Lecture Notes: Simplifying Offer Price Calculations in Real Estate
Introduction
- Purpose: Introduce a simple process for calculating offer price in real estate.
- Outcome: Make accurate, data-driven offers in five minutes.
- Benefits: Higher assignment fees and closing on more deals.
- Not Covered: Traditional formulas like ARV times 0.7 minus costs.
Example Case
- Location: South side of Chicago, South Vernon Ave and East 78th Street.
- Property Type: Frame single-family home, two stories, full gut renovation.
- Key Features: Unfinished basement, two-car garage.
Step-by-step Process
1. Identify Property Pocket
- Focus on specific neighborhood pockets.
- Avoid crossing major roads, highways, rivers, etc.
- Aim for accuracy by staying within the neighborhood.
2. Set Filters on Real Estate Platforms
- Platform: Redfin.
- Filter: Sold properties, single-family homes.
- Time Frame: Start from one week to a year for a broad view.
- Sorting: Price from low to high.
3. Analyze Comparable Properties
- Look for properties in similar condition (full gut needed).
- Distinction between frame vs. brick homes (brick more valuable).
- Identify investor-purchased properties through descriptions.
4. Evaluate Property Details
- Factors: Number of bedrooms, bathrooms, square footage.
- Investor Indicators: Cash offers, tenant details, "as-is" sales.
Example Analysis
- Property 1: 2 bed/1 bath, 900 sq ft, sold for $51,000.
- Property 2: 4 bed/2 bath, 1800 sq ft, partially finished, sold for $65,000.
- Property 3: Brick full gut, sold for $75,000.
Determine Offer Price
- Consider lowest comparable sale prices.
- Aim for an offer around $45,000 to $50,000.
- Adjust for property size and condition.
Additional Analysis
- High to Low Sorting: Check for after-repair value (ARV) examples.
- Price History: Investigate past purchase prices by investors.
- Current Market: Check for properties currently for sale or under contract.
Conclusion
- Use neighborhood-specific data to determine offer price.
- Look at both sold and current listings for comprehensive analysis.
- Strategy provides a way to calculate offers quickly and effectively.
Next Steps
- Learn strategy for finding cash buyers through additional resources.
- Watch recommended video for more insights on securing cash buyers.
Note: Always cross-check data from multiple real estate platforms to ensure accuracy.