also the fact that he plays for the Bears, and they've been a fantasy disappointment for years, but there is so much to look forward to in 2025 for DeAndre Swift. First off, his price on draft day. As the current RB22, it's going to give him a projected ADP somewhere in the late 5th to early sixth round. How about the fact that they have a new head coach in Chicago and Ben Johnson, former Detroit Lions offensive coordinator? What did they do a lot the last couple of years in Detroit? They ran the football and put points up on the board. Now, sure, there are going to be some rough points here at offseason training camp. That's the purpose of camp. Players are trying to learn a brand new offense. If you're watching dudes play football in shorts in July and making concrete decisions on what they're going to do in the season, you're going to lose at this game more times than not. Give them a few weeks and things are going to start to click. Then we get to the health and availability of DeAndre Swift, something he wasn't really known for the first three years of his career. However, over the last two seasons, he's played in at least 15 games and had at least 268 touches in each of those seasons. But now, we have to take into account that he's running behind one of the most improved offensive lines in the NFL. This off seasonason, Chicago brought in Joe Tuni, Drew Dolman, and Jonah Jackson. But will Swift be going against a bunch of stack boxes? Hell to the no, he isn't. Caleb Williams with DJ Moore, Roma Dunay, Luther Burton, Cole Kit, and Coloulston Lovelin are going to ensure that the boxes stay empty. Now, there is the fact that Roshan Johnson could have a decent role in this offense, but it's not like Ben Johnson hasn't shown success with multiple backs in the past couple of years with Jir Gibbs and David Montgomery. And honestly, if we want to be honest with each other, Roshan has been one of the worst running backs in the NFL when it comes to efficiency the last couple of seasons. So, let me dive into DeAndre Swift and show you what we could be dealing with here in 2025. Last season, DeAndre Swift had 253 rush attempts, 959 yards rushing, six rushing touchdowns, 42 receptions, and 386 yards receiving. So, Swift had 1300 total yards and six total touchdowns in a worse situation last year and still finished as the RB19 with 172.5 fantasy points. Now, currently this year, he's going three spots lower than where he finished last season. But when you look at the numbers closer, you will be able to see that he is not light years away from being a top 12 running back. Now, last year's RB12 was Chase Brown of the Cincinnati Bengals, and I think we can all agree he had a great season, but he only scored like 25 points more than DeAndre Swift. So, how do we get 25 more points this year out of DeAndre Swift? That's basically 130 total yards and two more touchdowns. That's an additional eight yards per game and two touchdowns over a 17game season. I would hope that with a new offensive-minded head coach and Ben Johnson, the massive improvements to the offensive line and Caleb now in his second year that a 10% increase is not some massive ask in this offense. But here's the beauty. His ADP has him at the end of the fifth. Now, y'all know I love to have three running backs and two wide receivers by the end of the fifth round. So, technically, you can get DeAndre Swift and all of his upside, and he will only be your team's RB3. That means he's your flex play or just a bench stash every single week of the season. Now, if your flex play or bench stash running back has RB1 upside, and it's not like he needs some massive improvement over just what he did last year, that could be a huge boost to your lineup and gives him that league winning upside. Which takes us now to Debo Samuel, wide receiver of the Washington Commanders. And I know, trust me, I'm not a Debo guy and I haven't been for years if you've followed me. But to find continued success in this game, you have to put pass bias to the side. This is more about him being in Washington and the price that you'll be able to get him at in 2025. As of right now, he's a projected eighthround pick in fantasy football. At that point, he's your wide receiver three or wide receiver four on your roster and gives you a ton of potential firepower on your bench. San Francisco didn't do Debo any favors in the offense as of late. He got nothing down the field. Heck, most of the time he was getting the ball at or behind the line of scrimmage and having to make it all happen himself. Now, how can I prove that? Easy. There's stats that track it. Last year, Debo was 98th among all NFL wide receivers in average depth of target, and he was 70th among all wide receivers in deep targets. Well, Jake, maybe that was just a fluke. Really? Because in 2023, he was 92nd overall in average depth of target and 82nd in deep targets. Want to go even further? Okay, how about 2021? He was 102nd in average depth of target and 108th in deep targets. Are you starting to notice a trend? Debo was not used down the field in San Francisco, but that won't be the case here in Washington. We're already seeing it in training camp. Debo is moving all around inside and outside. This is an offense on the rise and Cliff Kingsbury is going to use him more vertically in his air raid offense this season. We know that Jaden Daniels is a stud and he likes to push the ball down the field. There are tons of targets available in this offense and as of late, we've heard all the drama surrounding Terry McLaren. Now, at the time of this situation, we don't know what's going to happen with Terry, but I'm going to be honest. If Terry's there, nothing changes for Debo. If Terry's gone, this only gets better for Debo. So, let me show you what we could be dealing with here in 2025. And this one is going to be a little bit different than the first two guys since we have nothing statistical to go off of for him being in Washington as of yet. So, let's look at this thing backwards. He's going as the wide receiver 37 right now. On average, the wide receiver 37 scores around 144 fantasy points per season. And that right there is really important to know. So many people throw out where a player should be or should not be, but they have no idea what they need to even score to finish in that spot. It's why we include this information in our draft guide. So, we need 144 half PPR fantasy points just to return value. Well, last year's wide receiver 37 was Quinton Johnston, senior oven mitts of the Los Angeles Chargers. Johnston finished the season with 55 catches, 711 yards, and eight touchdowns, and missed two games. But we know that Washington lost both Zakias and Diami Brown. Last year, those two combined for 104 targets, 75 catches, 814 yards, and four touchdowns. So, at least we know there are some targets available and offense that needs to be replaced. Now, it's not going to be some one forone swap. Debo doesn't just assume those numbers, but saying that he's going to be around a hundred targets is a reasonable place to start. They aren't going to pay the dude $17 million to just sit around. Now, over his career, Debo has averaged a catch rate of 65.5%. Now, if we take 65.5% of 100 targets, it's going to give him right around 66 receptions. Over his last three years, Debo has averaged 13.1 yards per reception. So 66 receptions times 13.1 yards per reception gives us a total of 864 yards receiving. That right there gives us 119.4 fantasy points. And we haven't even discussed touchdowns yet. Now in order for him to get the 144 points just to return draft value, Debo would only need four touchdowns. Now I don't know if you remember or not, but Debo has had multiple years in his career with doubledigit touchdowns in this vertical offense. There is no reason to think that he can't get at least six touchdowns. Now, if we give him six, that's going to put him up to 155.4 fantasy points. But what if I told you he only needed 24 fantasy points more to be up inside the top 20 wide receivers on the season? That's only an additional 1.4 points per week. That's 120 total yards and two touchdowns. He has a lot of haters to try and silence and enters the season with a chip on his shoulder. Plus, do not forget he's on a one-year contract. Dude needs to ball out to get paid long-term again. Saying that 74 catches, 980 yards, and eight touchdowns isn't attainable for Debo in Washington is just plain nuts. And it's not like that's some huge season. If I'm being totally honest, I could even see his total yardage being a little bit higher if they also decide to let him run the ball every once in a while. But that season right there puts him up inside the top 20 wide receivers on the season. Now, I don't know about you, but drafting a wide receiver in the eighth round and having him return wide receiver to numbers, that is huge league winning upside. Which takes us to the last player, a tight end. And I know what everyone is going to say, but hear me out. It's Kyle Pittz, tight end of the Atlanta Falcons. I know, I know. I haven't been able to stand the guy either, but for the first time in his career, there is zero risk and zero faith, which means it makes it fitting for this to be the breakout year that everyone would miss. Michael Pennix Jr. is entering his first full season as the starter of the Falcons. His arm strength and confidence are far better suited for Pit's vertical skill set than what we saw from Kurt Cousins. We've already heard Pennic say, "We're going to see a lot of pits in 2025." Offensive coordinator Zack Robinson enters his second season, bringing continuity and clear game plans tailored to Pit's strength. Now, during training camp, GM Terry Fontnau has highlighted Pit's excellent shape, strong mentality, and productive effort so far through camp. Head coach Raheem Morris has publicly stated that nothing held Pitts back last season and nothing will in 2025, emphasizing he has trust in Kyle Pittz. Plus, we have a contract year motivation going on here. He's playing on his fifth year option. Pitch knows this is his last chance at a new deal in Atlanta, so motivation is high. We also have an opportunity at an expanded role due to injury with wide receiver Darnell Mooney sidelined in camp. Pitts is going to see more snaps in the slot or spread alignments. And we have to pay attention to the fact that despite statistical decline, Pitts ranks top 10 among all tight ends since 2021 in targets, yards, and first down catches. We also need to keep in mind that it doesn't take much to be a top 10 to 12 fantasy tight end. So, let me show you what we could be dealing with here in 2025. Pitts is currently going as the tight end 18. The tight end 18 last year was Cole KT and he scored less than five fantasy points in 11 games last year. Now, on average, the tight end 18 only scores 97.8 fantasy points per year. Kyle Pittz has exceeded that number already. In three of his first four seasons played, the one season in which he didn't, he only played 10 games due to injury. Now, in order for Kyle Pitts to get inside the top 10 tight ends, he's going to need to be right around 125 fantasy points. Well, if we look at the last two years, which everyone would consider quote unquote crappy years, in those two seasons, he scored 107.7 fantasy points and 110.8. So, we aren't miles off of top 10 numbers, even looking at what he's done the last two seasons in which he sucked. We need what? 15 to 20 fantasy points and we're there. You're telling me that we're only 100 yards and one touchdown away from a top 10 tight end? In other words, we need 50 catches for 700 yards and five touchdowns. That gets us 125 fantasy points and gets us up inside the top 10 tight ends. Well, last year he had 47 catches for 602 yards and four touchdowns. That's a difference of three catches for 98 yards and one touchdown over a 17game span. Listen, I am all for being scorned and not wanting to be burned again, but in the 12th to 13th round, what is the harm there? Especially if you're grabbing two tight ends anyway with a full year of pennix and a banged up Mooney to start the season. It is not crazy at all to think that Kyle Pittz could hit this number. Don't let lazy widespread narratives and past performances totally dictate your next year's draft strategy. Every single season, you need to take a look at the full pictures. Crunch the numbers. Find the upside where no one else is looking. [Music]