📊

Understanding Long-term vs Short-term Orientation

Aug 12, 2024

Long-term vs. Short-term Orientation

Introduction

  • Introduced by the speaker in 1991 as a fifth dimension of difference between national societies.
  • Originated from a research project by Professor Michael Bond from Hong Kong using a questionnaire by Chinese scholars.
  • Initially had data for 23 countries. Expanded to 93 countries in 2010 through Dr. Michael Minkov's work using the World Value Survey.

Definitions

Long-term Orientation (LTO)

  • Fostering pragmatic virtues oriented to future rewards.
  • Key traits: perseverance, thrift, saving, adapting to changing circumstances.

Short-term Orientation (STO)

  • Fostering virtues related to the past and present.
  • Key traits: national pride, respect for tradition, preservation of faith, fulfilling social obligations.

Key Characteristics

Long-term Orientation

  • Good and evil seen as relative and changeable.
  • Norms depend on the situation.
  • Superior person adapts to circumstances.
  • Humility in self-perception.
  • Willingness to learn from other countries.
  • Traditions can change.
  • Integration of opposing truths.
  • Common sense and middle way are crucial.

Short-term Orientation

  • Good and evil seen as absolute and unchanging.
  • Fixed norms regardless of circumstances.
  • Superior person is consistent.
  • Seeks positive self-information.
  • Pride in one's own country.
  • Traditions are sacred.
  • Opposing truths seen as contradictions.
  • Fundamentalism and extreme views are more common.

Measurement

  • Measured using the Long-Term Orientation Index (LTO) on a scale from 0 (short-term) to 100 (long-term).
  • Example countries: East Asia (Japan, China), Germany, Russia, Netherlands, France, Italy, Sweden (high LTO); Britain, India, Israel, USA, Mexico, Australia, Nigeria, Egypt (low LTO).

Correlations and Societal Factors

Education

  • Long-term: Higher performance in math, lower self-assessment.
  • Short-term: Lower performance in math, higher self-assessment.

Economic Behavior

  • Long-term: Larger savings, funds for investment, focus on market share and long-term profits.
  • Short-term: Smaller savings, focus on quarterly results and bottom line, preference for shares and mutual funds.
  • Poor countries: Faster economic growth with long-term orientation, slower with short-term orientation.
  • Wealthy countries: No significant difference in growth.

Cultural Stability

  • Values are transferred from parents to children and change rarely over time.
  • Consistent country differences across generations.
  • Technological changes affect habits and practices differently based on pre-established values.

Conclusion

  • Long-term orientation is crucial for the economic development of poor countries.
  • Despite technological advances, fundamental cultural values remain stable and influence how technology is utilized.