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Insights on Wyckoff Theory in Trading

Sep 15, 2024

Lecture Notes on Trading and Wyckoff Theory

Opening Remarks

  • Good morning from South Florida
  • Presenter plans to take kids out due to nice weather
  • Presentation is a crash course on Wyckoff theory and analytics, not beginner trading
  • Disclaimer: Not a market expert, sharing personal trading journey

Presentation Setup

  • Presenter has a PowerPoint as a reference
  • Encouragement for attendees to take notes
  • Opportunity for Q&A during the session

Wyckoff Theory Overview

  • Not a beginner course; assumes some trading knowledge
  • Focus on Wyckoff theory and analytics
  • Few experts in the community have thorough understanding
  • Presenter is a full-time trader, started in 2019
  • Background in harmonics, pitchforks, break, and retest strategies
  • Transitioned to smart money concepts and Wyckoff theory

Personal Journey and Experience

  • Learned from mentors Zach McDonald and institutional courses
  • Spent significant hours studying and backtesting
  • Developed a detailed trading plan with guidelines
  • Emphasis on personal confirmation and backtesting

Wyckoff Theory Fundamentals

  • Originated from Richard Wyckoff
  • Analyzes market behavior by structure and price action
  • Major market participants are key players (institutions)
  • Takes significant financial power to move major currency pairs
  • Identifies trend changes and corrections

What Wyckoff Theory Is Not

  • Not a predictive tool for future price action
  • Not a formula or algorithm
  • Not a strategy, but a theory
  • Requires incorporation of various trading concepts

Wyckoff Theory Techniques

  1. Schematics: Accumulation and distribution phases
  2. Phases of Structure: Understanding market cycles and structure
  3. Key Indicators: Using tools like RSI, volume, and more

Accumulation and Distribution Schematics

  • Types of accumulation: Type 1 (with spring), Type 2 (without spring)
  • Key points: Preliminary support, selling climax, automatic rally, secondary test
  • Volume analysis: Preliminary support shows largest volume spike

Market Structure and Cycles

  • Importance of understanding market structure
  • Market moves in cycles: accumulation, reaccumulation, distribution
  • Avoid trading against the trend

Comparative and Relative Strength

  • Use of correlations between pairs (e.g., AU and NU)
  • RSI analysis for change prediction
  • Volume indicators for trend interest

Practical Trading Application

  • Identifying logical areas for trades
  • Confirmations and confluence in trading plans
  • Importance of break of structure for trade entry
  • Trade management strategies: partials and hedging

Conclusion

  • Presentation aimed to provide a comprehensive overview of Wyckoff theory
  • Encouragement to continue studying and practicing the concepts
  • Open for questions and further discussions

Q&A and Closing

  • Presenter addressed questions on schematics, trading strategies, and more
  • Provided guidance on backtesting and identifying Wyckoff schematics
  • Encouraged attendees to practice and reach out for further clarification