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Exploring Future Technologies and Trends
Mar 13, 2025
Lecture Notes: "Beyond: Exploring Future Trends and Technologies" by Amy Webb
Introduction
Speaker: Amy Webb, quantitative futurist and CEO of Future Today Strategy Group (TSG)
Lecture focused on global changes, technologies, and the future.
Audience engagement through a physical activity using wooden blocks to emphasize discomfort and cognitive focus.
Key Themes
Global Events and Climate Change
Reference to Lenin's idea: "There are weeks when decades happen."
Mention of the hottest year in human history with unknown causes beyond climate change.
Example of plastic infiltration in human bodies, highlighting environmental issues.
Human Enhancement and Technology
Introduction of the "Enhanced Games" – competition encouraging human enhancement through gene therapy and steroids.
Critique of current societal and technological changes lacking long-term strategy.
Strategic Foresight and Trends
TSG's methodology involves tracking signals and identifying long-term trends using data.
Concept of strategic foresight: modeling future scenarios to predict plausible outcomes.
Annual Tech Trends Report
Launch of the 18th edition of the annual Tech Trends Report.
Report is 1000 pages long, divided into sections on technologies (AI, Bioengineering, etc.) and industries (healthcare, entertainment).
Executive summaries and actionable frameworks provided for organizational use.
Emerging Technologies
Artificial Intelligence (AI) and Data Ingestion
Multi-agent systems (MAS) that can self-organize and solve problems without human input.
New languages like Droid Speak improving communication speed among AI systems.
AI's future requires physicality and lived human experiences to advance intuition and common sense.
AI and Biology Integration
Generative biology: leveraging AI to predict biological structures and interactions quickly.
Metamaterials: engineered materials with non-natural properties (bending light, sound).
Progression towards programmable and reprogrammable matter.
New Biological and Sensor Technologies
Development of wearables for cells, including sperm bots and neural wearables.
Emphasis on microscopic machines enhancing human control over natural processes.
Living Intelligence
Definition: A complex system integrating AI, sensors, and biological entities.
Differentiation from Artificial General Intelligence (AGI).
Potential for profound societal impact across sectors like energy and healthcare.
Robotics and AI Embodiment
Overview of historical limitations and anticipated advancements in robotics.
Biohybrid robots combining organic and mechanical components.
Expected advancements in robotic adaptability and intelligence.
Future Scenarios
Scenario 1: Sonic Sanctuary
Development of noise-cancellation technology creating perfect acoustic environments.
Potential misuse for societal control through subliminal compliance.
Scenario 2: Climate Change and Business Alliances
Business-led initiatives for climate stabilization through advanced materials and AI.
Risks of deregulation and ignoring long-term sustainability in favor of short-term profits.
Conclusion
Encouragement to engage in strategic foresight and long-term planning.
Call to action for the audience to contribute to future-oriented decisions.
Reminder that present decisions shape the future world.
Additional Resources
Promotion of the strategic foresight masterclass available at South by Southwest.
Invitation to access and utilize TSG's free resources and methodologies.
Closing Thoughts
Importance of thanking event volunteers.
Final reminder: Every decision is a doorway to a better future.
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Full transcript