Transcript for:
Thinking Like a Scientist

One of the starting points of your book, you say that people when they think when we think   when we engage with each other often tend to  fall into certain mindsets we become preachers   sometimes prosecutors other times politicians  other times and you say well all three of those   things are perfectly good ways of not thinking  again of not learning of not kind of challenging   our ideas and you would like us all to think more  like scientists can you tell us more about what   you have in mind with that um i think that the  danger of getting into the mindsets of preachers   prosecutors and politicians is that we don't stop  to question ourselves when i'm in preacher mode   i believe that i found the truth and my job is to  spread it and proselytize it to everyone else and   i need to enlighten them when i'm in prosecutor  mode and i spend way more time in that mode than   i would like i am convinced that somebody else  is wrong and i have to win the argument and prove   my case and it's pretty easy to see why those two  modes stand in the way of rethinking right because   if i'm a preacher and a prosecutor i've already  decided that i'm right and you're wrong you're   the one who needs to think again but i get to  freeze my beliefs where they are politician mode i   think is a little bit more complex when you're in  politician mode you're trying to get the approval   of an audience so you're going around lobbying  and campaigning and that may mean you tell them   what they want to hear but it doesn't mean you're  actually changing what you really think deep down   and so it's you know it's much more about trying  to read the audience and then manipulate them   then it is about questioning your own  convictions or opinions or knowledge and i   think one of the most compelling alternatives  to preaching politicking and prosecuting   is to think like a scientist and i don't mean  that that requires anyone to own a microscope   or a telescope or a lab coat for me thinking like  a scientist means valuing the pursuit of knowledge   instead of foolish consistency or pride uh or  conviction and i think that thinking like a   scientist means that you're excited to discover  why you might be wrong not just reasons you   must be right it means you surround yourself with  people who challenge your thought process not just   the ones who agree with your conclusions and it  means you listen to opinions that make you think   hard not just the ones that make you feel good  the falsifying what we hold dear is a wonderful   endeavor but it's not an easy one everybody who  has a phd spends many years learning to think like   a scientist and even after all those years many of  us find ourselves not thinking like scientists we   know we become captive of the biases even though  we are trained to fight them the example that is   near and dear to our canadian audience is example  of blackberry and our friend mike lazaridis who   was amazingly scientific for a really long long  with the majority of his career but then kind of   almost regressed and it allowed the usual biases  to take over what can we do to stop that obviously   the blackberry was a major rethinking of how we  communicate on the go and it was basically saying   look you know what you can use this handheld  device to send messages to people you work with   and i think what what i saw happen there and i  think what the data would support is that pretty   soon you start to be proud of your baby right we  love this product and you develop conviction that   the very things that have made you successful are  always going to keep you successful and that makes   you basically that locks you into confirmation  bias or it's it's evil cousin desirability bias   where you don't just see what you expect  to see you see only what you want to see   and that makes you at risk of overconfidence  and i think that's what happened in the case of   the blackberry i think that you know it's not just  mike right it's a whole organization of people who   said look the purpose of this device is to send  work emails um it's not for home entertainment we   want the keyboard who would who in the world would  consider a touch screen there's there's a always a   tension that we we experience between doubt on one  hand that leads us to to question and then revisit   and challenge our ideas and on the other hand  confidence without which nothing happens because   you don't have the guts and the impetus to take  action and what you say in the book i thought it   was really important for us to really get is that  humility actually allows you to achieve both doubt   and confident at the same time can you say a  little bit more about how that works because it's   it's a secret to a lot of this ability to indulge  in the experiment you need both the doubt and the   confidence i got to know sarah blakely who started  spanx and reed hoffman who started linkedin   and in both of their cases i had the same question  how in the world did you have the confidence to   start your own company when you hadn't been an  entrepreneur before and you really didn't know   that much about the new you know the  new industry that you are entering   sarah said you know what i did not have confidence  in my ability to be a great entrepreneur i didn't   know anything about retail or fashion or  making products and reid said yeah you know   we didn't even our competitor maybe was myspace  and friendster i linked it we didn't know anything   about social networks and neither of them had the  traditional kind of confidence that i picture in   an entrepreneur which is i know i know i can  do this and i know this is going to be great   and i believe in my knowledge and skills what they  both had was confidence in their ability to learn   and sarah said i know all these things that i  don't know but i believe i can figure them out   um and i think that confidence in yourself as a  learner is is part of what confident humility is   it's it's recognizing you know what i believe in  my own capability to grow but that doesn't mean   i have the perfect strategy or the right plan or  all the expertise i need today to be successful   and that to me is just a it's a simple mindset  shift it allows you to to not wait until you   have confidence there are people in the education  world that say that the learning how to learn is   also an acquired skill a good teacher you  know basically teaches you what they know   a good teacher teaches you how to or excuse me a  great teacher teaches you how to think and rethink   and the idea of not just teaching knowledge but  ways of knowing you say that people uh should   think like a scientist can they lead to analysis  paralysis i think that's a risk i've definitely   seen some students go through it i always have  a few caveats at that point the first one is   rethinking does not mean you have to change your  mind it just means being open to reconsidering   knowing that the world around you changes and  you evolve and the images of who you wanted   to be and what you wanted to do that you got  attached to when you were a less wise version   of yourself might not make sense anymore i  think you know there's there's probably for   any given decision or opinion there's probably  a sweet spot of the ideal amount of rethinking   and i don't think that you have to do that much  of it i just think we need to move a little bit   to the right because we're too far to the left  on that curve one of the things i suggested and   think again was that that we could all in the  career domain do career checkups where just   like you would go to the doctor or the dentist  couple times a year even if there's nothing wrong   it's helpful to have a reminder on your calendar  just to say all right let me consider is this   still the job that i want it takes a lot of belief  in yourself to question things it's not easy when   you're feeling shaky and it's so comforting to  have certainty so it's something you can lean on   so how do we help people because not everybody  is is feeling so sure of their ability to learn   or their ability to change one is we can  teach and the other is we can role model   when it comes to teaching i think the best  conversation i've had and i've had this in   in lots of different workplaces i also have it in  the classroom most years um is to say i actually   don't think this is about confidence i think it's  about security versus insecurity and i i've told   my students i've told founders and ceos and junior  employees that a mark of security is being willing   to say i don't know and i think the modeling of  that is critical right so as you know as a teacher   one of the things i do is i want to i want to be  wrong about something in one of my first classes   or i want to admit something that that i'm just  unclear on so that the students know they're free   to challenge me and that i don't have all the  answers and the hope is that when they see me do   that that they're a little bit more comfortable  admitting what they don't know and i think in   leadership it's the same thing right i think the  the most powerful leaders are the ones who who are   secure enough to say you know what i have a lot  of unanswered questions but here's the confidence   part the confidence humility is saying i believe  in our collective capability to figure this out   and i think we we need to create that norm of  confident humility that that allows people to   reframe what they think is an admission of  weakness or ignorance as actually a show of   strength i really like your role modeling idea  really in any power relationship he has to come   from the top when the role model is absent what  can people do to break this cycle ask for advice   number one you flatter the person and then number  two you invite them to take your perspective   and because you know they think you have a lot of  wisdom because you knew to come to them because   they've seen why this is an important issue from  your vantage point they're more likely to help you   or at least give you some good suggestions in the  in the allison wood brooks data people are seeing   it as smarter but there's also the risk of being  seen as insecure how do we balance that right um   lo and behold asking for advice  doesn't really necessarily make you   look stupid but what i find very interesting  from when you go from the bottom up   is to be very conscious of what the people in  the higher power position want what they value   because they have insecurities themselves you  have to understand why is it that the boss is   so insecure as to need to behave like that uh  and so you simply you know you you treat your   parent in them at some level and you can do  that from the bottom our children parent us   all the time we over rely on the lovable fools as  opposed to the competent jerks um when i whenever   i ask leaders or students who they go to they  always tell me that and by always i mean 80 to 90   of them that they privilege somebody's confidence  over whether they're likable or friendly um   why why are they wrong and why do they not realize  their own habits and and how can we overcome that   they think they go to the more competent person  i think it's that there's an over reliance on   rationality and um expertise and so we all want  to look like we want to believe that we don't   leave competence on the table because we allow  these emotional irrelevant things to distract us   and they take us away from from the goodness so  you know it's a rationality by us we all want   to look rational and we don't necessarily want  to acknowledge that we need the interpersonal   affection and the love and reassurance really  you talk about agreeableness which is one of   the the the big personality characteristics  that we human beings have two different degrees   and canadians are standouts  when it comes to agreeableness   you know the kindness the polite response not  wanting to push back and be aggressive but you say   the disability is critical the the pushing back  how do you think of that when the cultural norms   around you have developed to protect people  against that kind of behavior and there's there's   value in that protection too the starting point  is just to say you can disagree without being   disagreeable the clearest examples of this are you  know all the times when you give somebody advice   and they reject it not because they disagree with  the advice but because they don't respect you   or they didn't necessarily want to have their  behavior controlled by you and so i think one   of the things i've um i've found really helpful  is when when i want to disagree with someone as   a highly agreeable person uh i'll start out  by saying you know i've noticed that i've   shied away from from bringing ideas to the table  because i don't want to hurt anybody's feelings   and i know you're not somebody whose feelings are  easily hurt and please let me know if you know if   you think this is not a useful viewpoint and and  i'll stop and what i'm doing is i'm inviting them   to be open and the the principle that i'm trying  to draw on here is it's about me it's not about   you that that to me is a pretty soft strategy in  a in a high-powered distance culture what do you   make of that well i i like i like the fact that  you give people the benefit of the doubt actually   um even more than it's me it's my i have issues  and i'm trying to solve them here i i like that   you you're giving people credit for for being  capable of responding a certain way when you know   when people hurt their feelings to not be hurt  i love the section of motivational interviewing   in the book uh because rarely do you see real  potential to make a breakthrough in that kind of   situation when it's so polarized uh people really  have a hard time coming to some common ground and   that technique is beautiful so i like to answer  this question but maybe if you can weave in   the the motivational interview that would be great  do you want to pick an issue that you have strong   views about that some people disagree with you  on okay let's talk about trump one of the things   that's happening a lot on social media is you know  people are just dismissing anybody who voted for   donald trump as immediately a bad human being do  you think that when when somebody casts a vote for   a politician um they necessarily agree with them  on all the issues that they happen to to stand for   certainly not certainly not people who  need something and they're not finding it   i i completely agree and i i guess i wonder have  you have you avoided a conversation with a trump   supporter but i had because when i've tried i  did not have your technique we are really are   told by many scientists and many practitioners  that you have to ask questions but not every   question is conducive so what you're doing what  you're modeling is a certain kind of question   can you can you say what what are the features  of the questions you gotta ask you sound very   open to questioning right you you allow me to  question myself is that is that what's happening   yeah that that's my goal so what i'm trying to  do here is to say look i'm not here to change   your mind i'm here to understand your thinking  better and so you know tell me about what do   you think about trump supporters do you think  they're all bad um and you know if you said they   were all bad i wouldn't immediately argue back  i would say that's interesting like have you   have you talked to all 74 million of them  i haven't talked to the 74 million right i   don't know and so i'm trying to bring the humility  and the curiosity i'm trying to invite you to to   not only use what's called sustain talk which  are you know the reasons for for maintaining   your you know your reluctance to engage with quote  unquote the other side but also to show us change   talk where you say well you know here here are  those situations where i might be more open to you   know to finding some common ground with somebody  who did something that i find objectionable   the goal is to have no agenda but i i don't think  it's that easy especially when we care about an   issue or have strong views of our own it's a  great place to start the conversation for both   of us to put our biases on the table and say look  you know i would prefer to just be curious here   you mentioned a particular study that i went and  read about how people understand news articles   that talk about science and the fact when you add  caveats you don't lose their interest they remain   there with you which was very comforting but i  wonder if all that's happening there is people are   not reading the damn caveats they just read the  headline and they're not they ignore the caveat   because simplification is lovely for for people  for the most part how do you think about that   i'm this is actually something i'm rethinking  right now i think i might have created a false   dichotomy between simplicity and complexity so  there's a there's an oliver wendell holmes quote   that i love where he said for the simplicity on  this side of complexity i wouldn't give a fig   but for the simplicity on the other  side of complexity i would give anything   and i think that he's talking about the difference  between ignorant simplicity and elegant simplicity   i think elegant simplicity is about recognizing  the complexity but still finding clarity within it   and it immediately cues to you oh well knowledge  is always evolving that doesn't mean the knowledge   isn't valid it means it's the best evidence we  have available today but it might it might evolve   tomorrow right we might want to update our views  based on what we learned from the new science   and i think what that means is we need to we need  to get comfortable talking in confident humility   it means i need to say the best evidence i've seen  on this topic is or the most informed opinion i   can share right now is which signals both hey this  is credible information but also uh there it might   not be complete there's more to learn it's a combo  question and you decide what to answer and how   one is you know you talk about all these  biases that we are all vulnerable to   and they're always lurking if you had a magic wand  and you could change one thing about human nature   to make us better at rethinking what would  that be and the and the twin question is   what are you hoping that we rethink next  okay i'll try to answer both of those that   i i have to object to the first question because  it's so interesting but the simplicity of just   choosing one goes against the whole idea of  complexifying all right all right i take it back   no don't take it back i think i think  sometimes rank ordering is is helpful for   getting us to think about what's really important  and i i've always encouraged leaders and students   too to rank order their values and so i think  this is this is a good prompt to do that   i think if i were going to change one thing  about human nature would it would probably   be the meta bias that governs a lot of the  problems we've been talking about and it's   it's the bias blind spot which i like  to think of as the i'm not biased bias   i'm just stunned by how quick we are to recognize  other people preaching prosecuting and politicking   how easy it is to see somebody else's confirmation  bias or desirability bias but no not me   right i i'm objective i see things with perfect  rationality it's the rationality bias you talked   about earlier yeah i think that's that's the first  one to change because it it sort of stands in the   way of recognizing all the specific biases that  cloud our judgment um and that make our thinking   flawed so yeah how's that for one it's fantastic  lovely i yes the other one you have uh do you   have a quick one that we should really rethink one  thing we should really rethink well since we're at   Rotman i would say i think we should rethink the  purpose of universities i thought for too long   that higher education was about teaching skills  and i get that if you're a medical school right   you actually have to teach people to practice  medicine if you're a law school you have to teach   people to practice law i think overall though the  poor the importance of a university and society   is much more about teaching the the the meta skill  of critical thinking and rethinking and that i   think that we're not actually about imparting  knowledge right because knowledge is always   evolving what we are about is teaching people to  continue pursuing knowledge and trying to build a   generation of lifelong learners who are interested  in pursuing truth or at least getting closer to it   with an attitude of humility and curiosity and  in that sense i think the fundamental principle   and this is a major moment of rethinking for me  the fundamental principle of higher education   is not actually teaching knowledge it's building  character well this could not have been a better conclusion