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Understanding Normal Distribution and Z-Scores

May 5, 2025

Lecture Notes on Normal Distribution

Introduction

  • Understanding the normal distribution is crucial for many statistical analyses.
  • Key characteristics:
    • Mean = Median = Mode
    • Symmetric distribution
    • Asymptotic: continues indefinitely without reaching zero

Importance of Normal Distribution

  • Models many real-world phenomena effectively.
  • Beyond three standard deviations from the mean, the curve captures nearly all data (99.7%).
  • Normal distribution is frequently used due to its properties.

Properties of Normal Distributions

  • Different distributions have different means and standard deviations.
  • The mean (population mean) represents the central average.
  • Standard deviation indicates the spread or variability in data.
    • 1 standard deviation (±σ) covers approximately 68% of data.
    • 2 standard deviations (±2σ) cover about 95%.
    • 3 standard deviations (±3σ) cover about 99.7%.

Example Problem: Gummy Bears Consumption

  • Given:
    • Population consumes an average of 100 pounds of gummy bears per day.
    • Standard deviation is 10 pounds.
  • Question: What's the probability someone eats more than 140 pounds?

Solution Steps

  1. Identify Mean and Standard Deviation:
    • Mean (µ) = 100 pounds
    • Standard Deviation (σ) = 10 pounds
  2. Calculate Z-Score:
    • Formula: [ z = \frac{(X - \mu)}{\sigma} ]
    • For 140 pounds: [ z = \frac{(140 - 100)}{10} = 4 ]
    • Z-score of 4 indicates 4 standard deviations above the mean.
  3. Interpret the Z-Score:
    • Use z-score to find the corresponding probability from a z-table.
    • For high z-scores (e.g., z = 4), probabilities are very low (e.g., less than 0.001).

Z-Scores

  • A z-score represents how many standard deviations a data point is from the mean.
  • Positive z-score: above the mean
  • Negative z-score: below the mean
  • Useful for standardizing different normal distributions to utilize a common z-table.

Conclusion

  • Normal distribution and z-scores are fundamental for statistical analysis.
  • They help make informed decisions about probabilities and data trends.