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Understanding Sampling and Population Dynamics

Sep 21, 2024

Sample and Population Dilemma

Overview

  • Discusses the relationship between samples and populations in statistics.
  • Focus on three properties: height, age, and IQ of a population of 50,000 people.

Population Distribution

  • Height Distribution:
    • Two groups identified:
      • Group 1: Average height ~178 cm
      • Group 2: Average height ~160 cm
  • Box Plot: Shows population distribution versus sample distribution.

Sampling Process

  • Sample Size Impact:
    • Default sample size is 6.
    • As sample size changes, representation of the population varies.
    • Example of 1 sample being a good approximation of the population despite small size.
  • Percentiles:
    • Indicates how many values are smaller than a given value.
    • Comparison of population and sample percentiles.
  • Variation:
    • Smaller sample sizes often lead to less variability than the entire population.

Effects of Sample Size

  • Small Sample Sizes (e.g., size = 3):
    • Higher variability and potential for extreme results.
    • Example: Sample shifted to the left.
  • Larger Sample Sizes (e.g., size = 30):
    • Better representation of the population.
    • Points closer to theoretical lines and boxplots align closely with population boxplots.

Importance of Random Sampling

  • Samples should be completely random for better representation of the population.
  • Regardless of distribution type (e.g., uniform or normal), larger sample sizes improve approximation.

Case Studies

  • Age Distribution:
    • Uniform distribution, leading to straight line in percentiles.
    • Samples generally close to population.
  • IQ Distribution:
    • Normal distribution with extremes available.
    • Boxplot rule: Approximately 99.2% of points within range, 0.8% as outliers based on large population.

Summary

  • Smaller sample sizes yield increased uncertainty and less representative results.
  • Experimenting with sample sizes can lead to better understanding of population representation.