hey everybody this one is special i look at signals a lot and I always try and find confluence among signals like multiple signals all pointing in the same direction but never before in my life have I seen so many hyper bullish signals all pointing in the same direction at the same time this one is called coiling up and that is Bitcoin is coiling up like we've never seen before thank you all for coming i'm going to try put myself somewhere up here in the corner so you can see me keep an eye on me make sure I behave thank you Dex Anglo Blacks and TND Tesla TA Apologist Sha D K8 and everybody else let's get into this story wow and of course not financial advice and this is from Prodan 23 i've only been subscribed to your Patreon for 6 months but the amount I've learned is incredible and I appreciate that so much and I can see the full quote cuz it's saying it's worth every penny plus some thank you so much for the kind words and thank you to team as well that make all this possible and thank you to everybody on Patreon as well now let's get into the ugly news first of all uh token unlocks so far for the next week uh some of the usual suspects we will never spend much time on this but we got IEN layer which is there every week Mura whatever that is IOTA tribal cell optimus sooie uh sui another one uh optimus no op not optimus optimism the layer 2 optimus I'm thinking robots dydx ema again and move so watch for those things and it's funny sometimes people panic over a tiny unlock for one chain I mean when others do them every single week anyhow that was the ugly news didn't last long let's get into the bad news this one is a bit suspicious um now I don't know what to make of this this is from Molly White in April Coinbase announced changes to its user agreement that added two clauses limiting class action lawsuits and requiring lawsuits to be filed in New York the changes apply to disputes initiated after May 15th i'll just spend a second on this first of all I have had multiple conversations with Coinbase scammers not Coinbase but people pretending to be from Coinbase who scam people i I have a video on that i recorded the whole thing it's a hilarious 40-minute conversation where I led this guy along just to understand how they operate operates to protect you guys but remember literally I get three calls a week from Coinbase of course Coinbase scammers coinbase will never call you but the point is the reason there are so many callers scammers attacking Coinbase accounts I have a staff member here that gets calls from Coinbase she doesn't even have a Coinbase account so it it's crazy so just remember they will never call you but I want to get into this point and maybe I should be wearing a little bit of a tinfoil hat or something uh regarding this but again they change these rules kind of weird timing the timing of the user agreement update and the data breach raises concerns april update effective date May 15th which was right before the hack or supposed release announcement of the hack uh which limits class action lawsuits and mandates arbitration in New York which could restrict users legal opinions and on May 14th just one day before this change takes effect Coinbase disclosed a data breach again very suspicious um make what of you will but uh I'm kind of a paranoid person so I always try and look behind certain things anyway the proximity might suggest an attempt to limit liability for the breach by enforcing new terms potentially reducing users ability to seek collective redress and while not necessarily illegal the sequence of events could be perceived as strategic and potentially exploitative so it may hinder it users abilities to do this so again could be shady but remember don't keep anything on Coinbase ever all right you you move fiat there you trade and then you move it off okay and if you don't feel comfortable with cold storage buy proxies or Black Rockck ETF or Fidelity ETF or something but be careful we heard a story a friend of Rob Digital Asset News life savings 25 years of savings 3 million bucks from Coinbase gone all right don't do it and watch your 2FAS and your Google authenticators and everything else okay be very very careful so sorry for that but it's just it breaks my heart to see people lose money so let's get back to the story um again be careful and Tron a little bit of other bad news i don't know if it's good news bad news it's good news if you like Tron bad news if you like Ethereum but Tron now leads stable coin activity uh versus Ethereum and Tron now do 2.4 4 million daily Tether transactions USDT versus ETH's 284K again the stable count coin crown is secured for now but there's another player coming up from behind but we won't talk about them anyway let's get on to the good news here we're going to go over all of the Octa stuff and some crazy signals fear and greed every time here we are we're back at 69 we've been here knocking on this glass for quite a while that red zone at the top very important to note i try to mix up the charts a little bit again we are at 6869 now the extreme green level is at 80% where we spend about 5% of the time but that's when the crazy action happens so watch this chart very carefully when we go into that red zone be careful that might be a time you consider taking some profits or hedging and in the green zone that's when you buy it's that simple it's not hard anyway um crypto the last seven days again Bitcoin had a very strong week hence a lot of other stuff is red in terms of dollar terms Bitcoin up this is already completely out of date because Bitcoin right now is at $107,000 so it just shot up seven grand or sorry $1,000 in the last hour or so but everything else is kind of bleeding a little bit against it especially XRP xrp's been getting a lot of flack lately probably rightly so but uh it's political and I'm not going to touch it anyway let's talk about this this is the uh positive May up 12% so far again it's also out of date it's probably like 13% now 14% given the actual move so we'll watch this carefully and remember the seasonality is out of kilter i've been talking about this for months now we are shifted sideways you can't rely on the seasonality per se because I think it's off by a month or two right now so historically April is a killer month but we only had 14% returns instead of the average of 35.2% so imagine some of those gains i believe May will still become even more positive than it is now and that's why I also have said many many times I'm very happy to see it being pared back in other channels too they're saying don't sell in May don't go away in May because everything has been shifted to the right june and July will be very good as well as May and you'll see why with some of the data I'm about to show you let's move into the story further digital asset fund flows again pretty darn good so far for the month and the I think they hit 785 million just shy of a billion dollars last week year-to- date totals nearly eight billion dollar eight billion dollars that's nearly worth even Austin Powers moment right there so the ETFs are stacking like crazy and we found out as well after Q1 that it's sovereign wealth funds and many other big players California pension schemes um other other big groups that are stacking this puppy and top 50 performance over the last 30 days versus Bitcoin bitcoin up nearly 30% a lot of stuff to the left has done very well and it's great to see a back a blast from the past i used to trade that puppy back in 2021 had a great week up about 86% again everything is doing really well these days and this is just should not be in here it's a little bit out of sequence but Nvidia is not slowing down either they should have come up later in the stocks i don't know how this jumped into this section but anyway AI is not slowing down crypto is not slowing down it's all continues to run but let's get into a little onchain because this is Octa after all first of all this you could argue that this is bad news and it's in the good news section i'll explain why but since November 2023 okay the supply held by long-term holders between 18 months and 3 years has dropped by over $2.1 million Bitcoin i.e this cohort cashed out 138 billion during the distribution based on where they are now the the good news here is despite all of this dumpage from these long-term holders and they only sell a certain amount any given cycle at most maybe they have another 500k to go which is nothing they've sold 2.1 and I've been saying for a long time too they only sell maybe maximum a third of their bag or 40% that's done the selling by the long-term holders is over and what's crazy is they've dumped 2.1 million Bitcoin and we're at all-time highs okay that's that's the important takeaway the other takeaway though is my other theory that I figured out in March 2024 was huh how come the long-term holders are selling before the having as it turns out many of them were selling their spot bitcoin and buying the ETF for security reasons and people like plan B etc have admitted as much so that's what happened and that is good news that's why it's here so again there's not a lot of more a lot more coinage to come from these long-term holders They're they've sold what they typically sell for their lifestyle chips now they wait to get back in but they also know it's coming to so when you have players that are looking to stack a million Bitcoin or another half a million Bitcoin where are they going to get it i don't know i don't know we shall see also another quick chart here that looks at where we are this is the system we are at right now and Bitcoin has reached again as I speak $16,850 so we are literally a hair away from alltime high at 109K okay a sneeze could push us above that level now there is some resistance up here i've been watching that 1065 level now for weeks we are 500 bucks above that the question is when can we break through this rangetop resistance and the answer is I reckon pretty soon based on what I'm about to show you next and again that's just data data could be wrong but we'll see and this is another quick chart from the team at Glass Node they got do some great stuff there have only been four trading days ever in the history of Bitcoin this high where we are today okay and it's 40% higher than it was six weeks ago six weeks ago I got to zoom out again for this one too because six weeks ago everybody was throwing in the towel about 30% of the people that watch this channel said "That's it bare market we're done bull market's over." I said "No no it's not the data doesn't say that no the charts don't say that the onchain doesn't say that 30% lost hope they packed their bags and went home because they didn't listen to me." But you know if you watch this show I never ever lost hope of the bull market anyway 4 days will it be five tomorrow if we can stay above 1056 1065 key zone and another record was made ladies and gentlemen and we haven't even gotten to the good news yet one way to quantify the supply and demand balance is looking at the realized cap metric this aggregates the cumulative net flow of capital inflows into Bitcoin and over the last month the total value stored in Bitcoin network has grown by 4.2% and this is a meaningful uptick in capital entering the market as I said yesterday and on Sunday the flows into Bitcoin have accelerated this year q1 was great Q2 even greater and this has pushed the realized cap to a new all-time high over 900 billion for the first time in history and that's a huge milestone and guess what's next in the box $1 trillion which we should be at pretty soon we need a good spike so for realized cap to happen a lot of Bitcoin needs to change hands at higher prices etc but it's again shows you typically also the realized cap puts in a very very very solid floor for the asset as well now this is also related again thank you to Glass Node for this and it looks at I love my title logarithmic milestones taking longer i was going to write loger logger for giggles with logarithmic but I decided not to just in case people thought I couldn't spell but sometimes I do that i like to play word tricks but if you see here this is a cool chart that shows you every time we make a log step change difference in price starting at uh 1,00 100,000 or sorry let me get this right uh logarithm realized cap realized cap stars not price caps so the realized cap first of all was 100,000 then 1 million 10 million 100 million um I can't read that a billion 10 billion 100 billion 1 trillion 1 trillion is the next realized cap milestone but the thing is the time it takes to get to these different step changes can vary quite differently for example the time it took to get from 1 billion to 10 billion was nearly four years and the time to get from 100 billion to a trillion we haven't made yet but it's taking longer that's the big takeaway here six years so far h the question is will we make it this season i think so i definitely with all the season stuff I see and let me talk about stuff I see and this is the spicy stuff first of all blood yell this per now this guy started at 200 million 260 400 million 600 million now it's up to 700 million this is a 40x long on the Bitcoin price and he's been right so far he entered at 104,800 and still going strong okay this is 6,400 Bitcoin on the line on this trade very very large per trade somebody knows something is coming or they are extremely confident in their TA one or the other but that is absolutely bonkers and this is we discovered or discussed on Monday and DCA was on hyperlquid and this is another chart here that shows how the Bitcoin spring is coiling that's actually the name of this video and I want to you people know I love threes this chart has threes in it okay third time the charm if you look at the historical threes on the left back in 2015 2016 2017 1 2 3 then we have 2023 2024 2025 1 2 3 we are just entering the third 180day price high and alltime low spike now why is this significant well this is coiling and third time as a charm if history repeats this is on the daily time frame and it shows that compression is building the third instance in this bull cycle a similar pattern of three comp compressions preceded the 2018 rally a lot of people think 2017 2018 is the same as what we have now and very soon we'll just see how tightly the spring has coiled if history repeats and if it does we're all going to be very happy uh because what happens after that third phase is the parabolic phase of the bull run this is what people think is going to come next this is why we have folks like this putting 6 and a half thousand Bitcoin on the line nearly 700 million that position could be worth a billion dollars soon crazy anyway this is the coiling spring let's see if history repeats and if that wasn't bullish enough the whole bunch of Djens have placed nearly 6,000 call options on a $300,000 Bitcoin price strike not deep into the future we're talking 37 days from now in June these expire 27th of June 2025 tons of action at $300,000 strike as well as $125,000 $130,000 $170,000 220,000 as well lots of action lots of bullishness and of course the put call ratio is also extremely bullish so people are absolutely thinking something big is coming it's not just that they also standard charter come out and say well looking at the amount of proxy buying the what we call Bitcoin treasuries from the 13F filings and the amount of stacking from proxies like strategy they support now a $500,000 Bitcoin target by end of 2028 remember that's 3 years from now we'll see what happens that's 5x which isn't bad i know a lot of people say "Oh I want a million dollars by 2028." But anyway we'll take 500,000 that's definitely a keeper if that is the case so watch this and more bullishness caner Fitzgerald just bought another 1.07 million shares of Micro Strategy for $326 at an average price of 304 bucks per share no for $326.53 million an average price of $300 per share uh in Q1 and their total holdings are now nearly 5 million shares worth $2 billion okay 49.98% of Caner's portfolio is Micro Strategy okay now when we understand Caner C which you've seen as a stock that's flying Howard Lutnik the former head of Caner his proximity to the current US president for the last 30 years ah you wonder do they know something that's coming like all the indicators we've seen in other areas somebody or many people know something big is coming these are all the bullish signals that I see and there's more there's more but we'll we'll talk about some of them later perhaps also C is shooting up 32% this is the Caner Equity Partners the stock is on fire and just a quick heads up um we haven't playing this one it did shoot up before to about 56 60 57 and then it retraced back down and it's just been on a complete rampage again over the last just today 32% rise as well as other proxies proxies are it treasuries are it DeFi Development Corporation 41% today this thing I nearly bought at 85 last week thinking it could be a bit of a pre-split run but then uh I thought NAF premium high but look what it's done absolutely insane this stuff is crazy mtplf is the OTC desk meta planet up 40% today as Japan I wrote a little Substack on that this morning and you can read it it's free um the as fiat crumbles as fiat goes to zero and people in a country are looking for a life raft laugh last minute what do they do they buy a metal planet again a Bitcoin proxy this is a canary in the mind as to what's going to happen and why I say risk happens fast because when fiat goes to zero it doesn't happen over gradually over months and months sometimes it can happen in the space of a week or so and people will be clamoring over Bitcoin proxies because sometimes people don't have the wherewithal the fiat onramp to go out and buy crypto so they're forced to buy these proxies people in the UK they can't buy IBIT so they buy Micro Strategy and they've done very well as a result of that so you should be grateful for your governments and your laws protecting you from spot bitcoin and black rockck ETF because you made much more on on micro strategy so governments sometimes rarely but they can be a blessing in disguise c 31% today asset a lesser about 18% but again these things are the top performers this list is about 300 names long the top four performers today are all proxies you cannot make that up the top one is a Salana proxy the rest are Bitcoin proxies again bonkers I know but that's just it now speaking of other stuff that's coming shout out to Rizzo the Bitcoin historian texas are having its final vote on the SPR today they are the eighth largest economy in the world and they are growing very fast soon they will be seventh then sixth then they'll surpass California as fifth watch this state carefully ladies and gentlemen shout out to anybody here who is in Texas but I think the governor is very how do I say pro-reublican we've seen other governors say no in different states who are kind of pro the other side not political but Bitcoin is political assets are political money is political you can't not keep an eye on what's happening in politics and be an investor at the same time it's very important do you think the people that run billions of dollars in funds they don't have an eye on what's going on in politics well we'll see anyway fingers crossed for Texas today i will tweet it out later when we get the result now let's look at asset flows we normally do this up front but there's so much other good stuff happening we had to get to the bullish signals first uh here we look at where are we try to read this carefully bitcoin pulled in 516 million um again more good stuff there was some hawkish signals from the Fed but nobody really cares short Bitcoin saw a little bit of money coming in to hedge and here ETH was a standup performer pulling in $25 million of inflows last week and uh 575 year to date so basically they did over a third of the whole year in just one week and this is renewed optimism following the so-called PECRA upgrade but that inflow has slowed down immediately it was like a flash in the pan last week i don't see it continuing at this rate this week i could be wrong we'll see and then everything else was kind of small marginal suie 9.3 million uh short Bitcoin xrp 4.9 no idea why craziness but anyway I think there was talk of the head of XRP or Ripple going to DC but to meet with Lumus but that was cancelled last minute she said "No thanks not going to happen not going to reschedule." So phew dodged a bullet there and Cypress shout out to the people in Cypress for the win they your Kraken wanted to open up and get a EU license but they struggled to get it in any other country in Europe but Cypress said yes cypress is very crypto friendly very business friendly very tax friendly kind of like Texas the weather is probably kind of similar too hot hot hot in Cypress so shout out to Kraken winning the EU license uh for access to the whole of Europe from Cypress now remember it's still Bitcoin season that means Bitcoin is outperforming most cryptos it's at 16 and we expect this to continue and narrative time narrative time is back nft applications won the month ethereum number two after Ethereum having a terrible two years they came back with the vengeance over the last month uh which is great for them privacy coins number three and staking services number four AI number five they are the key narratives for the week um now speaking of Krypto and Saul Saul always had a kind of a little Achilles heel where Suie had faster finality over Saul well that's all about to change because Saul is soon to be 100x faster through the Anza Salana upgrade uh they call it Alpenlow by the way if anybody wants me to make a detailed video on this and a quick sol update tomorrow let me know i can do that uh just drop a comment below if you're interested in that i know it's people are mostly interested in Bitcoin but a lot of people are interested in this and it has been beaten down compared to where Bitcoin is and it's frustrating people they're beginning to think now oh should I flip my soul into Bitcoin i would say when well logic says when one is like 50% from alltime highs and the other one's at alltime highs I wouldn't normally do that anyway moving on not financial advice stock fear and greed is at 70 stock fear and greed and crypto fear and greed have almost been in lock step for the last couple of weeks absolutely never seen that before in my life crazy and stocks over the last 30 days what a rebound tesla up over 42% on the last 30 days nvidia 28% Microsoft 22% Meta 25% Amazon 15% uh even banks like JP Morgan up 15% the pharmas are down they don't like this RFK guy in town didn't mean for that to rhyme by the way anyway Berkshire down too i guess holding on to all that cash is burning a hole in the pocket and that's the market but there's some other interesting news retail is going whole hog not just the signs we see for crypto but also retail and I've been saying for a long time for the first time ever in the history of the world retail investors are far smarter than the so-called Wall Street analysis anal an analysts or the people you see on CNBS it's crazy retail bought a record 4.1 billion of US stocks during the first 3 hours and most of that was Tesla there you go fancy that retail understand Tesla better than the Wall Street analysts who are literally trying to what's the meme with the guys trying to put like a triangular block inside a circular hole or something that's what we're dealing with here ladies and gentlemen it's beautiful to see that retail is getting ahead woohoo and we now have information asymmetry in fact we got better information because of people like us on the internet sharing information and running circles around Wall Street again this is a retail record $41 billion into stocks and by the way they only pick the best stocks they don't put $1.1 billion or $4.1 billion into Eli Liy and Johnson and Johnson and stuff like that no no no or JP Morgan no no no they like disruption so proud of you all and despite EDS and the Model Y line changeover Tesla dominates the USA now I lived through Q1 2025 and it was a very dark time where people would spit on me spit on the car you know give me the finger that type of stuff that's all gone now because they're not being paid anymore but it was a very dark time and I kept my head high because I knew it would pass and it didn't even affect uh car sales and this is also a reflection of how bad the economy is as well it is brutal out there takes a lot for people to be able to afford a new car but basically Tesla 51,000 new registrations a ton of Model 3s as well because Model Y was down now Model Y is back the best car in the world just got a whole lot better more than 6x Chevrolet uh Ford drops a third um I don't know 10 15 times what Ford does etc they're making growth while everybody else is shrinking and they're about to accelerate into high gear as well because robo taxis coming in June and even if you're not buying a robo taxi yet or riding one in Austin the halo effect of that will be quite pronounced and that will drive a lot of sales because when the penny drops within human minds that they realize okay I've got a choice i could buy a flip phone from Motorola shout out to Jeff Lutz he was one of the guys behind the Razer or an Apple iPhone smartphone or a car that burns gas and doesn't drive itself or a car that is costs nothing to run and drives itself the choice will be very very clear mark my words things are about to kick off in a very big way promise you that and shout out to our friends in Australia woohoo i love our Australians you're so kind uh I got I got a note from a good Australian friend who works with Ral Pal well I won't talk about that here but he's a little bit concerned about what's going on in Australia but the good news is the Australians are getting FSD they have completed some FSD tests on roads and I know people the first thing they say is "Oh well FSD could be dangerous because you know um the car could drive into a kangaroo." No FSE is coming to save the kangaroos because my car stops for a little bunny rabbit in the middle of the night when I can't even see anything so these things are just incredible and will save lots of animals probably have saved countless dogs cats cows giraffes kangaroos etc all over the world so fantastic news and retail this is Robin Hood this is the platform where I personally very much enjoy trading uh they now have more than $221 billion worth of assets up from 63 billion in 2020 this thing has just gone bombastic when retail investors want to go and invest Robin Hood is the way they're doing it so shout out to Robin Hood and shout out to you retail investors you're making it happen and even shout out to what I've seen as well happen over the past couple of years you know they used to be just crypto only retail investors they never touched stocks now I'm so happy to see that they're touching both because alpha is in both play all sides don't lock yourself into one category very very important and Jensen Wong talks he's the head of Nvidia he was on the air and he spoke about a very shocking admission and he said uh what Elon Musk and XAI and Tesla have done is unbelievable they couldn't believe they stood up 100,000 Nvidia GPUs in such a short window of time and normally takes companies years and years to do that it was a superhuman achievement that has never been done before and his jaw dropped on the floor again but the most important thing though he said was this is by far the fastest superco computer on earth of course it's 100,000 of his chips and he's going to pump his own chips which is fair enough thank goodness my shirt matches the color here in the slide it's good um but again they are now building one that is 10 times larger than this so nobody can catch the compute that Musk Industries has and I want you to understand how important that is for the future of AI because the pace at which AI is developing is doubling every 7 months maybe even faster okay and if you don't have this you're going to be behind okay you're not going to catch up with some Deep Seek and a few machines out of China no you need all of this and more and it's coming the world is going to be very different in a very short window of time and sadly for our friends in Germany um the meme dour uh this I thought this is coin sauce very funny uh Germany sold 50,000 Bitcoin at $58,000 each now Bitcoin price is 107,200 bucks they left a lot of money on the table which they could have used to build schools and hospitals and other good stuff for the nation but they said no no and I know it was a a district within Germany not the federal people but anyway hope you enjoyed the show all these videos turned into podcasts and Substacks and I write a lot of Substacks myself and I feel very creative and you get them all for free it's fun to watch and it cost you like 8 cents a day it's not even 10 cents and thank you all for coming don't forget to like and subscribe see you all tomorrow let me know in the comment below if you want me to touch on the game changer in Salana because it is quite profound all right thank you as well to TND Tesla show K8 and everybody there and super soul man is back and dancing shoes i like that I always say keep your tap dancing shoes on because everything changes changes fast and the world will change ever faster as we go forward thanks all have a good night