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Swing Trading Strategies and Risk Management

Oct 13, 2024

Lesson 6: February 2017 ICT Mentorship - Swing Trading

Introduction

  • Focus on reducing risk and maximizing potential reward in swing setups.
  • Importance of low-risk, high-reward setups; professionals focus on this.

Reducing Risk

  • Know your maximum risk per trade; avoid high risk as it equates to gambling.
  • Frame setups using monthly and weekly levels (PD arrays for premiums).
    • Sell at bearish order blocks, bearish liquidity voids.
    • Short optimal trade entries, bearish fair value gaps.
    • Look for old highs to short, false breaks, rejection blocks.
    • Sell above bodies of long-wick candles; sell at old lows and highs.

Structuring Trades

  • Use the PDRA Matrix for trade framing.
  • Prioritize premium PD arrays from bottom up, discount PD arrays from top down.
  • Contextualize trades using monthly and weekly charts for large ranges.

Risk Management

  • Don't try to double your account every month; maintain low risk.
  • Aspiring fund managers should keep risk low to appeal to clients.
  • Use higher time frame PD arrays for tighter stops.
  • Focus on entries on a four-hour time frame.
  • Minimum reward to risk ratio: 3:1, aiming for even higher ratios.

Maximizing Reward

  • Trade on higher time frame monthly and weekly levels.
  • Smart money focuses on higher time frames; lower time frames are less visible.
  • Timing entries on 4-hour charts for maximum R multiples.
  • Professionals seek high R multiples by risking little for large price moves.

Example: Euro Dollar

  • Use old monthly highs as premium levels to short.
  • Example trade with 70 pip stop loss results in an 8:1 reward-risk ratio.

Homework

  • Analyze a specific trade setup using a four-hour chart and entry techniques.
  • Task: Find five examples of 5:1 reward-risk setups using monthly/weekly scenarios.

Conclusion

  • Swing trading offers significant returns with minimal effort and risk.
  • Emphasizes quality over quantity in trading opportunities.