Overview
This lecture explains how to use the 1-PropZTest on a calculator for hypothesis testing and interpret the results to make a statistical decision.
Setting Up the 1-PropZTest
- Ensure the conditions of a random sample, large sample, and large population are met before proceeding.
- Select 1-PropZTest on your calculator (Stat > Test > Option 5).
- Input required values: Pโ (hypothesized population proportion), X (number of successes in the sample), N (sample size), and the alternative hypothesis' inequality.
- In the example: Pโ = 0.90, X = 160 (number of successes), N = 185 (sample size), and use "โ " if the alternative hypothesis is "not equal."
Interpreting Calculator Output
- The calculator gives a Z test statistic (e.g., 1.59) and a P-value (e.g., 0.11).
- Compare the P-value to the significance level (here, ฮฑ = 0.10) to make a decision.
Making the Statistical Decision
- If P-value > significance level (e.g., 0.11 > 0.10), fail to reject the null hypothesis.
- Failing to reject the null means there is not enough evidence to support the alternative hypothesis.
- A larger P-value means the sample result is not surprising and is close to what is expected under the null hypothesis.
Drawing the Conclusion
- When failing to reject the null, conclude there is not enough evidence to show a difference in proportions.
- Restate the context: There is not enough evidence to say the proportion of Chinese restaurants failing after one year is different from 90%.
Key Terms & Definitions
- 1-PropZTest โ A statistical test for one sample proportion using the Z statistic.
- Pโ โ Hypothesized population proportion under the null hypothesis.
- X โ Number of observed successes in the sample.
- N โ Total sample size.
- P-value โ Probability of observing a result as extreme as, or more extreme than, the sample result if the null hypothesis is true.
- Significance Level (ฮฑ) โ Threshold for statistical significance, commonly set at 0.05 or 0.10.
Action Items / Next Steps
- Practice running 1-PropZTest with given sample data.
- Write conclusion statements by rephrasing the research question.
- Review connection between P-value, significance level, and statistical decision.