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Popper's Science and Falsifiability

Jun 18, 2025

Overview

This lecture discusses philosopher Karl Popper's criteria for distinguishing science from pseudoscience, emphasizing the importance of falsifiability in scientific theories and the nature of knowledge.

Popper, Science, and Pseudoscience

  • Karl Popper studied methods used by scientists like Einstein and Freud.
  • Popper noticed Freud’s psychoanalysis could explain any outcome, while Einstein’s relativity made risky, testable predictions.
  • He defined science as making predictions that could be proven false, while pseudoscience only seeks confirmation.
  • Scientific theories should be refutable; if a theory cannot be disproved, it's not scientific.
  • Science advances by trying to disprove hypotheses, not confirm them.

The Scientific Method and Falsifiability

  • Traditional scientific method focused on observation without preconceptions.
  • Popper argued everyone starts with some preconceived notions.
  • Confirmation bias leads to seeing only supporting evidence for beliefs.
  • Real tests of theories aim to falsify; science is about disconfirmation, not confirmation.
  • Willingness to abandon disproven theories is essential for scientific progress.

Knowledge, Probability, and Openness

  • Popper believed knowledge is provisional and based on current evidence, not certainty.
  • Justified beliefs should always be open to revision when new evidence appears.
  • Certainty leads to closed-mindedness and hinders progress toward truth.

Key Terms & Definitions

  • Pseudoscience — A field that seeks only to confirm its beliefs and cannot be falsified.
  • Falsifiability — The capacity for a theory to be disproven by evidence.
  • Confirmation Bias — The tendency to search for or interpret information that confirms one's beliefs.
  • Contingency — Holding beliefs tentatively and being ready to revise them with new evidence.

Action Items / Next Steps

  • Remember: Accept and revise beliefs based on evidence, not certainty.
  • Prepare to discuss the challenges of justifying beliefs in future lectures, starting with the topic of God.