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Lecture on Stop Losses

Jul 5, 2024

Lecture on Stop Losses

Overview

  • Discussion on stop losses in trading
  • Use a recent trade as an example
  • Outline where to place stop losses in general

Basics of Stop Losses

  • Fundamental principle: Stop loss placement should account for liquidity sweeps and break of structure
  • Liquidity Sweep: A scenario where price takes out highs/lows to gather liquidity before reversing
  • Break of Structure: Indicates a change in market direction

General Placement of Stop Losses

  • Above Liquidity Sweep: Common practice to place stop loss above the liquidity sweep
    • If price comes back above the high, liquidity sweep is invalidated
    • Ensures trade bias (direction) was incorrect if stop loss is hit
  • Covering Spread: Place stop loss slightly above highs to account for spread differences

Exceptions

  • High Liquidity Sweeps: If a liquidity sweep is high, placing stop loss far above can ruin risk/reward ratio
    • Look for other confluences like fair value gaps or order blocks
    • Risk is higher as price may still move within the bias but hit stop loss

Real-Time Trade Analysis

  • Example trade setup exploration
    • Stop loss reviewed based on recent trade where break of structure and liquidity sweeps observed
    • Importance of covering spread explained
    • Mentioned risk tolerance and account management influencing stop placement

Risk Management and Adjustments

  • Adjusting lot sizes based on market conditions
    • High impact news or bank holiday can reduce lot size to manage risk
    • Example: Reducing lot size to half due to high impact news and upcoming bank holiday
  • Understanding risk tolerance and stop loss placement
    • Stop loss should mark the invalidation point of trade bias

Additional Considerations

  • Invalidation Point: Key concept where if hit, the initial trade idea is considered wrong
  • Daily Bias vs. Trade Bias: Sometimes overall market moves correctly but individual trades still fail
  • Using set lot sizes for different situations
    • Discussing in future lectures on calculating lot sizes and risk

Reminder for Upcoming Events

  • Don't trade during bank holidays or US bank holidays which can affect market liquidity
  • Upcoming topics: Set lot sizes, calculating risk, and better understanding low-level trading aspects

Conclusion

  • Importance of finding invalidation point and understanding risk tolerance
  • Emphasis on learning from trades that hit stop loss
  • Reminder to avoid trading during low liquidity periods