Finance and Current Events

Jul 17, 2024

Lecture Notes on Finance and Current Events

MIT OpenCourseWare Introduction

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Auction Example and Information Disclosure

  • Auctioned Items: Two packages, one book (sold for $60) and an iPod (sold for $45).
    • Smaller package sold for less, possibly due to size.
  • Lesson: Importance of information in determining value.

Key Takeaways from the Auction Example

  • Information Asymmetry: Different knowledge levels can influence bidding outcomes.
  • Private Information: Multiple packages helped reduce information spillover.
  • Market Behavior: Even with limited information, bids were close to retail values.

Current Events in Finance: Government Intervention

  • Federal Takeover: U.S. government seized control of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac.
  • Historical Context: Similar actions not seen since the Great Depression.
  • Entities' Role: Supported housing, student loans, auto loans by purchasing mortgages from banks.
  • Market Impact: Defaults could have severe repercussions throughout financial systems.

Understanding Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac

  • Function: Bought mortgages to enable banks to lend more.
  • Crisis Context: Decline in housing market affected their stability.
  • Government Role: Ensuring financial stability by backing these entities.
  • Global Impact: Relationships with international investors (India, China) necessitate honoring these obligations.

Analogy with Auction Example

  • Uncertainty Value: Difficulty in valuing assets without clear information.
  • Market Dislocation: Similar to market uncertainty for Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac assets.
  • Government Intervention: Aimed at preventing larger financial fallout.

Market Reactions and Potential Risks

  • Market Response: Short-term success in calming markets post-intervention.
  • Long-term Concerns: Potential inflation if too much money is printed without backing.
  • Taxpayer Burden: Future generations may bear financial consequences of these bailouts.

Valuing and Understanding Assets

  • Types of Assets: Physical and intangible assets like patents and trade secrets.
  • Asset Definition: A sequence of future cash flows at a specific point in time.
  • Discount Factors: Adjusting future cash flows to present value using exchange rates or discount rates.
  • Value Operator (V): Function that takes a sequence of cash flows and provides their value.

Key Concepts

  • Time and Value: Cash flows at different times are like different currencies, needing conversion.
  • Net Present Value (NPV): Sum of future cash flows discounted to present value.
  • Impatience and Discounting: Preference for immediate consumption leads to lower present value of future cash.

Practical Application: Calculating NPV

  • Example Calculation: Using discount rates to determine net present value of an investment project.
  • Management Decisions: Use NPV to make informed investment decisions.

Introducing the Opportunity Cost of Capital

  • Interest Rate (R): Represents the opportunity cost of investing capital now vs. future.
  • Exchange Rates: Translate future dollar amounts into present value.
  • Unified View: Using interest rates simplifies conversion between cash amounts at different times.

Going Forward

  • Next Lecture: Special cash flows like annuities and perpetuities.
  • Real-World Application: E.g., calculating mortgage payments.