Full card prediction and picks for UFC Vegas 108. As always, you can call me Kunith. Let's make some money this week. Movement in the main, I repeat, movement in the main event. Amir Albazi out. Hyansung Park is in. My guy peace of mind park coming in 10-0, 2 and0 in the UFC, looking to knock off Tatsuro Tyros. All the hotness even though he lost to Brandon Roy Val last time out. UFC says, "I'll give you another main event, kid. Show me what you got because this is a star in the making with that Japanese market kind of untouched at least with this wave, this generation of MMA fighters. That's Rot Tyra's lead in the charge there and they're giving him another shot. Now last time out we picked against him against Brandon Roy Val because we thought it was crazy. Too big to step up in competition. Five rounds against a guy who's been proven one of the best in the world and he came up a little bit short. Still fought hard and gave a good account of himself. Still brought Brandon Royal right to the brink. A split decision. Maybe it shouldn't have been a split but split decision. And now it's about how you respond. How do you respond after getting that first loss in your career? You know that it's going to be hard for him at 25 years old, 16-0. He's undefeated. Nobody can beat him. And then he suffers that setback. Can't feel good. But I think he comes back better than ever. I think Hyanung Park is an easy matchup for him. I think he actually knocks Yongsung Park out on the feet this week. Jansong Park's been winning and he's been looking good, but he's also been dropped by lesser fighters, lesser athletes. I think Tatsuo Tyra knowing what he knows now after that Brando Roy Val fight like hey I might be an ace on the mat it might be great when it gets down there but you can't be even slightly one-dimensional if you're going to fight the best of the best at this weight class you need to be as technically sound as possible across the board and I think you realize after watching him fight Brandon Roy Val that if the takedowns aren't there it's not that great I expect an emphasis on the striking I think he's going to come out here pick park apart on the feet I think the kicks are going to be there I think the punches are going to be there and I think he rocks Park at some point. Probably finishes him on the feet. If not, I think club and sub is on the table. He's a big favorite here. I think you can comfortably put him in your parlays to fluff it up a little bit. I like Park, but I think this is too big a step up in competition. Plus, he's taking it on short notice, so you know that the weight cut's not going to be what he was planning for. Easy one for Tatsuro. Tyra moves to 17 and1. Give me Tyra inside the distance. Next, we have a car crash at 155 lbs. Chris Duncan fighting Matau Rambeski. So Ron Besky is the favorite here. I think money is continuing to come in on him. Although when I look on Twitter, I see people saying Chris Duncan, Chris Duncan, Chris Duncan. I don't believe it. I think Chris Duncan is at a chin disadvantage. I think Chris Duncan might have the slight cardio edge, but I don't think it's going to be necessary because I don't see this fight going all that long. I think that Chris Duncan is at the power disadvantage in the hands as well, although he's a powerful guy. I think Ron Besky hits a little bit harder. And we've seen Chris Duncan stunned and rocked before. where we saw him stunned against Charlie Campbell on the Contender Series. Although he came back to win that fight in impressive fashion, I think Charlie Campbell just didn't respect what was coming back because he knew he had his opponent hurt. And then he found himself hurt very early against Manuel Torres and then ultimately gets his back taken and gets submitted in that fight. But he's coming off a back-to-back guillotine wins. I know that a lot of people were high on Jordan Vuenich, myself included, and he was out there just guillotining him the same way he did Bellagio. And now you're thinking, okay, he might have the best guillotine at 155 lbs. But you kind of live and die by that. We're going to talk about that again with a later matchup on the card. But you live and die by the guillotine. You look at somebody like Sedaka Maddov against Bryce Mitchell. He was looking for that ninja choke and he couldn't get it. Ends up losing the fight because of it. I think Chris Duncan's really going to be looking for that guillotine because Ron Beski is probably going to shoot takedowns if he doesn't stun him on the feet early. But I don't think he's guillotine in a guy like this. Guillotine's largely shouldn't work. If you've watched the channel for a while, you know I don't think guillotine should be working all that often. And I don't think against somebody like Ron Beski is going to get guillotined anytime soon. And on the feet, I just don't think that Chris Duncan is going to be able to beat him to the punch. Like we've seen Chris Duncan strike with these guys in the UFC like against Yanal Ashimos. It was very pitterpatter move. And I don't think that works against Ronki who's very forward and is going to step into the fire to land offense of his own. So I think the things that Chris Duncan does well is just going to get nullified by the things that Maus Roeski is great at. And I think Ramblesky has more ways to win this fight. He could take Chris Duncan down whenever he wants. He can avoid being guillotined. He's going to land with more power and he's going to be the one moving forward for most of this fight. So give him Mats Rambesky to win this fight. I think he wins by knockout. And real quick, if you haven't already, like the video, subscribe to the channel, comment something for the algorithm. You you know how the algorithm works. Next, we've got Elves Brener. He's fighting Estabbon Reeba. I'm telling you guys, Estonix has a screw loose. That's a crazy man right there. And I don't think a lot of people realize that until they're in there with him. Like he's willing to die for this. He's a pretty sizable favorite here against Elves Brener. I do think that if Brener wants to, he can get takedowns here. I think Brener is better on the mat. But I think while the fight is standing, Estabbon Reevix is going to make it hell. Tons of volume, a ridiculous chin, crazy fighting spirit. Like he's always moving forward. We picked against him in the fight against Nazarat Hack Praast, and that was because he's very susceptible to that left hand, and Hack Par has got a piston of a left hand, but Alves Brener doesn't really have that. Brener's UFC wins have aged so poorly. You look at the fight against Zubar Tuckov. He was a big underdog in that fight. Ends up winning that fight by split decision. Go back and watch it. He didn't win. No way. And then you look at the fight against Guram Coutalatte. He's a big underdog again. Gam gases out. Alves Brener finishes him late after nearly being finished in his own right to his credit. But even in that fight, you're looking at a situation where Guram, he's terrible, right? Uh Zubber Takagov out of the UFC. Guram not living up to the hype even in the slightest. And since then he hasn't looked good. And you can make the argument, well that's Muktobec Oral. That guy's a problem. Joel Alvarez, that guy's a problem. But Estban Ribeovix is a problem. And Alves Brener is going to be at a speed disadvantage. He's there to be hit. He's going to be standing right in front of Ribeovix. He's going to try to take him down again. But we even saw Estvon Riovix in his UFC debut getting taken down by Loick Rascal over and over and over again. He just kept getting back up to his feet. The dude's scrappy. So I think even if he does get taken down, pops right back up and then says, "Welcome to my world." and start giving Elves Brener the business. I don't think this goes the full 15. I think he breaks Brener and finishes him late. That's the kind of style that Rivovix brings to these fights as well is that he's just going to keep that pressure, keep that power, keep that pace all throughout the round. So, I think that even late third round KO certainly on the table. Give me Alves Brener to win this fight by knockout. Now, I know things have been pretty chalky to this point in the video. Favorite favorite. The buck stops here. Carol Hosa, for starters, cannot be trusted just in general, but especially as a favorite. You look at that fight against Eileen Perez, she's just flat. And outside of her win against Penny Kanzed not too long ago, she hasn't had a very clean win since like the end of 2021. So, it's been some time since you've had a great performance from Carol Hosa. Meanwhile, Norah Coronal has looked good in the UFC. Nor Cornall is getting finishes. She's hurting people in the clinch. That Muay Thai looks good. Those knees to the body. She folded up Melissa Mullins like a wallet. and she's somehow the underdog here. Now, I get she probably doesn't make weight. She's 35 years old. And another thing that's at play is that Carol Hosa can win this fight however she wants. When Carol Hosa shows up, she's a problem. She's got ridiculous volume. She can take this woman down whenever she wants. She can stay on top of her whenever she wants if she does get the fight to the map for however long. I mean, this could be a very easy fight for Carol Hosa, but she just fails to reach that potential. And her performances have been very inconsistent. And I think one thing that's going to create that inconsistency here is the power and the ferocity coming back her way because as soon as she closes distance and gets in that clinch, she's going to be eating these hard knees to the body. And I think she's going to find out pretty quickly that I don't know if I really want to be here tonight. I think Norah Corinol at plus 160 is kind of a steal. I think that she's going to go out there, hurt her Carol Hosa, have bigger moments as a result. As long as she's not getting taken down and held down here, I think she's going to do just fine. Even if she's getting held against the fence in the clinch, as long as she's getting knees off to the body, I think she's going to have a pretty good time. Big body, physical for 135 lbs. Not somebody who's going to be fighting like the best of the best and winning a belt in this division. Even if she was 30 years old, she wouldn't be doing that because she's not good enough on the mat. But I do think that this matchup is tailor made for her to look good as an underdog. I think she's going to win the striking exchanges against Carol Hosa, hurt her a couple of times, and just win on the scorecard. So, give me Nororn all by decision. and she could probably find herself on the official betting article of the week. Official betting article as well as DFS strategy guide, lineup optimizer, data model tools, community parlays, all that good stuff can be found on kunathmma.com linked in the description and in a pinned comment. I will say I don't know what happened. I tried to post the strategy guide last week and it just kind of blocked it. I got that rectified with the company that I use to make my website, but that doesn't happen again. You'll get the DFS strategy guide this week as well as everything else because the data model and the projections that was all up there as well, but everything's going to be full go this week for the fights. You'll find that on kunathmma.com linked in the description and in a pinned comment. Back to the breakdown. Next, we have the AARP fight of the week. Couple of elderly gentlemen getting in there and scrapping it out. I can't tell you how much I love this spot. I think this is my favorite bet of the entire card. It's going to be Neil Magny at plus 170. Let me tell you, Neil Magny has gotten the worst matchmaking possible for the last couple of years. And I get that he's supposed to be the gatekeeper or whatever, but he's he's Mangela Hill. You've never seen him and Angela Hill in a room at the same time, but they keep giving him guys like they gave him Mike Malot who was supposed to run through him and he ends up beating Mike Malot. That was cool. They also gave him Ian Garry, Shavecott, Rock Manov, Michael Morales, Carlos Patees. He's fighting murderers row and all Uncle Neil wants to do is just show up, move around for 15 minutes, get his checks, and go home. But he's had a bad night of work over and over and over again because they keep matching him up like he's like going to compete for the title or something. It's crazy. But when they don't match him up like that, like against old Daniel Rodriguez, who he ends up dar choking Kevin Holland take notes, he beats him easily. And against Eliza Zeleleski Doss Santos, who's scrappy, got better kicks than Neil Magny, might have some success kicking the calf of Neil Magny. We've seen fighters take advantage of those skinny legs before. This is a fight that Neil Magny wins. This is one of the best matchups Neil Magny's gotten in years from the UFC because he's actually an age advantage. He's the younger man here. He's taller. He's much longer. And what's Eliza Zeleleski Doss Santos going to do to win this fight? Outside of score with some leg kicks, is he going to knock Neil Magny out with a punch? I doubt it. And I doubt it because he's got to close a lot of distance to be able to land that. He's also got to get his back up off against the fence. Neil Magny is going to get in that clinch and do what Neil Magny does. Getting you with those knees to the body, staying busy with those short punches, those elbows, those trip takedowns, getting on your back, just making you work. And I think as the fight goes on, Neil Magny is going to stay steady while you'll see Kapawa kind of slow down a little bit. Not a ton. It's not like he's an old guy who's gassing out in these fights, but I do think that the pace that Neil Magny can fight at when he's having success is something that saps that energy. And I think that Zeleleski is going to slow down just a tad. And as he slows down and Neil Magny stays steady, that's when you're going to see Neil continue to take over. So, I love this spot for Neil Magny. I think that Neil Magny's got bad matchmaking over and over and over again and the UFC is giving him something that's not a layup here, right? They're not throwing him a bone, but they're giving him something that's fair. And I think that Neil Magny's going to capitalize on the opportunity and get his two checks. So, give me Uncle Neil to get it done here. I think he ends up winning by decision. Next, we have Kevin Vallejo fighting Danny Silva. Kevin Vallejo is a force. The dude's a problem. And this might sound crazy. I think that Kevin Vallejo can compete with guys in the top five in this division tomorrow. But he doesn't have to do that. He doesn't have to worry about that because he's got time on his side. At 23 years old, I think 3 years, four years from now, this is Kevin Vallejo's division and everybody else just living. I've been unimpressed with Danny Silva. I think he's too hitable. And I think standing in front of a guy like Vallejo, he's going to get lit up. I know that the odds look like this. This is giving me Carlos Leall vibes from last week, but we move. We move. Kevin Vallejo wins this fight. Kevin Vallejo wins by knockout. Next, we're looking at Nick Klein versus Andre Pulv. I think that Nick Klein is going to be a popular dog throughout the week, but Andre Pulv to me is clearly the side here. He's the much better striker here. He's got more MMA experience, and he's been fighting Russians this whole time. Like, he's coming up through the ranks fighting Russians. ends up fighting CLLD in his debut, which I think might have been on short notice. Doesn't get the doors blown off of him. Doesn't look good at all, but he doesn't get finished in that fight. Ends up thwarting all the takedown attempts. He's somebody who's very solid and I think he's got good striking while Nick Klein is kind of just one trick pony. I want to take you down. I want to get your back and I want to submit you. And I respect that because if you do something well, you should triple down on it in my opinion. Especially at this weight class, you don't need to be super well-rounded. you can get by these unranked guys if you're really good at one thing. But I think Nick Klein is somebody who he's a little bit too submission over position even though I respect it. I think he's going to be selling out for these takedowns and I don't think this is the best wrestler or even close to it that Pulley has seen in his career and definitely not in the training room. So I think that Nick Klein's going to be selling out for these takedowns. He's going to be paying the price for it with knees and body kicks and uppercuts. Just these kind of anti- wrestling, anti-level changing techniques. And then once they are at the feet and they're at range and Nick Klein's forced to strike with him, that's when Pulv's really going to pull away. Like you look at his fight on Contender Series. If he fights how he fought on Contender Series against Nick Klein, he's going to blow the doors off of him and probably knock him out in the second round. I know Nick Klein had some moments against Mansour Abdul Malik, but that was largely because of a spinning back elbow that he landed, rocked Mansour Abdul Malik, but you don't have that moment. You don't get the, "Oh, maybe he beats the next guy he's fighting." So I think that Andre Pulv is somebody who is in a good by low spot despite being the favorite here. So give me Andre Pulv. I think he wins by knockout. Rena Nakamura blew up everybody's parlays last time out losing to Muen Gaffarov of all people. Just ridiculous. Obviously was not fighting at his best. I don't know if there was some kind of injury. I don't know what the reason was, but he looked terrible. And then he got dropped in the second round and you just knew like, okay, there's no way that this guy's coming back to win this fight. But athletically, he's just on another level than Nathan Fletcher. We saw Nathan Fletcher get walked down by Ken Logan, taken down six times in that fight. Still landed good strikes. A lot of people probably thought he should have won that fight. It was a close fight, but you can't give up that real estate. You can't get taken down by a guy like that and then have a better performance against Rena Nakamura because you can't fight a wrestler while you're moving backward, at least not too much, unless you really got something for him when he closes distance. And I don't think Rena Nakamura is going to play that game on the feet. I think he's going to try to take him down. Do what he does best because he wasn't trying to take Muen Gaffrov down early and that was a mistake and he paid the price for it. You have to do what you do well and I think he might have deviated from the game plan last time out but I think the game plan is very simple this week but Nathan Fletcher on his back. Keep him there. Win the fight. Give me Renya Nakamura. I think he ends up winning this fight by decision. This is a ridiculous fight between Hadalfo Vieiraa fighting Tan Gore. Hadalfo Vieta coming off of not a great look against Andre Petroski, but that that fight was very telling. It was one of those situations where Hadalfo Vieta can't get his takedowns. He's going to lose the fight. Same thing against Chris Curtis. Same thing when he gassed out against Fluffy Hernandez. Once the takedowns stop, he's got nothing for you. What I do like for him in this fight though, a lot more experience, not just in MMA, but in combat sports overall. Obviously much better on the mat than Tawn Gore. And if he gets Tawn Gore to the mat, he probably finishes the fight with like an arm triangle or something like that. He's probably the better athlete between the two, but I don't know if he's necessarily the faster or quicker guy between these two. But my thing is this, Adalfo Vieta is takedown or bust. If he doesn't get his takedowns, he loses. Again, I know we covered that, but for that reason, you know that Tawn Gore is expecting the takedown. Everybody's expecting the takedown, but you'll notice Hadalfo Viet again lit up by Cody Brundage. Closes the distance because he needs to. Brundage decides to jump guillotine on this guy, which is stupid. One of the lowest fight IQ moments I can remember. You're not going to jump guillotine against a guy like Haddalfo Vieiraa. And even then, it was pretty tight. It was pretty tight. You saw Cody Brundage smiling like, "Okay, I think I got this." You never had it, though, to be fair. But that's not going to work on a guy like Hadalfo Vieiraa. The way Tawn Gore throws his guillotines out there though can work against a guy like Hadalfo Vieta because Tawn Gore is not jumping guillotine. He's wants that standing guillotine, high elbow, putting my hips as close to your hips as possible. He's picking guys up off their feet with it. That is a guillotine that Hadalfo Vieta can get caught with because Hadalfo Vieta is going to go in there and think, "Try to guillotine me." Watch what happens. You're going to try to guillotine me. I'm going to bull rush. I'm going to knock you on your ass and you're going to be on the mat flat back to trying to guillotine me and I'm going to be in top position. I'm going to win the fight as a result. He's welcoming the guillotine. I think Tan Gore might be welcoming the takedown attempt because he knows I'll pull your damn head off with this thing. And at striking range, I I think Tan Gore would easily knock Hadalfo Vetta out if he tries to play that game for too long. Had Vieiraa didn't get knocked out by Andre Petroski, but he did get hurt a couple of times. And Petroski is a bad striker. Tayshawn Gore has up until this point fought Brian Battle who's one of the top fighters at 170 pounds. He fought Cody Brundage. He got knocked out by Cody Brundage as a result, but HDO Vieta was nearly knocked out by Cody Brundage more than once. But Marco Tulio, who was a stud at a shootto box Diego Lima, who ended up putting it on him and Tan Gore showed tremendous heart in that fight. But when he got his fights against Antonio Trokali and Josh Fmed, he was able to rip their heads off with that guillotine. And the guys got power as well. But we saw that before he came to the UFC. For Hadalfo Vieiraa, the guys that he's beaten all have a negative record in the UFC. Whenever he gets that step up, he loses. And I think he's going to be at a striking disadvantage. I think he's going to be surprised by the guillotine that's coming from Tawn Gore. And even if Gore doesn't finish the guillotine, I don't think he's going to end up on his back because of it. And at 35 years old, I don't know how much Adalfo Viea has left. It's not like he was selling out for takedowns and pushing a pace against Andre Petroski. He was very comfortable to get out struck at distance and not really put much out there. And I think that at 35 years old, all that combat sports experience, all that muscle as well, I don't think that he's going to look good after the first round. Meanwhile, Tan Gore is still learning on the job. I think he's got some really rough matchmaking, but I think that these fights that he's gotten that have been very difficult, like Marco Tulio against Adalfo Vieiraa, Marco Tulio takes his head off. I think those are good learning experiences for him and as a result he's going to look really good moving forward. So I think this is where you start to see Tawn Gore go on a bit of a run here. I think he ends up beating HDO Vieta. I would definitely take a shot on him by submission. You just have to. But I think that Ton Gore inside the distance is the move this week. Rafael Estam back in action against Felipe Nunez. Easy work for Estav. We've seen Nunez struggle with guys who are good grapplers and good wrestlers in the past. Rafael Estam selling out for that takedown. Not going to get guillotined. You're not going to get anything off of Felipe Nunez's back. 35 years old at 125 pounds. No thank you, sir. The the line is justified. Hafa Estan wins this fight. Better fight. Pieta Rodriguez fighting Kelyn Sza. I think on the feet, Katelyn Sza could give Lafayette some problems. But I think that level change in that blast double leg from Petta Rodriguez is going to be there all night long. Same situation as the Angela Hill fight. I think Katelyn Sza is somebody who can really screw her feet into the mat. let those heavy hands go and score on a lot of these women. But if you got that well-rounded wrestling game, you can get over on her. And I think Pieta is going to be able to do that. We saw her secure what was it? Six takedowns last time out. Even against Ariani Carlosi, she was ragging her, taking her down. Ends up losing because of a headbutt. But Petta Rodriguez is a problem. Even against Jillian Robertson, she didn't tap to that arm bar. She might have gotten her arm broken if she didn't tap, but she didn't tap to the arm bar. Premature stoppage in that book. But I think she's just going to be relentlessly looking for those takedowns and I don't think Kaitlin Sosa is going to have an answer for him. And once the fight gets to the mat, I like the control from Rodriguez as well. I think she's going to be able to keep Sosa there and as a result just win more minutes. She might look worse later. We might see Sosa get the timing of those takedowns, start to stuff them in the third round, and then rally late and look like she might be able to come back, but it might be too little too late. I think Pier Rodriguez ends up winning this fight. I'd recommend taking the over. I wouldn't be surprised to see this one go the distance, but give me Lafayette to win this fight on the scorecards. And then Austin Bashy gets a short notice replacement, whoever this is. I don't know who this is. You don't you don't don't act like you know who this is. Austin Bashy by submission. That's going to do it for the predictions video. We went a little fast because I have less important things to do. But if you've made it to this point in the video, thank you so much for watching. I really do appreciate it. Make sure you like the video, subscribe to the channel, comment something for the algorithm. and I'll see you later in the week for final picks.