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Understanding Supply and Demand in Trading

May 23, 2025

Supply and Demand Zone Trading Strategy

Overview

  • Supply and demand zone trading is effective across various markets and time frames (stocks, Forex, futures, etc.).
  • Suitable for both day traders and swing traders.
  • Focus: Understanding what supply and demand zones are and are not, logic behind them, identifying zones, entering and exiting trades, and trading psychology.

Key Concepts

What is a Supply and Demand Zone?

  • Misconceptions

    • Not just highs and lows of price.
    • Should exhibit strong imbalances, not just slight price movements.
  • Logic Behind Supply and Demand Zones

    • Created inadvertently by large institutional trades.
    • Zones identified by aggressive price movements.

Types of Zones

  • Peaks and Valleys

    • Found at tops and bottoms of price movements.
    • Types: Drop-base-rally (demand) and rally-base-drop (supply).
  • Continuation Patterns

    • Occur in the middle of price trends.
    • Types: Rally-base-rally and drop-base-drop.

Trading Strategy

Zone Structure

  • Consists of proximal (closer to current price) and distal lines.
  • Best zones show strong moves away from the base.

Entering a Trade

  • Method 1: Limit Orders

    • Preferred entry method, set before price hits the zone.
  • Method 2: Market Orders

    • Enter once price is within the zone, requires quick action.

Stop-Loss and Take-Profit

  • Stop-Loss

    • Standard: Just below (demand) or above (supply) the zone.
    • Conservative: Wider placement for more wiggle room.
  • Take-Profit

    • Set fixed risk-reward ratio (e.g., 2:1, 3:1).
    • Target opposing zones or structural highs/lows.

Trading Execution

  • Use tools like TradingView for seamless order execution.
  • Use risk-reward tools for setting stop-loss and take-profit effectively.

Time Frames and Analysis

Multiple Time Frame Analysis

  • Identify zones on higher time frames and confirm entries on lower time frames.
  • Helps align with overall market trend, increasing trade success.

Qualifying Zones

  • Zones must break an opposing zone or trend line.
  • Must be fresh (not previously touched).

Advanced Strategies

Confirmation Entry

  • Wait for lower time frame confirmation within higher time frame zones.
  • Identify removal of opposing zones or trend lines for confirmation.

Set and Forget

  • Align multiple time frames and use fresh zones for entries.
  • Follow higher time frame trend for higher odds.

Odds Boosters

  • Strength of Move Away: Indicates demand/supply.
  • Liquidity Traps: Support/resistance traps retail traders.

Trading Psychology

Handling Losses

  • Losses are part of the process; stick to strategy and risk management.
  • Use tools like simulators to understand potential drawdowns.

Expectations and Discipline

  • Realistic goals (20-30% annual return is excellent).
  • Avoid being swayed by fake online claims of unrealistic profits.

Myths and Misconceptions

  • Be wary of promises of quick wealth and high win rates.
  • Focus on consistency and learning to trade effectively.

Conclusion

  • Supply and demand trading is robust across markets.
  • Combining strategy, psychology, and disciplined practice leads to profitability.