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Alternate History: FDR, Stalin, and 1943

May 21, 2025

Alternate History and Historical Events Discussion: FDR and Stalin in 1943

Historical Context

  • General George C. Marshall's Proposal: In 1943, a plan to invade France in May was supported by General George C. Marshall.
  • Soviet Union's Situation: The Soviet Union was under considerable pressure, facing severe attacks from Germany and was keen on having a second front opened in France.
  • Britain's Counter Plans: Preferred to complete the North Africa Campaign and initiate attacks on southern Europe before invading France, which influenced FDR to delay.
    • Although the Soviet Union managed to fend off German forces at Stalingrad, the situation was still dire with massive casualties.

FDR's Decisions

  • Recognized postponing an invasion of France could upset the USSR.
  • Decided to invade Sicily instead of France initially.
  • Allied forces were heavily involved in North Africa, leading to further delays and straining USSR-US relations.

Speculative Scenarios

  • Improved US-USSR Relations: Had FDR appeased Stalin, it might have mitigated or even prevented the Cold War. However, ideological differences between the US and USSR also played a significant role in the Cold War.
  • Strained US-Britain Relations: Prioritizing USSR might have worsened US-Britain relations.
  • Impact on Sicily and Italy: Delaying the invasion of Sicily could have prolonged Mussolini's dictatorship, delaying Italy's shift to join the Allies.
  • Military Implications: Early invasion of France could have led to a more challenging and bloody conflict, even if it surprised Germany as D-Day did.

Long-Term Implications

  • Speculation that easing Stalin's stress might have prevented his cerebral hemorrhage.

Narrative Exploration: "What If" Fanfiction

  • Setting: A fictional conference in Iran where key leaders meet.
  • Characters: FDR, Churchill, and Stalin are depicted, showcasing tensions and strategic disagreements.
  • Narrative Tension: Highlights the strategic discussion about opening a second front in France and the resulting interpersonal dynamics.
  • FDR's Internal Conflict: Weighs strategic goals against the potential for diplomatic fallout with allies.
  • Stalin's Perspective: Sees the strategic shift as beneficial, emphasizing his role as a major player in post-war negotiations.

Note: The fanfiction element serves to creatively explore the potential dynamics and consequences of FDR's decision-making process.