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Understanding Sampling and Population Dynamics
Sep 21, 2024
Sample and Population Dilemma
Overview
Discusses the relationship between samples and populations in statistics.
Focus on three properties: height, age, and IQ of a population of 50,000 people.
Population Distribution
Height Distribution
:
Two groups identified:
Group 1: Average height ~178 cm
Group 2: Average height ~160 cm
Box Plot
: Shows population distribution versus sample distribution.
Sampling Process
Sample Size Impact:
Default sample size is 6.
As sample size changes, representation of the population varies.
Example of 1 sample being a good approximation of the population despite small size.
Percentiles
:
Indicates how many values are smaller than a given value.
Comparison of population and sample percentiles.
Variation
:
Smaller sample sizes often lead to less variability than the entire population.
Effects of Sample Size
Small Sample Sizes
(e.g., size = 3):
Higher variability and potential for extreme results.
Example: Sample shifted to the left.
Larger Sample Sizes
(e.g., size = 30):
Better representation of the population.
Points closer to theoretical lines and boxplots align closely with population boxplots.
Importance of Random Sampling
Samples should be completely random for better representation of the population.
Regardless of distribution type (e.g., uniform or normal), larger sample sizes improve approximation.
Case Studies
Age Distribution
:
Uniform distribution, leading to straight line in percentiles.
Samples generally close to population.
IQ Distribution
:
Normal distribution with extremes available.
Boxplot rule: Approximately 99.2% of points within range, 0.8% as outliers based on large population.
Summary
Smaller sample sizes yield increased uncertainty and less representative results.
Experimenting with sample sizes can lead to better understanding of population representation.
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Full transcript