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Lecture on Candle Range Theory (CRT)

Jul 5, 2024

Lecture on Candle Range Theory (CRT)

Introduction

  • Goal: Achieve a deeper understanding of CRT for better market trading
  • Instructions: Forget preconceived notions; take notes; pay attention

What is CRT?

  • Full form: Candle Range Theory
  • Core Idea: Every candle is a range
    • A candle can either be broken out of or 'Turtle souped' (Wicked below and closed above)
    • There is no third option

Trading the Range

  • Monthly Range: Monthly open, low, high, close
  • Weekly Range: Weekly open on Sunday, low, high, close
  • Daily Range: Daily open, low, high, close
  • 4-Hour Range: 4-Hour open, low, high, close
  • 1-Hour Range: 1-Hour open, low, high, close

Defining the Range

  1. Decide: Choose which range you want to trade (monthly, weekly, daily, 4-Hour)
  2. Marking: Practice marking the open and close of monthly, weekly, daily, and 4-hour candles
    • Monthly candle: Go to the 4-Hour chart
    • Weekly candle: Go to the 1-Hour chart
    • Daily candle: Go to the 15-Minute chart
    • 4-Hour candle: Go to the 5-Minute chart

Trading Strategy: Open, High, Low, Close (OHLC)

  • Bullish Strategy: Wait for open, key level, Turtle soup, then rally
  • Bearish Strategy: Open, bearish key level, Turtle soup, then decline
  • Key Idea: This sequence happens on every candle

Fractality of Price

  • Concept: Price action is similar across different timeframes (monthly, weekly, daily, 4-hour, 1-hour)
  • Practice Lower Time Frames: Use lower timeframes to build experience
  • No Fixed Time Frame Alignment: Each timeframe prints at its own pace

Mission

  • Homework: Mark and analyze open and close on different timeframes like 4-hour for monthly, 1-hour for weekly, etc.
  • Turtle Soup: Practice predicting Turtle soup pattern and market movements

Power of Three

  1. Accumulation: First candle of the week/month/day/hour
  2. Manipulation: Second candle of the week/month/day/hour
  3. Distribution: Third candle of the week/month/day/hour

Practical Example

  • Example Setup: Weekly Range on 1-Hour chart, mark Sunday 5 PM to next weekly open
    • Accumulation: First candle
    • Manipulation: Second candle (Turtle souped)
    • Distribution: Third candle (targets 50% and opposing end of the range)

Journaling and Improvement

  • Journal: Note every loss and reverse engineer the mistake
  • Practice: The more you practice, the more second nature it becomes
  • Build on Basics: Understand the core strategy, then add intricacies and details

Advanced Details

  • Wicks vs. Closes: Determine bias based on candle wicks and closes
  • Time of Day: Certain times are for consolidation, others for expansion
  • Psychology of Market: Always think like a market maker, who is getting stopped out, who is winning

Final Tips

  • Repetition: Watch and re-watch the lecture to fully grasp concepts
  • Credibility: Instructor holds world record for highest accuracy in trading (80% accuracy)
  • Critique on ICT: Long-winded content, but good for foundational knowledge

Homework

  • Reverse Engineer: Instructor’s trades from 2023; find the patterns and principles of CRT in those trades
  • Watch Turtle Soup Series: Commencing next week

Conclusion

  • Key Takeaway: Every candle is a range; open, key level, Turtle soup is the core of the strategy
  • Further Studies: Continue learning about markets and trading practices

Summary

  • CRT helps frame market movements as ranges
  • Utilize fractal nature of price to practice trading
  • Ground your strategy in OHLC and the Power of Three
  • Practical observation and journaling are crucial for improvement