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Understanding Smart Money in Trading

Oct 13, 2024

ICT Mentorship Lecture 3 Notes

Introduction

  • Third teaching in an eight-part series for ICT mentorship.
  • Focus: Understanding the mindset for approaching the marketplace.
  • Reverse order thinking compared to retail perspectives.
  • Advantage for new traders as they don’t have to unlearn bad habits.

Understanding the Marketplace Mindset

  • Smart Money vs Uninformed Money
    • Smart money: Informed, strategic, and aware of the market's manipulations.
    • Uninformed money: Relies on indicators, unaware of smart money dynamics.
    • Key to trading is understanding these differing perspectives.
  • Indicators
    • Indicators are often misleading; new traders should avoid them.
    • They are used to gauge uninformed trader sentiment.

Smart Money Perspective

  • Liquidity and Price Control
    • Smart money acts as liquidity providers.
    • Smart money uses uninformed money's actions and views as liquidity.
    • Price is controlled by smart money, similar to how a store owner controls product pricing.
    • Central banks have control over currency pricing.

Market Efficiency Paradigm

  • Two Perspectives
    • Smart money and uninformed money create market efficiency.
    • Smart money’s edge: Predicting uninformed money behavior and controlling price.
  • Market Dynamics
    • Price manipulation through chart patterns, indicators, and news reactions.
    • Focus on retracement, expansion, reversal, and consolidation in price delivery.

Developing the Right Mindset and Skills

  • Starting Fresh
    • New traders should start with a clean slate, forgetting past trading habits.
    • Daily price action logs and keeping detailed charts are crucial.

Practical Steps for Chart Analysis

  • Daily, Four-hour, Hourly, and 15-minute Charts
    • Daily chart: 9-12 months view.
    • Four-hour chart: 3 months view.
    • Hourly chart: 3 weeks view.
    • 15-minute chart: 3-4 days view.
  • Chart Notations
    • Note quick price movements, recent highs and lows, clean highs/lows, and daily/weekly highs/lows.
    • Avoid forecasting prices prematurely.

Chart Examples and Techniques

  • Efficient Chart Analysis
    • Keep separate charts for analysis and trading.
    • Use specific currency pairs not used in the mentorship to gain unique insights.

Conclusion

  • Importance of daily documentation and understanding market structures.
  • Avoidance of rigid beliefs; remain flexible in analyzing and reacting to market conditions.
  • Focus on developing a probability-based approach rather than certainty in trading.