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Understanding Pricing in Futures Contracts

May 11, 2025

Chapter 4: Pricing

Key Concepts

  • Contract Sizes: While there are many contract sizes, only a few need to be memorized:

    • Grains (corn, wheat, soybeans): 5,000 bushels per contract.
  • Financial Futures: Divided into long-term and short-term contracts, each quoted differently.

Long-term Contracts

  1. Treasury Bonds and Notes

    • Quoted in points and 32nds of a point.
    • Example: 98-116 is 98 and 16/32 of a percent of its par value.
    • Par value is $100,000.
    • Full point move equals $1,000; each 32nd is worth $31.25.
  2. Calculations

    • Memorize: Full point = $1,000; each 32nd = $31.25.
    • For example, a move from 98-16 to 99-16 would be a $1,000 change.

Short-term Contracts

  1. T-Bill and Eurodollar Contracts

    • Quoted in points and basis points.
    • Contract size is $1 million, 3-month or 13-week instrument.
    • Each basis point = 0.01% = $25.
  2. Calculations

    • A move of 14 basis points = 14 * $25 = $350.*

Important Market Concepts

  • Inverse Relationship: Interest rates and bond prices move inversely.

    • Interest rates up, bond prices down and vice versa.
  • Foreign Currency Futures:

    • Prices are inverse to the US dollar.
    • E.g., If the euro goes up, you go long euro futures.
  • Gold and US Dollar Relationship: Gold prices also move inversely with the US dollar.

Price Limits

  • Daily Price Limits: Established by exchange to prevent extreme volatility.
    • Trading can continue within limits, but not beyond.
    • Nearest expiration month usually has no price limits.

Problem Solving

  • Example Question: If futures trade at the daily limit, can trading continue?
    • Best answer: Trading can continue within limits.

Conclusion

  • Take a custom exam on this chapter to reinforce learning.
  • Next up: Orders.