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Swing Trading Risk Management and Strategies

Oct 13, 2024

Lesson 6: February 2017 ICT Mentorship

Topic: Swing Trading

Objective: Focus on reducing risk and maximizing potential reward in swing setups.

Key Points:

  • Risk Management:

    • Understand maximum risk per trade to avoid gambling.
    • Frame setups with low risk and high reward.
  • Monthly and Weekly Levels:

    • Focus on these levels to frame trades.
    • Sell setups include bearish order blocks, bearish liquidity voids, optimal trade entries.
    • Look for rejection blocks (candles with long wicks), sell above these levels.
    • Buy setups in reverse: mitigation blocks, bullish order blocks, voids below.
  • Framing Trades:

    • Use order blocks for context.
    • Check PD arrays (premium and discount) for trade decisions.
    • Monthly and weekly levels give trade context.
  • Using Lower Timeframes:

    • Lower timeframes reduce stop loss sizes.
    • Example: Use 4-hour entries for tighter stops.
  • Reward to Risk Ratios:

    • Minimum 3:1 ratio recommended.
    • Higher ratios (5:1, 10:1) possible, allowing low accuracy (30%) to still be profitable.
  • Leverage Control:

    • Avoid maximizing leverage (e.g., donโ€™t use 50:1 if unnecessary).

Maximizing Reward:

  • Higher Timeframe Trading:

    • Use only monthly and weekly levels.
    • Look for smart money plays on these timeframes.
    • Layer orders just above/below key levels (e.g., daily, weekly, monthly).
  • R Multiples:

    • Reward multiples (e.g., 5R) mean $5 for $1 risk.
    • Higher timeframes can offer large R multiples.
  • Examples and Homework:

    • Example: Eurodollar analysis, using monthly high for setups.
    • Homework: Find setups with 5:1 reward to risk across different pairs.

Trading Strategy:

  • Frequency:

    • Expect 1-2 swing trades every 4-6 weeks.
    • Focus on quality, not quantity of trades.
  • Leverage and Positioning:

    • Use 3:1 leverage as a guideline.
    • Manage risk carefully to attract potential clients as a fund manager.

Conclusion:

  • Focus on high-reward setups with low risk.
  • Engage in specific homework to apply teachings.
  • Aim to double equity with minimal trading by adhering to strategy.