Capital Market Line and Market Portfolio

Jul 1, 2024

Lecture Summary on Capital Market Line and Market Portfolio

Key Concepts

Risk-Free Rate and Minimum Variance Frontier

  • Risk-Free Rate: Considered as 5%
  • Minimum Variance Frontier: Plot capital market line tangent to it
  • Market Portfolio: Point of tangency with 15% expected return and 20% standard deviation

Market Price of Risk

  • Formula: (Expected Return on Market - Risk-Free Rate) / Standard Deviation of Market
  • Calculation: (0.15 - 0.05) / 0.2 = 0.5
  • Interpretation: For each unit of risk, expected return increases by 0.5 units (probabilistically, not deterministically)

Portfolio Weightings

Basics

  1. 100% in Risk-Free Asset
    • Expected Return: 5%
    • Std. Deviation: 0%
  2. 100% in Market Portfolio
    • Expected Return: 15%
    • Std. Deviation: 20%

Mixed Weightings

  • Intermediate calculations using given market price of risk
  • Example: 50/50 mix would have 10% expected return and 10% standard deviation
  • Formula use: Verify using exact weightings like 75/25

Leverage and Borrowing

Leveraging with Different Weights

  • 25% Leverage: Borrowing at risk-free rate
    • Expected Return: 17.5%
    • Std. Deviation: 25%
  • 50% Leverage: Borrowing at risk-free rate
    • Expected Return: 20%
    • Std. Deviation: 30%
  • 100% Leverage: Borrowing at risk-free rate
    • Expected Return: 25%
    • Std. Deviation: 40%

Lending and Borrowing at Different Rates

Borrowing at Higher Rate (e.g., 7%)

  • Slope of Capital Market Line gets flatter
  • Expected Return Calculation: (Expected Return - Borrowing Rate) / Market Std. Deviation
  • Example: Borrow 75%
    • Expected Return: 21%
    • Std. Deviation: 35%
  • Comparison: Same risk but lower returns due to higher cost of borrowing

Recap

  • Using Two Assets: Simplified investment strategy using market portfolio and risk-free rate
  • Adjustments: Based on individual risk tolerance through leverage and borrowing
  • Cost of Borrowing: Higher borrowing rates reduce returns without affecting market volatility