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Understanding Fair Value Gaps in Trading

Feb 6, 2025

Lecture on Fair Value Gaps and Imbalances

Introduction

  • Purpose: Simplify the concept of fair value gaps and imbalances for better trading comprehension.
  • Usage: Regularly used in trade strategies and recaps.
  • Scope: Covers fair value gaps, imbalances, new day/week opening gaps, candle gaps, and inverse fair value gaps.

Understanding Imbalances

  • Definition: Price is not balanced which means the market will likely seek to balance it out by filling the price action gap.
  • Types of Imbalances:
    • Fair value gaps
    • Candle gaps
    • New day opening gaps
    • New week opening gaps
    • Inverse fair value gaps

Fair Value Gaps

  • Structure: A three candlestick pattern.
    • Bearish Fair Value Gap: Gap where the first candle's wick doesn't cover the third candle's wick.
    • Bullish Fair Value Gap: Opposite to bearish, with a gap that indicates a lack of sell orders.
  • Purpose: Price aims to fill in the imbalance to allow market continuation.
  • Example: On different timeframes, such as 4hr, daily, 15 min, etc.

Inverse Fair Value Gaps

  • Definition: Occurs when a fair value gap is invalidated, often used as confirmation rather than a confluence.
  • Usage: To detect changes in market trend direction.
  • Example: Used similarly to breaks of structure for confirmation.

New Day/Week Opening Gaps

  • New Week Opening Gap:
    • Definition: Imbalance evident when a new weekly session opens at a different level than it closed.
    • Example: Price often seeks to fill these gaps immediately.
  • New Day Opening Gap:
    • Similar Concept: As weekly gaps but on a daily timeframe.

Candle Gaps

  • Definition: Similar to new day/week gaps but on smaller timeframes.
  • Purpose: Used to understand price movement rather than for direct trading.
  • Example: Often observed on minute charts.

Key Takeaways

  • Identifying and understanding various imbalances can significantly enhance trading strategies.
  • Context and bias are crucial for effective trading decisions.
  • Various imbalances provide insights into market behavior and potential trend reversals or continuations.

Conclusion

  • Emphasis on understanding imbalances completely for better trading outcomes.
  • Encouragement to further explore free resources such as boot camps or trading transformation videos for deeper learning.

Note: The lecture encourages watching additional resources for comprehensive understanding and practical application.