Failure Break Structure: Key Concepts and Examples
Introduction
- Discussion on failure breaker structure (FBS) in trading.
- Emphasis on raw, unscripted knowledge sharing.
Key Concepts
Order Flow
- Bullish Order Flow: New highs with respect to demand.
- Bearish Order Flow: New lows with respect to supply.
- FBS involves a transition from a regular break of structure to a failed one.
Breaker Structure
- Regular Break Structure: New low/high based on price action.
- Fail Break Structure: When the expected structure break doesn't lead to continuation in that direction.
Demand and Supply Zones
- Respecting demand leads to bullish order flow.
- A failed break structure respects the original demand, turning failed attempts into liquidity.
Example
- 30-minute breaker structure: New high indicates bullish flow.
- Failure Break Example: Price respects a demand zone instead of creating a new low, indicating a failed break structure.
- Refinements from the body lower parts of the candle are effective as they remain unmitigated.
- High Probability Demand Zone: Engulfing candle increases probability.
Trading Strategy
Confirmation
- Confirmation could be through time-based (1s, 3s, etc.) or candle-based signals.
- Importance of meeting specific criteria for confirmations.
Continuation vs Reversal
- Misinterpretation can lead to losses.
- FBS can lead to continued bullish trends despite initial bearish breaks.
Entry Model
- Develop entry models around understanding of fail break structures.
- Importance of marking out demand zones that meet criteria.
Practical Tips
- Market Structure: Always mark out structure.
- Inducement and Liquidity: Identify potential for FBS through inducement layers.
- Adaptability: Recognize different variations and not be locked into one model.
- Fractality of Price: Concepts apply across multiple timeframes (1m, 15m, daily, etc.).
Conclusion
- Fail Break Structures aren't frequent but can be crucial for strategy.
- Understanding and recognizing them adds to trading arsenal.
- Emphasizes adaptability and preparation for diverse market conditions.
Final Remarks
- Price movement is fractal.
- Encourages experimenting and adapting based on what works for you.
- Importance of a multi-dimensional approach in trading.
Happy Easter and enjoy the rest of your day! Peace.