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Turtle Soup Trading Strategy Insights

Aug 12, 2024

Lecture Notes

Introduction

  • Opening remarks with audio adjustments.
  • Introduction of the speaker, self-proclaimed the "Ghost with the most".
  • Interactive session with son Caleb present, who will join via Zoom due to tardiness.
  • Speaker's birthday acknowledgment, aged 52.

Turtle Soup Trading Strategy

  • Turtle Soup is a reversal pattern inspired by the "Turtle Traders" led by Richard Dennis.
  • Original Turtle strategy: trend-following with 20-day high/low breakouts.
  • Turtle Soup concept is the opposite: capitalize on failed breakouts.
  • Recommended reading: "Street Smarts" by Linda Raschke and Larry Connors.
  • Focus on stop hunts and price action interpretation.

Session Structure

  • Trading methodology discussion includes personal anecdotes and mentoring Caleb.
  • Importance of journaling and note-taking.
  • Upcoming live streams covering London sessions.

Trading Timeframes and Sessions

  • Discusses different trading sessions: New York, London, Asian.
  • Analysis of trading during the Asian session.
  • Emphasis on time and price alignment for effective trading.

New Day Opening Gap

  • Explanation of the New Day Opening Gap concept.
  • Example provided: opening activity and setting initial buy/sell liquidity.
  • Importance of annotating charts and capturing price action screenshots.

Trading Strategy Focus

  • Encouragement to trade using fair value gaps.
  • Importance of clean, uncluttered charts.
  • Use of measured moves for target setting.

Risk Management and Trade Execution

  • Explanation of stop-loss placement at new day opening gaps.
  • Strategy adjustments based on market conditions and visual cues.
  • Emphasis on time as a critical factor in trading models.

Broader Market Insights

  • Discussion of market conditions and potential geopolitical impacts.
  • Consideration of external factors like news and global events.
  • Comparison of different indices (NASDAQ, S&P, Dow) and their divergences.

Conclusion

  • Summarizes key takeaways from the lecture.
  • Reinforces the importance of sticking to a structured trading plan and methodology.