Uncovering Market Moves with Volume Profile
Introduction
- Purpose: Understanding market sentiment and identifying trading opportunities using volume profile shapes.
- Presenter: Dale, trading since 2008, founder of Trader Dale website, author of four trading books.
- Volume Profile Shapes: D-shaped, P-shaped, B-shaped, Thin profile.
Volume Profile Shapes Explained
1. D-Shaped Profile
- Characteristics: Resembles letter D, heavy volume zone in the middle, low volumes at edges.
- Market Indication:
- Balance in the market; indicates rotation or sideways movement.
- End or pause of a trend.
- Trading Strategy:
- Point of control is key trading level.
- Volume bumps indicate support/resistance.
- Short from the higher boundary, long from the lower boundary.
2. P-Shaped Profile
- Characteristics: Resembles letter P, heavy volume zone at top, low at bottom.
- Market Indication:
- Indicates an uptrend or rejection of lower prices.
- Buyers are active.
- Can signal the end of a downtrend.
- Trading Strategy:
- Point of control and volume bumps are important for entry.
- Long positions from point of control and volume bumps.
- Proper P shape requires close above 50% of daily range.
3. B-Shaped Profile
- Characteristics: Resembles letter B, heavy volume zone at bottom, low at top.
- Market Indication:
- Indicates a downtrend or rejection of higher prices.
- Sellers are active.
- Can signal the end of an uptrend.
- Trading Strategy:
- Point of control and volume bumps serve as entry points.
- Short positions from these levels.
- Proper B shape requires close below 50% of daily range.
4. Thin Profile
- Characteristics: Thin, indicating strong trend, formed during macro news events.
- Market Indication:
- Dominance of one side (buyers/sellers) in the market.
- Trading Strategy:
- Volume bumps within the thin profile are key support/resistance levels.
- Trend continuation expected.
Trading Strategy and Setup
- Thin Profile & Price Action Combo: Combines thin profile with historical support/resistance for effective trades.
- Example: Thin profile with volume cluster and past support turning into resistance for short trades.
Membership and Resources
- Volume Profile Pack Membership: Includes a comprehensive course, daily trading levels, software, and tech support.
- Books and Free Resources: Available for further learning.
Recap and Conclusion
- Summary of how to identify and trade each volume profile shape.
- Invitation to join membership for in-depth learning and daily trading support.
Tools and Platforms
- Charting Platform: Ninja Trader 8 (free version recommended).
- Data Source: Connect to FXCM Data.
- Trading Broker: IC Markets for reliable trading with low spreads and commissions.
- Contact: Email for questions and further assistance.
This lecture aimed to equip you with the understanding of volume profile shapes for better trading decisions. Happy trading!