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Lessons from the 1929 Stock Market Crash

Nov 16, 2024

Out of Our City Season on BBC2: The Financial Lesson of 1929

Introduction

  • Discussion of the Great Depression following the 1929 stock market crash.
  • It was the biggest stock market crash recorded, leading to immense financial loss and emotional trauma.

The 1929 Stock Market Crash

Initial Events

  • Date: October 23, 1929
  • Sudden and dramatic decline in share prices on the New York Stock Exchange.
  • October 24, 1929: Known as Black Thursday; panic selling began.
  • Resulted in crowds gathering outside the stock exchange, stunned by the unfolding events.

Causes of the Crash

  • Speculation: First-time investors borrowed heavily to invest in the market.
  • Installment Buying: The culture of buy now, pay later fueled consumer spending.
  • Brokerage Firms: Encouraged ordinary people to invest in stocks, removing the stigma associated with them.
  • Margin Buying: 90% of stock purchases were made with borrowed money by the late 1920s.

Economic Context Leading to the Crash

Post World War I Prosperity

  • Post-war optimism after 1919; U.S. emerged financially strong while Europe struggled.
  • Electrification and new technologies transformed American life, leading to consumer culture.

Investment Culture

  • Liberty Bonds encouraged ordinary Americans to invest in securities, creating a new investing culture.
  • Charles Mitchell: Changed Wall Street dynamics by marketing stocks to average Americans.

The Role of Wall Street

Wall Street's Influence

  • Wall Street was historically an elite circle but became more accessible to ordinary investors.
  • Technology (ticker tape) made stock prices widely available, increasing public interest.
  • Speculative frenzy led many ordinary people to invest, spurred on by stories of quick wealth.

Key Figures

  • Celebrities like Groucho Marx and Joseph Kennedy became figures of inspiration in Wall Street speculation.

Warning Signs Ignored

  • Warnings from financial leaders about the unsustainable nature of the stock market were dismissed.
  • Paul Warburg warned of a potential collapse, but his concerns were disregarded.

The Crash Unfolds

October 24, 1929

  • Massive sell-off of shares; market lost confidence.
  • Wall Street elite attempted to stabilize it but failed.

Consequences of the Crash

  • By the end of the crash, $25 billion in personal wealth had been lost, leading to widespread despair.
  • Social and emotional impact on Americans, including suicides and economic ruin.

Aftermath of the Crash

The Great Depression

  • The crash triggered a decade-long global depression.
  • Unemployment soared, banks failed, and poverty spread.

Changes in Policy and Regulation

  • Franklin D. Roosevelt’s New Deal introduced regulations to stabilize banking and the stock market.
  • Establishment of the SEC to oversee financial markets.

Long-Term Impact

  • The crash led to skepticism of capitalism, rise of authoritarian movements globally.
  • Reflects on whether lessons were truly learned from the past.

Modern Implications

  • Parallels drawn between the speculative practices of the 1920s and modern financial crises.
  • Importance of regulation and oversight in preventing similar economic disasters in the future.