Democratic Divide on Capitol Hill and Biden's Candidacy

Jul 11, 2024

Democratic Divide on Capitol Hill

Background

  • Increasing division among Democratic lawmakers regarding President Biden's fitness for office and his candidacy for the next election.
  • Concerns centered around Biden's age, viability, and National Security.

Calls for Biden to Step Down

  • Senator Peter Welch (Vermont): First Democratic senator to publicly call for Biden to step down.
    • Cited Biden's "disastrous debate performance" and other valid concerns.
  • Congressman Pat Ryan (New York): Also called for Biden to step aside, stating it would be for the good of the country and future generations.
  • Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer: Publicly supports Biden but reportedly has private reservations.
  • Former Speaker Nancy Pelosi: Did not commit to Biden's candidacy, urging Democrats to wait and see while supporting Biden's current role.

Party Dynamics

  • Nancy Pelosi: Emphasized letting Biden make his own decision about running, highlighted importance of supporting him in the NATO conference.
  • Debate within the party about how to handle Biden's potential re-election bid.

Voter Concerns and Polls

  • Voter Concerns: Focus on Biden's age, sleep needs, and viability as president.
  • National Security: Assurances from Biden's team that he is always reachable, regardless of time.
  • Richie Torres (New York): Stressed importance of considering the down-ballot effect of the nominee on future elections.

Polling & Political Landscape

  • Cook Political Report: Update reflecting shifting political dynamics.
    • Safe Democratic states (Minnesota, New Hampshire, part of Nebraska) now less safe.
    • Swing states (Arizona, Georgia, Nevada) shifting towards lean Republican.
    • Biden showing potential weakness in traditionally Democratic states like New York, Virginia, and New Jersey.