Transcript for:
Market Update: Trends and Investment Insights

holy smokes folks this ain't no dang jokers you know if I'm recording a video in the middle of the desert in a hotel room you know there's drama in the market oh my gosh do we have drama folks we have the Dow Jones Industrial Average absolutely plummeting right now s&p 500 NASDAQ as well nasdaq's down over 4.5% oil's under $60 yes you heard me right a barrel of oils under 60 bucks the lowest price we've seen in quite some time 10 years sinking again we're looking at Bitcoin absolutely plummeting right now ethereum plummeting uh Salana everything across the board it's going to be a Red Dead Redemption open out there tomorrow so few things I want to speak about here in this video okay first thing is Trump did respond in several different ways in regards to the whole market fall here i want to speak about that kind of share my opinions and perspectives on this whole situation because you know I I think it's important to understand where he's at in regards to the tariffs in regards to this market uh fall this market volatility all of this okay then what we're going to talk about is you know I think this is a subject worth addressing you know if people have lost faith in Trump or not which by the way I would love to hear in the comments section from you guys if you voted for Trump have you lost faith if you did not vote for Trump or have you lost more faith i would love to hear in the comments section kind of your guys' perspective on this right cuz obviously this is a whole uh tariff situation but this is even bigger than Trump in regards to this market fall and you got to understand the mechanics behind what's going on in the stock market right now because this is this is bigger than just Trump and tariffs it's that's that's no doubt a the massive situation here right but there's a lot going on beneath the market and why this market's melting at such a rapid clip it's bigger than just Trump tariffs and you got to understand what's going on there okay and then from there what we're going into is a bunch of stocks that are easy buys this week if you have any sort of longerterm horizon and I'm telling you there's a lot of opportunities okay by the way I hope you guys appreciate me covering this video for you guys in the middle of the desert in a hotel room okay because I was not planning on doing a video but I'm like there's no doubt with this drama going on there's a lot of people that want to hear my two cents on this because you know after Friday a lot of folks are like this has got to be wrapped up in regards to this correction crash right we got a NASDAQ and bare market we got a Russell and bare market and severe bare market now for the Russell and nope we're not quite over so yeah appreciate y'all joining me all I need from you smash that like button and if you want to subscribe here this channel you can certainly subscribe yeah okay so where I want to get started here is Trump's uh response okay here's here's what happened so this came out just about a half hour ago trump has said that he will not make a deal with China unless a trade deficit is solved as he was interviewed futures market continue to fall the NASDAQ futures down over 6% nearing circuit breaker levels now here's the deal okay listen trump seems committed at least in the short term to tariffs and everything that comes along with that which means the market is in in complete freef fall and crashing right now with that being said do understand this just because you're committed to it over the next month over the next couple months does not mean you're necessarily committed toward it for the next four years could be maybe he's going to maybe the tariffs he he announced the other day maybe that's on for the next four years and that's that or maybe this is just a big game of negotiation you got to understand if Trump wants to win the negotiations he's got to act like I don't give an F about what the market does right now we can freef fall this thing that's fine with me the tariffs are more important he's got to act like that because otherwise countries aren't going to take him serious in terms of getting his way right they're going to be like "Oh you're just going to get scared the market goes down." He needs to be able to look this market in the face at a complete crash and be able to say that's fine because then people actually say "Wait is he insane is he serious is Trump actually is he serious with this he he's going to let the market completely crash what shoot like may maybe we should do something about this like maybe we are going to have to negotiate cuz this man's the first president in history that's like go ahead have a crash stock market." Like and that's pretty that's a pretty wild stance right because that usually presidents try to do almost as much as possible to have the stock market go up and a lot of people got that assumption you know from from his first term listen let me be very crystal clear and this is I've tried to educate people over and over again about Trump and about what this second term is going to be and if you haven't been listening to me I hope people finally start listening because I covered this months ago on the channel and a video called the Trump stock market's going to be a roller coaster or something like that you can look it up go back and watch that video listen I hope people are listening finally okay when Trump was in the first term you got to understand we had multiple insane volatility cycles 2018 we had a ton of volatility in early 2018 and then we had an insane amount of volatility at the end of 2018 i'm talking tech stocks were in complete freefall at the end of 2018 and people forget about that and some people weren't in the market so they didn't even know about it they weren't paying attention like I was too young or you know I wasn't really in the market back then respect i understand okay but I can tell you for all of us that were in the market back in 2018 that freef fall at the end of 2018 was scary we were on pace in December we were on pace to have the worst December since the Great Depression no one knows that unless you were in the stock market back then i remember it very well it was we were about 21 or 22 days in that month of December and literally we were on pace for the worst December since the Great Depression it was insane and then at the very end of December the market started to come back and then 2019 actually was a great year for the market people forget about 2018 2018 was insane okay listen did you forget 2020 did you forget 2020 no people chalk that up to just being a rona crash respect but we don't know what could have happened in 2020 we could have had a market crash regardless of 2020 happening or not we don't know how that year would have played out right but we do know we had the fastest stock market crash in history so we had the fastest you know 30 plus% move in the S&P 500 we had ever seen additionally we had at 2018 was absolute pandemonium absolute insanity in the stock market so people thought like Trump Trump getting in office was just going to mean the stock market goes up every day i have news for you that's not the way this works that's not the way the second term's going to work there's going to as I explained in those videos you know months ago there's going to be some moments in the stock market where it is like this is the greatest stock market ever trump's you know national hero this is like we just make money every single day and there's going to be some moments over the next four years and we're going through one of those moments right now that is absolutely like "What is Trump doing he's insane he's crashing the stock market it's all his fault." We're going to be going through that and so I hope people are finally listening to this now cuz I explained this all to folks months ago and not a lot of people listened unfortunately and I hope the people that were listening months ago like you get it you understand this game right now next up here Trump said this very recently as in you know just minutes ago right by the way Sam Solid I see you he added me add holy smokes as he said to the market right now got Prince flipping flapjacks baby i like it i like it respect we have a We have massive financial deficits with China the European Union and many others the only way this problem can be cured is with tariffs that's what he believes at least that's what he's saying he believes right what he believes and what he's saying he believes they could be two different things but the moral of the story is people like "Crap he's serious?" like he really believes like the only way this situation is going to be fixed is for tariffs which is now bringing tens of billions of dollars into the USA listen like tens of billions of dollars is almost like a joke number like if you're talking anything governmentwise you're talking trillions and we have trillions of dollars being wiped out of the US stock market right now trillions so tens of billions of dollars is it's literally like like almost worth laughing at like I I saw it and I started laughing literally cuz it's nothing they're already in effect in a beautiful thing to behold the surplus with these countries has grown during the presidency of sleepy Joe Biden by the way a lot of people wishing sleepy Joe Biden could be back he was just eating ice cream people like that man uh we are going to reverse it and reverse it quickly some people will realize that tariffs for the United States of America are a very beautiful thing so what is the important part of that right there and what does it mean for the stock market the important part of that is Trump tripling quadrupling 5x downing that tariffs are the way tariffs are the way in the stock market it's like are you freaking kidding me like this guy's serious sell sell sell sell like he's really serious tens of billions of dollar who people like who cares who cares we have trillions of dollars of wealth being wiped out on the stock market right like trillions not not like tens of billion no trillions right people People have just in the past six to seven weeks people's portfolios are down thousands of dollars tens of thousands of dollars hundreds of thousands of dollars millions of dollars tens of millions hundreds of millions billions and some people tens of billions of dollars depending upon how much money you have for a lot of myself and a lot of the higher net worth individuals I know we're talking and I'm on a hotel room i don't want to talk too loud okay but we're talking I know several people personally that just on Thursday and Friday were down seven figures or multi-se figures okay what do you think I was down between all my portfolios on Thursday and Friday combined look at the public account alone the public account alone was down you know on Thursday Friday the public account was down what 400 400,000 plus you know a half million something like that somewhere between 400 and maybe 500,000 on a twoday span that's just a public account that's not even adding up all my other portfolios and that's in a two-day span once again now take that across all these different investors and you start to see just net worth just falling off a cliff and along that what happens purchasing power goes down immensely right cuz if you want to if you got a big portfolio and you want to take money out to go buy a new house right and put a down payment on or whatever you can't you think you're going to do that now heck no you're not going to do that now give me a break your portfolio's down massively right or a car or something like that but the other thing comes with that is decreased confidence no doubt about it right people see plummeting stock market they see the portfolios going down and they start saying "I don't know if I want to go on that vacation now i don't know if I want to do this i don't know if I want to do that." So it's an all big game right and that's what we have going on at this point in time if by the way if you want to see a battle go to my ex i don't know if you guys follow me on X i'll put that as you know one of the pinned comments down there today okay it's also in the description area all my videos if you want to follow me on X i've been active on there especially during this whole market situation last few weeks i've been as active as ever on X but uh if you want to see some craziness I just posted this a little while ago it already has 135 comments it said "Stock market crash drama continues are people that voted for Trump still believers or have you lost all faith?" Let me know in the comments so if you want to see some craziness you can go to my ex page now something I posted that's very valuable is I just posted this a couple days ago okay you got to understand what's going on beneath the market people are like "Trump Trump Trump tariffs tariffs tariffs." That's what is getting the market drama but the reason the market's selling off so at such a ridiculously rapid rate is bigger than just Trump tariffs that was just like the fuel for the fire but we have like a massive amount of extra fuel being thrown on the fire essentially that is beyond Trump tariffs and that's this and you got to understand this because this is very important okay do you guys remember what I was showing you back in January February i was showing you guys back then margin charts and margin had been going to pretty insane levels now when margin starts getting really really high like you know to really high levels like we were at the highest margin we had been at since the peak of the market in 2021 and what happened right when we hit those numbers market tanked and we had a colossal sell-off in the NASDAQ in 2022 some people forgot 2022 happened did they forget the NASDAQ fell 37% peaked to trough from 2021 highs to 2022 lows did people forget that 37% we haven't even fallen that much yet nasdaq if you add up what is down from the peak plus what it's down you know pre-market we could say 27% we could talk 10 more percentage points just to get to the 2022 drop but margin went crazy so people see margin going crazy oh my gosh there's $900 billion of margin taken out they think retail they think that's all retail investors you think retail investors are doing $900 billion of margin you think that's that's just a bunch of you know uh people on Robin Hood uh in their mom's basement with $5,000 taking out another 5,000 of margin you think that's them stacking up $900 billion in merchand with the steepest margin calls since 2020 Rona crash no a margin call is essentially so you know you take out extra money debt money from the bank essentially or your brokerage or whatever right and essentially you invest that money well just like an individual can do that hedge funds do that as well and hedge funds usually go through big banks to get these sorts of loans so they can in essentially get even more market upside now what happens is these hedge funds a lot of times fall into the same exact trap that a lot of newbie retail investors fall into when the market's at all-time highs and they see nothing but good things they start going margin because they're like "Oh my gosh there's so much money to be made the market's green every day what if I had even more money to invest instead of $100,000 I could have 200." The same exact thought process happens with Wall Streeters and hedge funds they do the same exact thing at the worst possible times and they start loading up and they say "We only got a billion dollars around to invest i want a billion five can I get a $500 million loan?" And they got all the connections with the big banks the big banks say "Okay." But then when all a sudden the market starts selling off the banks start calling in those loans because they're like "There's too much volatility it's too much risk to us we're afraid we're not going to get that money back from you margin call and the same thing that happens to a retail trader that goes way too crazy on margin and gets it wrong the same exact thing happens with hedge funds and it's usually when they're caught very offguard it's usually in a time period where they think it's only good things and then something out of nowhere just comes a black swan type event and just wrecks everybody guess what rona was Rona was at exact like most these hedge funds weren't thinking like that could happen and even if we go back to the 2021 market you know a lot of people were thinking like it was just going to be good then inflation went so out of control the Fed had to start raising rates people like oh my gosh I didn't think the Fed was going to start raising rates panic panic panic next thing you know margin calls right and that's exactly what we have if you go back to January I every almost every Wall Streeter that went on CNBC Bloomberg all big financial publications if we went back to January oh my gosh almost every one of these guys was so positive it was only up it was there was no risk to the market none of them were talking about the type of stuff I was talking about with margin being out of control and valuations being out of control right i covered all the channel i was taking profits on Tesla taking profits on Palunteer we covered it all right and these individuals just thought everything was just going to go up forever they start taking out margin and now they're getting margin called up the you know what and I I posted this i said "All these Wall Streeters have the effing audacity to call retail retail investors dumb money enjoy your margin calls wall Streeters as dumb money are picking up countless great stocks at 52- week 2-year 5-year 10-year lows while you're all being forced to sell." And that's exactly what we're doing right these guys are are forced selling going on right now they're getting margin calls and the thing that is crazy is the margin calls lead to what more margin calls because essentially if everybody's being forced to sell all these Wall Street traders are being forced to sell right it leads to more margin calls cuz then banks say "You know what we want that money from that fund over there get that money back." then they're forced to sell and then the next funds and until you get to a place where you know like margin's been called in essentially and the margin amount drops by several hundred billion that's what we're going to witness if you're going to look at where margin topped a couple months ago versus where margin's going to be a couple months from now you're going to see a several hundred billion dollar drop that's my prediction that prediction will be accurate you will see a several hundred billion dollar drop in the amount of margin outstanding it's going to be insane and so it leads to a much healthier market and then you actually a lot of people are wonder why do you get these V-shaped recoveries in the market where the market just plummets off a cliff and then comes back strong a lot of people think oh it's just the Fed no it's because when you go through one of these bouts where the market just goes down straight line it's because you have everybody that wants to sell is all getting out they're all going to the exit door at the exact same time imagine essentially we got one door to go through okay it's just a normalsized door like at your house okay and we've got a thousand people that are all trying to go through that door at once what is it going to be it's going to be mayhem it's going to be a mess people are going to be being squished they're going to be trying to fight over who goes through the door next it's going to be a whole situation right it's exactly what happens to Wall Street they're all trying to get out of the exit door at the same exact time and it's a complete mayhem it's complete mayhem that's what's going on in the market right now and then finally everybody that could have possibly wanted to go through the door has finally gotten through the door and then a few people start saying "You know what i think I'm going to go back through that door the other way." And then couple people go through fine couple more people go through fine then it starts being a little bit of a stampede but people are still going through fine and then next thing you know it's mayhem everybody going through the door at once that's the moment we call blowoff tops when you got stocks trading at ridiculous valuations going to new 52 week high new 52 week high and that's the sort of market we get into sometimes where it seems like every single day you wake up you make $5,000 you make $10,000 you make $20,000 you make $100,000 and you're like "My gosh this is just so easy." And that's the market when people start questioning their jobs and they start saying "Why am I even working i make more money every day from the stock market than I do from my job like I make 10 times the amount from my portfolio than what I make from my job why am I even working anymore?" And that's the market we were in just a few months ago see how fast things change and now we're in a market that's completely the opposite of that and people wake up every day and they're just like "My portfolio is down huge again it's down huge again down huge again down huge again." Right and then you get these insane V-shaped recoveries right that just are incredible the V-shaped recoveries are ridiculous in how powerful those are on the other side and that's why the timing of the market game is impossible because what happens is you'll you'll get sometimes a day where the market goes up or down then people are wondering like is that a real rally or is that just you know going back down and then sometimes you just go back down right and you hit a new low and then sometimes it doesn't go down it just goes up up up and people are like it's not the real rally yet right then it goes up up and then they see a bunch more bad news and they're like this the market's going to have to go down this week it's it's bad news and the market doesn't go down it keeps going up and they're like "What the hell why does this market just keep going up i need to get back in the market." And they keep waiting keep waiting keep waiting next thing you know the S&P 500's already popped 20% and they're like "Okay I guess I just got to go in now." And then they finally get in so understand the dynamics in in the market that's going on i think it's very important for everybody out there right cuz it's a whole situation man it's a whole situation once again if you want to follow me on X I'll put that as pin comment down there today and it's also linked in the description now what are some opportunities out there in this market okay first off there's a lot of opportunities in this market there there's some opportunities I don't even have on this list like Meta is a great opportunity this week and Amazon's a great opportunity i don't have either one on this list just because you know I'm still interested in Amazon and still buying it but I'm not buying as much just because I already own so many shares and then Meta I own a ridiculous amount of shares so but Meta and Amazon are easy pickups this week um this is actually a 2x leverage on the Russell 2000 or 3x leverage on the Russell 2000 uh this one here URY and if this go if this baby breaks 20 this week I think it could be really compelling as long as somebody's got a longer term horizon ahead mu if MU goes under 60 bye bye bye mu anything under 10 screaming deal e's a screaming deal here but if that baby even goes under 50 it's just stocks are starting to get a silly price and this is the sort of market people start saying like it's all going to zero it's all going to zero whatever okay AMD is silly at 85 you might get some shares this week in the 70s literally like and I know it's ridiculous but you got to understand we're in a market right now where the Wall Streeters and the sellers they don't care about valuation they don't care about the future they don't care about what tech these companies have what they don't care about anything right now other than sell when you're getting margin called and you've got to sell a half million dollar or excuse me a half a billion dollars in stocks you got to sell $500 million in stock because you get margin called do you know how much the technology of a company matters and the income statement the balance sheet zero all that matters is you have to sell you have no choice it's not an option if JP Morgan comes to you and says you have until Wednesday to liquidate all these stocks here you don't have an option for that you either voluntarily do it or they will do it for you there's not an option and so you got to understand right now what you're seeing in the market at this point in time has nothing at all to do with fundamentals the the first part of this market drop that had something to do with fundamentals that was really around you know what's going on with tariffs all that this part of the market drop this has nothing to do with fundamentals now we're now in the stage like we were a few months ago when people were willing to pay any price for any stock and they didn't you couldn't talk to people about a Ford P ratio or P ratio i don't care about that price to sales ratio i don't care i don't want to listen to that that's the market we're in now but it's on the flip side it's on the downward momentum side and so do understand that's very very important so AMD you know you might get shares this week in the 70s and that's insane that's insane to think AMD with their product roadmap and and where that company's going over this next 5 10 years that they're selling it down to probably maybe the 70s this week crazy man crazy etsy you know Etsy is actually intriguing to me especially if that baby goes under 40 fubo Steel Deal Trade Desk i've looked into that business model and uh you know I that's another one that I would love to maybe start a position in this week it's likely going under 45 and it might even go into the 30s this week trade is this has been a historic fall for this stock down 63% from kind of the beginning of January insane paypal's in the 50s the 50s for PayPal come on come on adobe oh my gosh you know I think people that buy are buying Adobe over this next couple weeks are going to be very happy in a few years that oh my gosh are they going to be happy campers that stock is a steel deal i'm probably going to have to start a position this week my issue is there's so many opportunities out there in the market this week it's like this is a buffet that's the thing when you're in this start part of the market the problem is not the stock market going down the problem is there's too many stocks that are too many opportunities you start to look out there like "Dang man i want to buy this stock i want to buy this stock i want to buy this stock i want to buy." You start looking out there and you're like "Oh my gosh there's like 50 stocks I want to buy right now." And then you have to decide where are the 10 or 15 best opportunities of that 50 stock there might be a honestly there's probably a hundred stocks that I would gladly put in money into right now because they're huge money makers over the next few years because they're trading at ridiculous valuations but the question is where's the 10 or 15 best opportunities what's going to make me the most money over the next 3 five years after this market crash is over after this bare market's over what's going to be the biggest opportunities so that's the hard part the easy part right now because dude you're in a sort of market when you're in a crashing market honestly you could throw money in 70% plus of stocks when you're in a market crash you could throw money in I don't want to say everything but almost everything and and make a lot of money over the next couple years as you come out of it look at the great financial crisis you could have bought you know from basically the second half of 2008 through the second half of 2009 you could have bought almost any stock and made a bunch of money over the next A couple years after that you could have bought almost anything right but there were certain stocks that went up 5x 10x 20x 30x over the next few years coming out right so that's where you kind of got to figure out when you're in a crash like where's the very best opportunities and I got to go after those because when you're at a buffet imagine you're at the wind buffet right beautiful buffet and you're just like "Oh my gosh everything looks good here and I can eat as much as I want." But you only got so much room in that belly to put that food in and so you got to pick the very best things so you're going to go after the prime rib if they have some lobster tails you're going to go after that right they got some king crab which they probably aren't because king crab they don't keep those at the buffet anymore you got to ball out for that if they got the crab legs you're going after the crab legs right you're going to go after that sort of stuff you're not going to go after the bread otherwise you've probably never been to a buffet before right and so that's the same thing in the stock market right now oh my gosh middleby could be interesting when wind's going to be in the 60s this week if if this market continues when's going to be in the 60s 60s for win guys guys let's think about this just practically for a moment let's let's just think about this right if we look at win in the rona or in in the rona crash right where'd wind go down to guys look at this win went into the 40s during the rona crash let's just think about this logically for a minute okay you see it right here around $48 March 30th so maybe the low at the absolute low was a little lower than that maybe it got down to 45 or so okay I can't remember the specific low for wind but let's just say it was 45 heck you could be 40 it doesn't matter okay wind's going to likely be in the 60s this week is this even remotely comparable to Rona for a stock like win no because you would understand in March of 2020 we were talking about global travel being closed for years years not days not weeks not months years that was the level of fear we going to get win in the 60s not that far from where it was in March of 2020 because of a trade war because of tariffs come on come on like those aren't even comparable things at all at least Win can do business like I like like for a company like when they will take they will gladly take a recession any day of the week over their properties being forced to be closed for years you understand Macau properties for when were limited limit limited open for years and even when the Vegas properties opened back up they had to limit the how many people could stay there and how many people could be there all that stuff that's ridiculous man we're talking no money coming through the door zero dollars imagine for a business you got a payroll and you're allowed to make zero dollars come on man come on and then when they did open the properties back up in Macau honestly long-term it was a good move that they opened back up those properties but I can tell you short term they lost a fortune by even opening back up those properties cuz they had to pay all the payroll and they weren't they weren't allowed to have enough customers to even come close to making a profit you would gladly take the trade war over your properties being forced to be closed and you still got payroll and corporate to pay and you got zero dollars of revenue coming even during a recession at least you still got good money coming through it's better than zero anything's better than zero is it not right red Rocks down to 37 bucks that one could We could see that under 35 that's a steel deal google's well under 150 now maybe it goes under 140 that one's a steel deal honest could Honest hit the threes this week it's possible and that one's a steel deal i mean my gosh it's just deals everywhere i like Hershey's here rh I'm still a little scared of um I have it on my possible buys watch list but I'm I'm you know if this thing really goes south you could see RH at 50 bucks i wouldn't bank on that but if this really went south there could be a lot more pain for a stock like RH you got to understand that cheesecake give me a break $45 $45 on Cheesecake come on and it probably get it even lower you know here in the short term right there's just opportunities everywhere whirlpool I mean that would be a stock I would love to start buying listen you know what's happening to rates right now rates are getting killed the 10ear is coming down immensely by the way ELF's a steel deal oh my gosh could we get ELF under 50 this is insane nike is a steel deal easy these are these are easy money makers over the next few years right short terms is what the short term is who cares i don't care if ELF goes to $42 whatever nike goes to 51 whatever i don't care all I care is that Nike is a lot higher three years from now than it is today elf all those sorts of stocks right but you know when it comes to a stock like I was speaking about in regards to Whirlpool listen rates rates are headed where down mortgage rates are headed down i think the housing market is going to pick up substantially in terms of the amount of people moving in the back half of this year and then 26 is going to be another pickup and 27 is going to be another pickup and so for existing home sales what's going on right now is the best possible thing now for selling price this is not good because if people are going to sell homes over this next 6 to 12 months they're going to have to cut price a lot from where they're at so there's no debating that but but but but in terms of the amount of activity it's going to pick up substantially starting in the back half of this year and go through into 26 and in 27 it's going to be like a a whole stair step situation there cuz we could be looking at mortgage rates you know 6 months from now that are you know in the low fives or high fours in in 12 months maybe even lower than that depending upon what happens with this market if Trump stays true on what he's what he's doing here and so that at the end of the day that's going to be multi-year boom for a company like Whirlpool that's been dead money for years because the housing market's been frozen we're going to actually unfreeze that housing market right and like I said it's not going to be necessarily great things for selling price but it will be great things for the amount of people moving because that market's been dead for years now and when people move a lot of people buy new appliances it's just what happens and that bodess very well for a company like Whirlpool right and so just something to keep in mind i mean but that's the thing man there's just there's so many opportunities out there and there's going to be so many opportunities until we get the hedge funds to be done with their margin call situation we can finally bottom out this market then we can flip to the side all righty folks busy times baby busy times i'll try to keep you guys as in tune as possible with uh what I'm up to in the market you'll likely see some big money coming in from me and make sure you follow me on X cuz I'm posting a lot of stuff on there and uh man fun times fun times look at that NASDAQ down 5 1.5% look at that crude oil 59 bucks oh my gosh 10 year 10 year looking good baby okay all right guys much love as always and have a great