Introduction to CS109 Probability Course

Aug 31, 2024

CS109: Introduction to Probability for Computer Scientists

Welcome to CS109

  • Instructor: Chris, professor in the Computer Science Department and School of Education.
  • Courses taught: CS109, CS106A, CS398, and more.
  • Background: Born in Kenya, moved to Malaysia, then to the US.
  • Research focus: AI for social good, education, medical work.
  • Experience: Taught 20,000 students during the pandemic, using AI to analyze code and provide feedback.

Course Logistics

  • Website: cs109.stanford.edu.
  • Prerequisites:
    • CS106B: Important for understanding coding concepts like recursion, hash tables, binary trees.
    • CS103: Less critical; used lightly.
    • Math 51/CME 100: Important for partial derivatives and multivariate integration.
  • Units:
    • Undergraduates: 5 units.
    • Graduates: Option for fewer units, but workload remains the same.
  • Components: Assignments, midterm, and final exams.
  • Attendance: Encouraged, but lectures are recorded.

Course Structure

  • Major components:
    • Assignments: Practice and apply probability concepts.
    • Exams: Midterm and final, focus on learning rather than judging.
    • Sections: Small group meetings with TAs.
  • Participation: Incentivized through slight grade adjustments for attending lectures.

AI and Probability

  • Modern AI: Combines probability and programming.
  • Historical context:
    • 1950s: Initial optimism about AI capabilities.
    • AI winter: Funding and interest declined due to overestimation of capabilities.
  • Recent advancements:
    • Chess, self-driving cars, Jeopardy, protein folding.
    • Large language models and AI systems.
    • Applications in daily life: Navigation, translation, image generation.

Key AI Concepts

  • Neural Networks:
    • Mimic neurons through inputs, weights, and outputs.
    • Learning by examples: Adjust weights based on training data.
  • Learning by Examples:
    • Use examples to adjust weights and improve accuracy.
    • Probability and programming underpin these advancements.

Importance of Probability

  • Critical for understanding AI, algorithms, and real-world phenomena.
  • One-Shot Learning: Highlighting current limitations (e.g., recognizing symbols with minimal examples).
  • Applications in decision-making and understanding uncertainties.

Future of AI

  • Ongoing challenges: Fairness in AI, ethical considerations, and applications in diverse fields.
  • CS109 Objectives: Teach probability to enable solutions to real-world problems.

Foundations of Probability

  • Counting Theory:
    • Experiment: An action with possible outcomes.
    • Step Rule of Counting: Break down into steps and multiply outcomes.
    • Sum Rule of Counting: Add outcomes from mutually exclusive sets.
    • Inclusion-Exclusion Principle: Adjust for overlapping outcomes in sets.

Example Problems

  • Counting unique images, bit strings, and rearrangements of letters.
  • Practical exercises to understand step and sum rules.

Additional Notes

  • Counting provides the foundation for understanding probability.
  • Upcoming topics will delve deeper into probability theory and applications.