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Finance and Current Events
Jul 17, 2024
Lecture Notes on Finance and Current Events
MIT OpenCourseWare Introduction
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Auction Example and Information Disclosure
Auctioned Items
: Two packages, one book (sold for $60) and an iPod (sold for $45).
Smaller package sold for less, possibly due to size.
Lesson
: Importance of information in determining value.
Key Takeaways from the Auction Example
Information Asymmetry
: Different knowledge levels can influence bidding outcomes.
Private Information
: Multiple packages helped reduce information spillover.
Market Behavior
: Even with limited information, bids were close to retail values.
Current Events in Finance: Government Intervention
Federal Takeover
: U.S. government seized control of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac.
Historical Context
: Similar actions not seen since the Great Depression.
Entities' Role
: Supported housing, student loans, auto loans by purchasing mortgages from banks.
Market Impact
: Defaults could have severe repercussions throughout financial systems.
Understanding Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac
Function
: Bought mortgages to enable banks to lend more.
Crisis Context
: Decline in housing market affected their stability.
Government Role
: Ensuring financial stability by backing these entities.
Global Impact
: Relationships with international investors (India, China) necessitate honoring these obligations.
Analogy with Auction Example
Uncertainty Value
: Difficulty in valuing assets without clear information.
Market Dislocation
: Similar to market uncertainty for Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac assets.
Government Intervention
: Aimed at preventing larger financial fallout.
Market Reactions and Potential Risks
Market Response
: Short-term success in calming markets post-intervention.
Long-term Concerns
: Potential inflation if too much money is printed without backing.
Taxpayer Burden
: Future generations may bear financial consequences of these bailouts.
Valuing and Understanding Assets
Types of Assets
: Physical and intangible assets like patents and trade secrets.
Asset Definition
: A sequence of future cash flows at a specific point in time.
Discount Factors
: Adjusting future cash flows to present value using exchange rates or discount rates.
Value Operator (V)
: Function that takes a sequence of cash flows and provides their value.
Key Concepts
Time and Value
: Cash flows at different times are like different currencies, needing conversion.
Net Present Value (NPV)
: Sum of future cash flows discounted to present value.
Impatience and Discounting
: Preference for immediate consumption leads to lower present value of future cash.
Practical Application: Calculating NPV
Example Calculation
: Using discount rates to determine net present value of an investment project.
Management Decisions
: Use NPV to make informed investment decisions.
Introducing the Opportunity Cost of Capital
Interest Rate (R)
: Represents the opportunity cost of investing capital now vs. future.
Exchange Rates
: Translate future dollar amounts into present value.
Unified View
: Using interest rates simplifies conversion between cash amounts at different times.
Going Forward
Next Lecture
: Special cash flows like annuities and perpetuities.
Real-World Application
: E.g., calculating mortgage payments.
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