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Investing Insights from The Intelligent Investor

Sep 14, 2024

Key Takeaways from The Intelligent Investor by Benjamin Graham

Introduction

  • Success in investing does not require high IQ, insider information, or luck.
  • Essential elements include a sound intellectual framework for decision-making and emotional control.
  • "The Intelligent Investor" by Benjamin Graham provides such a framework.
  • Warren Buffett praises it as the best book on investing.

Takeaway 1: Meet Mr. Market

  • Concept: Mr. Market is a metaphor for the stock market's volatility.
  • Behavior: Offers daily pricing on your share of a business.
    • Prices can be irrational, fluctuating dramatically without reason.
  • Advice:
    • Don't let Mr. Market dictate the value of your investment.
    • View stocks as ownership in a business, not just fluctuating prices.
    • Use Mr. Market's ups and downs to your advantage: buy low, sell high.

Takeaway 2: Defensive Investor Strategy

  • Two Types of Investors:
    1. Defensive (passive)
    2. Enterprising (active)
  • Defensive Investor Recommendations:
    • Portfolio: Mix of stocks and bonds (e.g., 50/50 split).
    • Rebalancing: Adjust annually to maintain desired allocation.
    • Dollar-Cost Averaging: Invest regularly to average out purchase prices.
    • Stock Selection Criteria:
      1. Diversification: 10-30 companies.
      2. Large companies: More than $700 million in sales (adjusted for inflation).
      3. Conservative finance: Current ratio of at least 200%.
      4. Consistent dividends for 20 years.
      5. No earnings deficit in 10 years.
      6. Minimum 33% earnings growth over 10 years.
      7. Price less than 1.5 times net asset value.
      8. PE ratio not exceeding 15.
  • Alternative: Invest in index funds for market-average returns.

Takeaway 3: Enterprising Investor Strategy

  • More Demanding: Requires time, patience, discipline, and learning.
  • Price Focus: Avoid overvalued growth stocks; seek undervalued ones.
  • Investment Targets: Companies undervalued relative to net working capital.
  • Flexibility in Criteria: Allows more company options than defensive.
  • Study Financials: In-depth analysis of company reports.

Takeaway 4: Margin of Safety

  • Risk Management: Minimize risk of being wrong by insisting on a margin of safety.
  • Valuation Formula: Value = Current earnings x (8.5 + 2 x expected growth rate).
  • Example: In 2018, discrepancies in expected growth rates for S&P 500 giants, Amazon vs Apple.

Takeaway 5: Risk and Reward

  • Graham's View: Risk and reward are not always correlated.
  • Focus on Value: Return depends on effort invested in finding bargains.
  • Risk Perception: Buying undervalued assets lowers risk despite higher potential rewards.
  • Illustration: Contrasts stock market investing with risky games like Russian roulette.

Conclusion

  • Recap of Five Takeaways:
    1. Mr. Market's emotional swings create opportunities.
    2. Defensive investing involves diversification and low-priced stock selection.
    3. Enterprising investing requires deep analysis and focus on undervalued stocks.
    4. Insist on a margin of safety to mitigate risk.
    5. Risk and reward are not directly proportional.
  • Relevance: Consider if Graham’s advice holds true today.
  • Engagement: Encourage sharing thoughts and book summary requests in comments.