2025 NFL Offense Rankings Overview

Jun 23, 2025

Overview

The hosts ranked and debated the projected top 10 NFL offenses for the 2025 season, discussing each team's strengths, concerns, and key changes, while analyzing metrics and strategic factors that could impact performance. The conversation included notable omissions, position-by-position breakdowns, and reflections on coaching moves, player additions, and statistical trends.

Top 10 Offenses Exercise: General Approach

  • Offense rankings are more stable year-to-year compared to defense.
  • Hosts used exclusion to narrow down to ten teams, as more than 15 teams could plausibly make the list.
  • Emphasis placed on quarterback, offensive continuity, play-calling, and supporting cast quality.

Top Five Consensus Teams

    1. Ravens—elite last year by all metrics, return core players and coaching staff; only concern is potential offensive line regression and injury luck.
    1. Bills—strong offensive line continuity, improved run game, and stable coaching; minor questions at pass catcher depth.
  • 3/4. Chiefs and Bengals—debated order; Chiefs reliant on Rashee Rice's availability, Bengals have elite QB/WR pairing but O-line questions.
    1. Lions—major concern is loss of OC Ben Johnson and two interior linemen, but overall talent and offensive scheme remain strong.

Teams Ranked 6–10 (with Debates)

  • Eagles—high talent and stability, but questions about coaching transition and depth; benefit from strong run game and fourth-down conversion.
  • Packers—high floor due to above-average talent across positions; improvements at WR could raise their ceiling.
  • Buccaneers—return all starters, excelled on third down, but have new first-time OC; questions about regression and QB consistency.
  • 49ers—injury-plagued last year but remained efficient; O-line depth and pass catcher health are concerns; Kyle Shanahan seen as key.
  • Commanders—strong offensive metrics, added key players, but expect regression in scramble and fourth-down success rates; concerns about sustainability under Cliff Kingsbury.

Key Debates and Omissions

  • Rams considered but left out by some due to uncertainty at left tackle (health issues for Alaric Jackson).
  • Other discussed teams outside the top 10: Dolphins, Jaguars, Cowboys, Chargers, Texans, Cardinals—each with specific drawbacks (e.g., lack of a second offensive punch, QB questions, or schematic limitations).
  • Questioned whether the Vikings’ supporting cast was enough to overcome rookie QB uncertainty.

Data and Statistical Insights Used

  • Relied on DVOA, EPA per play, success rate, and points per drive for team comparisons.
  • Cited specific player and position group effectiveness, e.g., yards per target, scramble EPA, explosive play rates.

Coaching and Continuity Factors

  • Noted impact of offensive coordinator changes for Lions, Eagles, Buccaneers, and Commanders.
  • Highlighted retained coaching staff as a positive marker for Bills, Packers, and Ravens.

Final Team Lists (in Order)

  • Host 1: Ravens, Bills, Chiefs, Bengals, Lions, Packers, Eagles, 49ers, Commanders, Buccaneers.
  • Host 2: Ravens, Bills, Bengals, Chiefs, Lions, Eagles, Buccaneers, Packers, Commanders, Rams.

Action Items

  • TBD – Ben and Mina: Monitor left tackle health situations (e.g., Rams’ Alaric Jackson) for potential ranking adjustments.
  • TBD – Both hosts: Prepare for upcoming top 10 defenses ranking episode.

Questions / Follow-Ups

  • How will coordinator changes (e.g., Lions, Buccaneers, Eagles) affect offensive continuity and performance?
  • Will teams that rode high scramble and fourth-down success (e.g., Commanders) sustain that in 2025?
  • How much will injury regression (positive or negative) impact teams like Ravens, 49ers, and others?

Full transcript