Time Frame Selection and Defining Setups for Trading Models

Jul 17, 2024

Time Frame Selection and Defining Setups for Trading Models

Overview

  • Lecture Context: 1st of 8 teachings in the third month of ICT mentorship
  • Main focus: Time frame selection and defining setups for trading models

Time Frame Selection

Monthly Chart

  • Use: Position trading
  • Suited For: Traders who cannot engage in lower time frames
  • Benefits: Provides direction, removes short-term trading price action shock
  • Characteristics: Represents long-term position trading; patience required
  • Example: Trade setups form over many months, leading to large pip movements

Weekly Chart

  • Use: Swing trading (1-2 trades within 3 months)
  • Suited For: Traders who cannot monitor intraday movements
  • Benefits: Provides intermediate-term setups, reduces short-term volatility shock
  • Characteristics: Patience still needed; useful for framing short-term trades

Daily Chart

  • Use: Short-term trading
  • Benefits: Combines long-term perspective with short-term details, shows institutional levels
  • Characteristics: Convenient for swing and short-term traders, versatile for multiple setups
  • Example: Provides analysis points, identifies liquidity and fair value gaps

Intraday Charts (4 hours or less)

  • Use: Day trading
  • Characteristics: Not discussed in detail in this teaching, more specific to timing of day concepts

Defining Setups for Your Model

  • Mentor's role: Guide, not to enforce a specific trading mold
  • Goal: Discover the trader in you, find the setups you are comfortable and effective at executing
  • Key Takeaway: One good pattern is enough; setup applicability across all time frames

Types of Traders and Models

Trend Trader

  • Focus: Trade directionally aligned with monthly and weekly charts
  • Hold Duration: Long-term, several months to years

Swing Trader

  • Focus: Trade daily intermediate-term price action
  • Hold Duration: Requires patience, holds for several weeks to months
  • Mentor's Note: Less patience for this; prefers faster returns

Contrarian Trader

  • Focus: Trades reversals at market extremes
  • Key: Identifying extreme price moves for potential reversals

Short-term Trader/Day Trader

  • Focus: Weekly ranges, short-duration trades (1-5 days)
  • Characteristics: Handles volatility, requires active monitoring

Practical Examples and Analysis

Monthly Chart Example

  • Breakdown of a significant price move in EUR/USD
  • Large moves can take several months to years
  • Emphasis on knowing large timeframe directional bias

Weekly Chart Example

  • Renfinement of monthly chart moves
  • Detailed analysis of moves within intermediate-term frameworks

Daily Chart Example

  • Short-term action-based analysis
  • Using known ranges and fib levels for refined setups
  • Identifies optimal entry points like order blocks

Realizing Setups

  • Breakers and Order Blocks: How they are identified and utilized in setups
  • Stop Run (Turtle Soup): Trading false breakouts and liquidity absorption

Conclusion

  • Key Points:
    • Identification of long-term directional bias is crucial
    • Refine higher time frame analysis into actionable setups
    • Define your own trading model based on psychological and practical alignment
  • Recommended Starting Point: Use daily charts even if aiming for day trading
  • Notes: Only need a few setups (3 mentioned: range trading, order blocks, stop runs)