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Low-Risk Trade Setup Techniques

Oct 13, 2024

ICT Mentorship Module 2, Month 2 Lecture

Topic: Framing Low-Risk Trade Setups

Key Concepts:

  • Importance of Higher Time Frames:

    • High odds probability trades rely on higher time frame charts (daily, weekly, monthly).
    • Institutions analyze markets on these time frames to determine order flow, support, and resistance.
    • Higher time frames provide directional bias and align with institutional order flow.
    • Suitable for those unable to day trade due to time constraints.
  • Reducing Risk:

    • Higher time frame insights can be refined to lower time frames for smaller stop loss placement and lower risk.
    • Transposing levels from higher to lower time frames reduces pip exposure for stops.
    • Identifying key levels where institutions have placed trades before (order blocks).

Practical Application:

  • Aussie Dollar Daily Chart Example:

    • Setup: Utilize a daily chart to identify important levels, such as the 7512 bullish order block.
    • Observations: Price movement below old lows into these levels indicates potential support.
  • Refinement to Lower Time Frames:

    • Hourly Chart: Identify buy stops and set objectives beyond simple scalps for larger pip gains.
    • 15-Minute Chart:
      • Lower entry point at 7520 with a stop loss at 7507, reducing risk to 17 pips.
      • Close proximity to the significant 7512 level.
    • 5-Minute Chart:
      • Further refinement with an entry at 7515 and stop loss at 7507, reducing risk to less than 10 pips.
      • Achieve a 3R reward-to-risk ratio with an 8-pip stop loss.

Conclusion:

  • Risk Management and Reward:
    • By refining trades on smaller time frames, achieve a high reward-to-risk ratio (e.g., $3 reward for every $1 risked).
    • Understanding price action and why it responds at certain levels is crucial for using tight stop losses effectively.
  • Strategic Summary:
    • Use larger time frames for directional bias and refine them on smaller time frames to minimize risk.
    • Proper understanding of price action allows for efficient trading with minimal risk exposure.