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Zelinsky’s Migration Transition Model

Sep 30, 2025

Overview

This lecture explains Zelinsky’s Migration Transition Model, which links migration patterns to the stages of the Demographic Transition Model as societies develop.

Zelinsky’s Migration Transition Model Overview

  • The model was created by Wilbur Zelinsky to study how migration changes as societies develop.
  • It directly connects to the stages of the Demographic Transition Model (DTM).

Stage 1: Pre-Modern Society

  • Migration is local and seasonal, focused on food and survival.
  • Most movement is nomadic, with little to no international migration.
  • Migration patterns relate to practices like pastoral nomadism and transhumance.

Stage 2: Early Industrial Society

  • Major migration is from rural to urban areas due to a population boom and search for jobs.
  • Stage 2 sees the highest level of international migration (emigration from less-developed countries).
  • Economic push and pull factors drive people to more developed countries.
  • Example: Massive European immigration to the USA (1820–1920).

Stages 3 & 4: Mature and Post-Industrial Society

  • Internal migration increases, especially from urban centers to suburbs or rural areas (counter-urbanization, urban sprawl).
  • International migration decreases; most movement is now domestic (within the country).
  • Migration splits into inter-regional (between regions) and intra-regional (within the same region, e.g., city to suburb).

Key Terms & Definitions

  • Demographic Transition Model (DTM) — A model showing changes in population growth as a country develops.
  • Emigrant — A person who leaves their country to live elsewhere.
  • Immigrant — A person who moves into a new country.
  • Push and Pull Factors — Reasons for leaving (push) or attracting to (pull) a place.
  • Inter-Regional Migration — Moving between regions within a country.
  • Intra-Regional Migration — Moving within the same region, such as from a city to its suburbs.
  • Counter-Urbanization — Movement from cities to suburbs or rural areas.
  • Urban Sprawl — Expansion of urban areas into surrounding regions.

Action Items / Next Steps

  • Review the Demographic Transition Model for context.
  • Study push and pull migration factors for deeper understanding.
  • Prepare to identify real-world examples for each migration stage.