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Chart Breakout Setup

Jul 5, 2024

Part 1: Setting Up the Charts Breakout Setup

Introduction

  • Setting up the charts breakout setup
  • Indicators needed, time frames to look at
  • Importance of avoiding biotech stocks

Avoiding Biotech Stocks

  • Biotech stocks gap down frequently, making them unreliable for trading
  • They are usually small caps and have unpredictable behavior
  • Example: Biotech stocks often show gaps and inconsistencies
  • Conclusion: Do not trade biotech stocks

Indicators Needed

  • Main indicators for daily chart: 10, 20, 50, 200 Simple Moving Average (SMA)
  • Volume indicator
  • Hourly chart additional indicators: 9, 20, 65 Exponential Moving Average (EMA)
  • Focus on daily chart for setups

Time Frames and Charts

  • Primary time frame: Daily chart
  • Avoid using weekly, monthly, hourly, 5-minute, and 1-minute charts for setups
  • Daily chart provides the best setups
  • Example for setup analysis: Carvana

Using Moving Averages

  • Stocks above the 200 SMA are considered strong
  • Stocks below the 200 SMA are considered weak
  • 200 SMA helps determine the overall trend
  • Importance of volume in identifying setups

Example Setups

  • Carvana example: Holds the 200 SMA, indicating strength
  • Importance of higher lows and decreasing volume during consolidation
  • Avoid thin stocks with low volume and gaps in the one-minute chart

Key Steps for Identifying a Good Setup

  • Ensure the stock has enough volume
  • Decent price (not too low)
  • Average Daily Range (ADR) should be above 5%
  • Identifying consolidation patterns: Higher lows and narrowing price range
  • Importance of a tight price range and declining volume during consolidation

Example Analysis

  • Example stock: Nvidia
  • Big move up, sideways consolidation, followed by a breakout
  • Higher lows observed during consolidation
  • Volume pattern: Higher volume on breakout day

Practical Examples of Setups

  • Nvidia: Strong move followed by consolidation and breakout
  • Zoom: Consolidation above moving averages and breakout
  • Additional examples: Tesla, Carvana, etc.

Importance of Context in Setups

  • Strong stocks in leading sectors are preferable
  • Leading sectors and market conditions matter
  • Importance of understanding sector rotation

Conclusion and Next Steps

  • Checklist for identifying setups:
    • Stock has enough volume
    • Big move up followed by sideways consolidation
    • Pullback to moving averages (SMA)
    • Higher lows during consolidation
    • Tight price range with declining volume
  • Next videos will cover the following topics:
    • How to trade these setups
    • Using options for trades
    • Finding setups with scanners
    • Understanding market conditions and sector rotations