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Risk Management and Zone Refinement

Jun 12, 2025

Overview

The transcript explains a practical risk management technique for trading, focusing on refining entry zones across multiple timeframes to improve risk-to-reward ratios. The speaker details both the method and common pitfalls, offering actionable guidance for traders seeking more precise and profitable setups.

Importance of Risk Management

  • Risk management is often overlooked but crucial for trading profitability.
  • Applying a simple tweak to strategy can increase profits and reduce risk.

Identifying Supply and Demand Zones

  • Demand zones mark where strong upward moves begin; supply zones mark where strong downward moves begin.
  • Use the rectangle tool to mark from the lower wick to the higher wick of the relevant candle.
  • Price often returns to these zones, offering lucrative entry points.

The Limitation of Basic Entries

  • Entering at the first touch of a supply or demand zone on a higher timeframe often results in a suboptimal risk-to-reward ratio (e.g., 2.14).
  • Traditional strategy can be profitable, but there is room for improvement.

Introducing Zone Refinement

  • Zone refinement involves identifying supply and demand zones on a higher timeframe, then narrowing them on a lower timeframe (e.g., 4H to 1H).
  • Refined zones offer better entries, smaller stop losses, and higher potential profits.
  • Risk-to-reward ratios can increase significantly (examples: from 5.15 to 11.12, or from 5.23 to 7.6).

Live Trade Example

  • Marked a demand zone on the 4H; initially set entry and stop loss with a 5.23 risk-to-reward.
  • After refining the zone on the 1H, improved the risk-to-reward to 7.6.
  • Entered at the refined zone, resulting in stronger profits while risking less.

Warning Against Over-Refinement

  • Refining entry zones beyond two timeframes down can lead to missed opportunities.
  • Over-refinement example: 4H → 1H → 5min may result in price never reaching the ultra-refined zone.

Two Steps Down Rule

  • Only refine two timeframes lower from your starting point to prevent over-refinement.
  • Examples: Daily → 4H → 1H, 4H → 1H → 30min, 30min → 15min → 5min.

Recommendations / Advice

  • Apply zone refinement to improve trading entries and risk-reward ratios.
  • Avoid over-refining zones; stick to the two steps down rule for consistency.

Action Items

  • TBD – All Traders: Test the zone refinement technique in personal trading and share results with the speaker via Instagram.
  • TBD – Speaker: Increase posting frequency in response to audience feedback.