Overview of Turkey's Foreign Policy Dynamics

Sep 8, 2024

Summary of Turkey's Foreign Policy and Historical Context

Introduction

  • Overview of Turkey's recent foreign policy actions under President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan.
  • Discussion of NATO's role and Turkey's controversial actions as a member state.

NATO and Turkey's Foreign Policy Actions

  • NATO Overview: Defensive military alliance founded against Soviet expansionism.
  • Turkey's Actions: Seen as rogue; aggressive foreign policy since 2010s.
    • Threats against Greece (e.g., ballistic missile capabilities).
    • Military invasions in Syria (2016-2019) resulting in territorial occupations.
  • Economic Moves: Shutdown of Kirkuk-Sehan pipeline affecting Kurdish Regional Government (KRG) in Iraq.
  • Support to Azerbaijan: Military assistance against Armenia; denial of the Armenian Genocide.
  • Russia-Ukraine Conflict: Balancing act; selling arms to Ukraine while purchasing Russian energy resources.

Historical Context of Turkey's Formation

  • Post-Ottoman Period: Emergence of the Republic of Turkey after World War I.
  • Treaty of Sèvres (1920): Division of the Ottoman Empire, creation of independent states for Armenians and Kurds.
  • Turkish Independence War: Reaction against harsh treaty terms leading to the Treaty of Lausanne (1923).

Ethnic and National Identity Policies

  • Kurdish Population: Ongoing policies of assimilation; denial of Kurdish identity.
  • Armenian Genocide: Ongoing international controversy regarding historical events between 1915-1917.
  • Demographic Displacement: Population exchanges between Greece and Turkey post-independence.

Geopolitical Ambitions and Military Strategy

  • Marmara Region Importance: Key geographic area for trade and agriculture; historical significance.
  • Military Expansion Goals: Desire to secure borders and influence surrounding regions (e.g., Aegean Sea).
  • Rejection of International Maritime Laws: Turkey's stance on territorial waters and economic zones (EES).

Cold War and NATO Membership

  • Joining NATO (1952): Driven by fear of Soviet expansion; strategic asset for the West.
  • Territorial Disputes: Ongoing issues with Greece, especially surrounding Cyprus.

Recent Developments and Future Outlook

  • Energy Security: Discovery of natural gas reserves in the Black Sea; reduced dependency on Russian imports.
  • Kurdish Insurgency: Ongoing conflict with PKK; military interventions in Iraq and Syria.
  • International Relations: Turkey's balancing act between East and West; tensions with NATO allies.
  • Maritime Claims: Ongoing disputes with Greece and Cyprus over resource exploration in the Eastern Mediterranean.
  • Demographic Trends: Future projections indicate population advantages for Turkey over Greece.

Conclusion

  • Turkey's multifaceted foreign policy shaped by historical legacies, national identity, and geopolitics.
  • Complex interplay of domestic and international factors influencing Turkey's position within NATO and the broader global landscape.