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Lex fridman with ray dalio -Bitcoin Versus Gold: Value Insights

May 11, 2025

Bitcoin and Gold Value Comparison

Key Points

  • Current Bitcoin Value:

    • Bitcoin hit a high of $69,000 this year.
  • Bitcoin Potential Value:

    • Speculation exists about Bitcoin reaching very high values, such as $1 million.
    • The speaker does not believe Bitcoin will reach such high values.
  • Comparison with Gold:

    • Gold is used as a benchmark for evaluating Bitcoin's potential.
    • Total value of Bitcoin is about $1 trillion.
    • Total value of all cryptocurrencies is approximately $2.2 trillion.
    • The amount of gold not used for jewelry or central banks is valued at about $5 trillion.
  • Portfolio Considerations:

    • A portfolio including both gold and Bitcoin currently values Bitcoin at around 20% of gold's value.
    • The speaker does not believe Bitcoin will surpass gold's value in this mix.
  • Potential Future Values:

    • If Bitcoin's value became equal to gold, it would imply a significant increase.
    • The idea that Bitcoin could equal or surpass gold is seen as unlikely.
  • Market Growth Potential:

    • Total money pool of gold and equivalents could potentially grow from $6-$8 trillion to $16 trillion.
    • Growth depends on global economic conditions.

Conclusion

  • While recognizing potential for growth, the speaker uses gold as a logical benchmark to assess Bitcoin's future value.
  • Skepticism remains regarding Bitcoin reaching extremely high values relative to gold or the global market.
  • Logical assumptions place a limitation on Bitcoin's price in comparison to other similar assets.